2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 640028 times)
Holmes
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« Reply #8325 on: November 04, 2020, 09:43:05 PM »
Quote from: Splash on November 04, 2020, 09:39:37 PM



Calling MillenialModerate who said things aren’t looking good for Biden in PA...
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pppolitics
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« Reply #8326 on: November 04, 2020, 09:43:11 PM »
Roughly four out of 10 voters in Arizona consider themselves independent — and a majority of them voted for Biden over Trump.
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #8327 on: November 04, 2020, 09:43:50 PM »
Arizona clearly could go either way (although I'd give the edge to Biden). What is Fox doing?
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I Will Not Be Wrong
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« Reply #8328 on: November 04, 2020, 09:44:00 PM »
I am thinking we see a Sinema margin for Biden in Arizona.
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #8329 on: November 04, 2020, 09:44:18 PM »
Quote from: Kuumo on November 04, 2020, 09:42:41 PM
Quote from: pppolitics on November 04, 2020, 09:41:38 PM
Quote from: Splash on November 04, 2020, 09:39:37 PM




I don't know why people are still dooming about Pennsylvania when it looks better than Arizona right now.


Probably because Biden hasn’t taken a lead in PA.
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Hassan 2022
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« Reply #8330 on: November 04, 2020, 09:44:25 PM »
Quote from: 7sergi9 on November 04, 2020, 09:42:08 PM


This actually sounds pretty bad for Trump considering there are counties that are much more favorable to the Dems that aren't Maricopa that are still outstanding.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #8331 on: November 04, 2020, 09:44:43 PM »
what if it was the 278 freiwal all a long...
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #8332 on: November 04, 2020, 09:45:01 PM »
Quote from: I was wrong.... on November 04, 2020, 09:42:43 PM
This would be a very bizarre map. Trump wins AZ and Biden wins GA



But aesthetically pleasing, except Georgia (unless you’re into that).
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #8333 on: November 04, 2020, 09:45:14 PM »
Even if they f—ked up the AZ call (doubt), it’s over:
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #8334 on: November 04, 2020, 09:46:15 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 04, 2020, 09:45:14 PM
Even if they f—ked up the AZ call (doubt), it’s over:




It’s not over until Biden hits 270.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #8335 on: November 04, 2020, 09:46:47 PM »
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #8336 on: November 04, 2020, 09:46:56 PM »
Quote from: The Trump Virus on November 04, 2020, 09:46:15 PM
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 04, 2020, 09:45:14 PM
Even if they f—ked up the AZ call (doubt), it’s over:




It’s not over until Biden hits 270.

Which he will when he wins PA.
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Pyro
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« Reply #8337 on: November 04, 2020, 09:47:25 PM »
CNN thanking Cindy McCain for Biden's AZ lead is eye-rollingly stupid.
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BigSerg
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« Reply #8338 on: November 04, 2020, 09:47:28 PM »
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #8339 on: November 04, 2020, 09:47:52 PM »
Quote from: The Trump Virus on November 04, 2020, 09:46:15 PM
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 04, 2020, 09:45:14 PM
Even if they f—ked up the AZ call (doubt), it’s over:




It’s not over until Biden hits 270.
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philly09
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« Reply #8340 on: November 04, 2020, 09:48:14 PM »
Trump's PA margin is down to 187,000
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #8341 on: November 04, 2020, 09:48:27 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 04, 2020, 09:46:56 PM
Quote from: The Trump Virus on November 04, 2020, 09:46:15 PM
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 04, 2020, 09:45:14 PM
Even if they f—ked up the AZ call (doubt), it’s over:




It’s not over until Biden hits 270.

Which he will when he wins PA.

When Biden takes the lead in PA, I will have seen enough.
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Inmate Trump
GWBFan
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« Reply #8342 on: November 04, 2020, 09:48:50 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 04, 2020, 09:46:56 PM
Quote from: The Trump Virus on November 04, 2020, 09:46:15 PM
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 04, 2020, 09:45:14 PM
Even if they f—ked up the AZ call (doubt), it’s over:




It’s not over until Biden hits 270.

Which he will when he wins PA.


If.

Nothing is guaranteed in this rollercoaster of an election.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #8343 on: November 04, 2020, 09:49:27 PM »
I'm thinking that Biden is still going to win Arizona, but it will be a close margin. And Pennsylvania is trending strongly in his favor-that alone will be enough to put him over 270, regardless of what happens in the other outstanding states.
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« Reply #8344 on: November 04, 2020, 09:50:05 PM »
Kanye West received about 60,000 votes as of now. His best state was Tennessee.

https://www.nydailynews.com/snyde/ny-kanye-west-60000-votes-20201105-xje2ti6s3nd6noycwrnbnvapri-story.html

His first vote of his life was writing in himself. I wonder how many presidential candidates can say that. Even Trump probably voted before.
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Buffalo Mayor Young Kim
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« Reply #8345 on: November 04, 2020, 09:50:19 PM »
Any day an AZ Patriot gets called a dumbass is a good day
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #8346 on: November 04, 2020, 09:50:56 PM »
Here's what I'm seeing in Arizona:

County% ReportedNum Votes so farTrump margin so farProjected Trump gain
Apache7520,930-35-2,441
Greenlee763,053+30289
Mohave8294,046+5010,322
Coconino8261,560-28-5,885
Cochise8246,073+171,719
Santa Cruz8218,137-37-1,473
Maricopa831,713,063-5-175,434
Navajo8346,539+76,672
La Paz836,677+37506
Gila8525,499+331,484
Graham8514,842+441,152
Pinal87141,530+132,749
Yuma8759,895+8715
Pima88465,065-21-13,317
Yavapai98133,574+21572

The current vote is 1,444,213 to 1,365,040.  Trump is down by 79,173 votes.

If the current margins in Arizona held steady, Trump would LOSE 172,370 votes and end up crushed in Arizona.  Obviously that's not going to happen.

But let's dive deeper.  Let's sum up all the expected diffs in the areas of the state outside of Maricopa.  That's a 3,064 gain for Trump.  He would still need 76,109 to win.  With 350,868 outstanding ballots in Maricopa, he needs 213,489 of them.  That's 60.8%.

Trump's best chance would be if he is also narrowing the Biden lead in Pima.  Because other than Mohave, the rest of the rurals really aren't going to help him much.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #8347 on: November 04, 2020, 09:50:56 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Electable (SEN: R+2) on November 04, 2020, 09:50:05 PM
Kanye West received about 60,000 votes as of now. His best state was Tennessee.

https://www.nydailynews.com/snyde/ny-kanye-west-60000-votes-20201105-xje2ti6s3nd6noycwrnbnvapri-story.html

His first vote of his life was writing in himself. I wonder how many presidential candidates can say that. Even Trump probably voted before.

Zachary Taylor?
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #8348 on: November 04, 2020, 09:51:44 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Electable (SEN: R+2) on November 04, 2020, 09:50:05 PM
Kanye West received about 60,000 votes as of now. His best state was Tennessee.

https://www.nydailynews.com/snyde/ny-kanye-west-60000-votes-20201105-xje2ti6s3nd6noycwrnbnvapri-story.html

His first vote of his life was writing in himself. I wonder how many presidential candidates can say that. Even Trump probably voted before.

A co-worker at my job, an independent who dislikes both Biden and Trump, told me that he voted for Kanye!
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #8349 on: November 04, 2020, 09:52:14 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Electable (SEN: R+2) on November 04, 2020, 09:50:05 PM
Kanye West received about 60,000 votes as of now. His best state was Tennessee.

https://www.nydailynews.com/snyde/ny-kanye-west-60000-votes-20201105-xje2ti6s3nd6noycwrnbnvapri-story.html

His first vote of his life was writing in himself. I wonder how many presidential candidates can say that. Even Trump probably voted before.

Eisenhower
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