2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Adam Griffin]

In any game in which they don't play Kentucky from now on, I will root for Georgia.

I will also root for the Falcons, Hawks, Braves, you name it.

These motherf--kers ACTUALLY PULLED OFF A LAST MINUTE COMEBACK FOR ONCE.

If that doesn't say "2020," I don't know what does.

C'MON 2020, LET'S GET SICKENING

[Roblox]

might just go full leftist because who cares anymore?

GuyNoddingHeadWithGrin.Gif

[NOVA Green]

Joe Scarborough on MSNBC is practically creaming his shorts regarding Biden's win in GA, and likely in PA, and what that means for the future of the Republican Party that continue to "Tie themselves to the future of Donald Trump"...

Loved Scarborough back when he was an outspoken Republican opponent against the War in Iraq under Bush Jr, and in my mind he his still an FF regardless of whatever the rest of y'all DEM avatars say.

[ugabug]

So i'm curious will states still be counting votes over the weekend or will they be take a break for the weekend?

[Technocracy Timmy]

Just saw Biden took the lead in Georgia while Trump is gaining in Arizona.

What’s the scoop on AZ right now? Is it a coin flip as to who ultimately wins there?

[Ebowed]

I actually got temp-banned from r/neoliberal for saying "Clinton was right to ship Elian Gonzalez back to Cuba."

Literally got banned from a neoliberal subreddit for praising the policy of the most neoliberal president.

You simply cannot make this s--t up.

Oh well, don't give a f--k anymore. If Floridians are gonna be that way even in response to the most moderate candidate we were offering but Georgians are gonna be smart, might just go full leftist because who cares anymore?

Relax.  There's no need to get nasty or bitter about ethnic groups.  Cubans have historically voted Republican anyway.  Obama and Clinton doing better among this voting group was the anomaly.  We don't take anyone's votes for granted.  And in the end, it probably had less to do with ideology and more with financial interests.  The Democrats could well win back voters in Miami-Dade by embracing more left-wing economic positions.  $15 minimum wage was popular there, after all.

[wbrocks67]

At least ~53K out from Philly, ~11K out from Bucks, ~36K out from Allegheny. And a smattering of other votes. Also again, could be more from Philly b/c I think their 358K total mail in count was only as of 11/2.

[Figueira]

They'd better get Pennsylvania called today. After that they can take their time.

[wbrocks67]

Just saw Biden took the lead in Georgia while Trump is gaining in Arizona.

What’s the scoop on AZ right now? Is it a coin flip as to who ultimately wins there?

Trump isn't really "gaining in Arizona", its been a slow gain if anything. The last batch of Maricopa wasn't as favorable as it should've been to Trump and apparently the rest of the votes there lean more Independent.

Was there not another Maricopa dump at midnight?

[Technocracy Timmy]

Just saw Biden took the lead in Georgia while Trump is gaining in Arizona.

What’s the scoop on AZ right now? Is it a coin flip as to who ultimately wins there?

Trump isn't really "gaining in Arizona", its been a slow gain if anything. The last batch of Maricopa wasn't as favorable as it should've been to Trump and apparently the rest of the votes there lean more Independent.

Was there not another Maricopa dump at midnight?

Idk I just turned on ABC livecast on youtube and they spoke about those two states in that matter. Biden is still the favorite in AZ I take it?

[Benjamin Frank]

Just saw Biden took the lead in Georgia while Trump is gaining in Arizona.

What’s the scoop on AZ right now? Is it a coin flip as to who ultimately wins there?

Biden actually increased his lead by about 500 in Arizona in the latest addition to the count.  It is true his lead has dropped significantly and one positive addition to the count hardly stems the bleeding, but it's also been argued that the best outstanding votes for Trump have all now come in and the remaining outstanding votes will either be around 50/50 or slightly favorable to Biden.  This one addition could confirm that argument.

[Alben Barkley]

I actually got temp-banned from r/neoliberal for saying "Clinton was right to ship Elian Gonzalez back to Cuba."

Literally got banned from a neoliberal subreddit for praising the policy of the most neoliberal president.

You simply cannot make this s--t up.

Oh well, don't give a f--k anymore. If Floridians are gonna be that way even in response to the most moderate candidate we were offering but Georgians are gonna be smart, might just go full leftist because who cares anymore?

Relax.  There's no need to get nasty or bitter about ethnic groups.  Cubans have historically voted Republican anyway.  Obama and Clinton doing better among this voting group was the anomaly.  We don't take anyone's votes for granted.  And in the end, it probably had less to do with ideology and more with financial interests.  The Democrats could well win back voters in Miami-Dade by embracing more left-wing economic positions.  $15 minimum wage was popular there, after all.

Uh... seems to me the very last thing they want is more left-wing economic positions.

Seems to me honestly they have no idea what the hell they want, honestly, other than "No ComMiEs" even though they clearly have no clue what the hell a commie is. If they can be convinced JOE BIDEN is a commie, clearly they can be convinced anyone is, so might as well just write them off as a lost cause.

And it ain't about ethnicity. As I pointed out very firmly to the mods of that subreddit, I have no doubt that if my caustic remarks were made about Elliott County, Kentucky instead, no one would have cared. There's a problem when people are voting against their own best interests, regardless of race. Ignoring or censoring that conversation does nobody any good.

[wbrocks67]

Anyone know whats going on with DDHQ in Michigan? They have Don Blankenship at like 1.6% now and Biden/Trump at 47/45. Assuming its a glitch lol

[Crumpets]

I actually got temp-banned from r/neoliberal for saying "Clinton was right to ship Elian Gonzalez back to Cuba."

Literally got banned from a neoliberal subreddit for praising the policy of the most neoliberal president.

You simply cannot make this s--t up.

Oh well, don't give a f--k anymore. If Floridians are gonna be that way even in response to the most moderate candidate we were offering but Georgians are gonna be smart, might just go full leftist because who cares anymore?

I take offense to this. Then again, I'm one of those dying breed of people who uses neoliberal as a synonym for "Reaganomics supporter," not "Democrat who doesn't identify as a socialist."

[Podgy the Bear]

This election needs to be called by one of the networks and/or AP IMMEDIATELY.    

For reasons of national security.   As people are waking up in the country, they need to be told that Joe Biden is the next President of the United States.  And they need to go to their jobs or school with that reality in their mind.  Not Trump's fake comments that are threatening our national security.  That's how serious the situation is.

[Alben Barkley]

You know what folks? All this time I thought we had to moderate ourselves for the sake of Florida.

Turns out, you can nominate the most moderate candidate around and Cuban Floridians will STILL be stupid enough to think he's a communist!

So at this point, I say we just write it off as a lost cause and focus on Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and MAYBE eventually Texas. Florida is just gonna be f--king Florida it seems no matter what we do. I'm BEYOND tired of pandering to that hellhole state. It truly cannot sink into the ocean fast enough.

[MasterJedi]

Yangcitement on CNN for Joe Biden to win today.

[Flabuckeye]

This election needs to be called by one of the networks and/or AP IMMEDIATELY.    

For reasons of national security.   As people are waking up in the country, they need to be told that Joe Biden is the next President of the United States.  And they need to go to their jobs or school with that reality in their mind.  Not Trump's fake comments that are threatening our national security.  That's how serious the situation is.

If they will just finish the damn Philly votes, that will put him up 25K and this could be called

[Dumbo]

This election needs to be called by one of the networks and/or AP IMMEDIATELY.    

For reasons of national security.   As people are waking up in the country, they need to be told that Joe Biden is the next President of the United States.  And they need to go to their jobs or school with that reality in their mind.  Not Trump's fake comments that are threatening our national security.  That's how serious the situation is.

a day or two left to make arrangements because once the election is called Trump starts scorched earth policy additional Secret Service agents are on their way to Wilmington

[Brittain33]

Just saw Biden took the lead in Georgia while Trump is gaining in Arizona.

What’s the scoop on AZ right now? Is it a coin flip as to who ultimately wins there?

The best thing I can say about Arizona is that Biden is not out of the woods yet and there are too many votes outstanding, with too high a probability of Trump picking up votes, to feel like it's better than a coin flip.

[Mike88]

There will be an update in the Pennsylvania vote tally in about an 1 hour or so, right?

[Middle-aged Europe]

Politico headline right now: "Trump on the brink of defeat. The election is slipping away from Donald Trump, but few in his party are willing to say so."


Overall, Politico seems to less reluctant than other major news outlets in spelling out the writing that's on the wall.

[Kalimantan]

What does Georgia's flip say about North Carolina?

It was SUPPOSED to be the next Virginia.

Turns out, that may be Georgia instead...

Is the implication simply that Dems do better in any state where a large part of their population is part of an exceptionally large metro area???

Interesting theory, let's see:
Arizona is heavily Phoenix and suburbs.  Went Democratic
Colorado is somewhat heavily Denver and suburbs. Went Democratic.
Delware is heavily New Castle County. Went Democratic
Georgia is heavily Atlanta and suburbs.  Went Democratic
Illinois is heavily Chicago and suburbs.  Went Democratic
Massachusetts is somewhat heavily Boston and suburbs. Went Democratic
Michigan is somewhat heavily Detroit and suburbs. Went Democratic
Minnesota is heavily Minneapolis/St Paul and suburbs.  Went Democratic
Nevada is heavily Las Vegas and suburbs.  Likely to go Democratic
New York is heavily New York City (and suburbs) Went Democratic (though the suburbs on Long Island seem to be offside.)
Oregon is heavily Portland and suburbs. Went Democratic
Pennsylvania is increasingly Philadelphia and suburbs.  Likely to go Democratic
Washington is heavily Seattle and suburbs. Went Democratic

You may be on to something here.

Oklahoma? Alaska? Nebraska? Kentucky? South Dakota? All have a greater % of pop in their largest city than Georgia (or MA, MI, DE for that matter)

Order is 1. New York, 2. Alaska 3. New Mexico, followed by IL, NV, AZ, NE, then something like SD, OR, OK, RI, KY

[wbrocks67]

CNN says PA has 163K ballots left to count.

15-20K provisionals just in Philly as well.

If Biden wins ~75% of the 163K, that is 122K to 41K. 80K net gain. Would put Biden up about ~62K in PA.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

(Let's try this percentage thing again)

In GA, Biden's current lead is +1,096 with 4,959,446 votes cast in total.  This works out to a 49.39% - 49.37% split (+0.0221%).  

Obviously, this margin will either grow or shrink depending on the incoming votes.  But for those curious: since record-keeping began, eight state results in U.S. Presidential elections have been decided by <0.1% and only two have been decided by a closer margin than where things stand now:  

2000 - Florida - W. Bush (R) wins: 2,912,790 - 2,912,253 (+537) -- 0.00921%

1832 - Maryland - Clay (NR) wins:  19,160 - 19,156 (+4) -- 0.0100%

The next closest:

1904 - Maryland - T. Roosevelt (R) wins:  109,497 - 109,446 (+51) -- 0.0233%