2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 617003 times)
Roblox
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« on: November 03, 2020, 09:29:09 AM »
Can’t help but wonder if this election is like a reverse American version of the 2019 uk election: one party has a large and consistent lead, with some polls showing tightening but the averages remaining stable, and said party goes on to win big. There are parallels beyond that too.
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Roblox
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 06:22:39 PM »
Ooooooo yeah
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Roblox
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 08:31:05 PM »
Oof.
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Roblox
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 10:55:22 PM »
Quote from: 7sergi9 on November 03, 2020, 10:53:57 PM


I, for one, congratulate white men on their personal growth.
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Roblox
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2020, 12:13:12 AM »
The needle now tilts toward Biden in Georgia.
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Roblox
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2020, 08:59:33 AM »
Bit surprised New Mexico swung to Biden at all considering his Hispanic numbers last night.
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Roblox
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2020, 11:28:13 AM »
Quote from: Hnv1 on November 04, 2020, 11:26:21 AM
What's left to count in WI? is 22K lead enough?

I saw Scott Walker himself tweeting that 20k would be extremely difficult to overcome.
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Roblox
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2020, 11:56:24 AM »
Quote from: RINO Tom on November 04, 2020, 11:54:01 AM
I'm really excited to see the exit polls dissected.  I know they could be totally off, but they have such interesting stuff in them.  For example, as Biden seemingly gains among White college grads (going from Clinton barely losing them to Biden allegedly tying with them), Trump's gain among the $100,000+ crowd increased from four years ago?  Assuming for a second that is true, it would point to some serious generational divide explaining at least some of these trends.  (Obviously, when we look at specific places like Johnson County, KS or whatever, that doesn't hold up; these are national numbers.)

Honestly I wouldn’t rely on early exit polls for demographic estimates. The eventual election study should be very interesting though, and the varying swings are very unique to this election and fascinating.
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Roblox
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2020, 12:34:46 PM »
Looking through the results in Virginia, and Biden is indeed the first democrat to win Virginia Beach since 1964 at the presidential level. The Margin is currently 53.0-45.4 (+7.6) according to the NYT page. Not unexpected, but still noteworthy I feel.
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Roblox
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2020, 01:41:49 PM »
Yeah, Biden's Minnesota Margin is very impressive compared to the surrounding midwest states-over 6 points to the left of Wisconsin? The education level+a higher share of the population living in a metro clearly set's it apart from it's neighbors in conversations about trends and realignments.
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Roblox
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2020, 05:36:06 PM »
Kind of beautiful being able to look at blue Wisconsin and Michigan again. The 2016 map is so ugly.
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Roblox
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2020, 07:57:01 PM »
America's political divisions and trends are probably driven by forces other than Russians making sh*tty bots.
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Roblox
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2020, 08:48:16 AM »
CNN saying 140,000 left to count in Philly, 28,000 in bucks.
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Roblox
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« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2020, 10:42:09 AM »
Helpless democratic leadership energy coming from the Trump campaign.
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Roblox
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2020, 10:46:09 AM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on November 05, 2020, 10:43:45 AM
Quote from: Florida Democratic Chairman on November 05, 2020, 10:42:09 AM
Helpless democratic leadership energy coming from the Trump campaign.

Speaking of helpless. You’re a Democrat in Florida? How does that feel....?

Use to be, I’m in Virginia now. Yeah, not great down there in Florida.
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Roblox
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« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2020, 03:38:43 PM »
Apparently Robby Mook ran the DCCC this cycle lol.
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Roblox
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« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2020, 03:49:16 PM »

Actually House Majority Pac, sorry lol, hard to tell these apart. But yes. Gotta love that consultant culture!
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Roblox
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« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2020, 04:49:02 PM »
Quote from: GeneralMacArthur on November 05, 2020, 04:47:36 PM
Is there any risk of Gary Peters losing, at the end of the day, due to oddities in Michigan?

Nah, that’s already called and he’s ahead by 1.5%.
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Roblox
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« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2020, 07:26:26 PM »
Quote from: The Trump Virus on November 05, 2020, 07:22:19 PM
So what is the actual claim of voter fraud?

What are they alleging exactly?


He’s losing, so it must be fraud.
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Roblox
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« Reply #19 on: November 06, 2020, 05:18:04 AM »
Figured Georgia would vote to the left of Florida, but to see that confirmed to this extent... Must be a political sea change in southern politics. Georgia will replace Florida as the prime southern battleground.
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Roblox
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« Reply #20 on: November 06, 2020, 06:20:44 AM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 06, 2020, 06:14:38 AM
might just go full leftist because who cares anymore?

GuyNoddingHeadWithGrin.Gif
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Roblox
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« Reply #21 on: November 06, 2020, 09:12:16 AM »
Joe Viben.
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Roblox
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« Reply #22 on: November 06, 2020, 01:28:08 PM »
The media can’t accept that their ratings cash cow and malarkey has been banished.
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Roblox
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« Reply #23 on: November 06, 2020, 05:44:33 PM »
Pennsylvania really is the England of America. Not sure how much sense that makes but I just wanted to post it.
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Roblox
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« Reply #24 on: November 06, 2020, 06:47:11 PM »
It is August 2021. President Biden just had a gaffe where he calls AOC “that queens firecracker”. Meanwhile, John King is on air saying they can’t call Pennsylvania because the Trump team said Amish provisionals will be great for them.
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