2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Ferguson97]

Fox Should Fire Tucker if these comments are true

They'd never fire him, he's the single most popular person on cable news

[CookieDamage]

We still don't know if these Carlson comments are true so idk

[Angasboy15]

Is the 9k purely military? Or 9k military and expats. Because there's a BIG difference.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Tucker AIRED a clip of a guy saying that Trump supporters own most guns and blood would flow in the streets:

https://twitter.com/el_padrino537/status/1324521755613028354

[Flabuckeye]

Like I stated before about Arizona it's important to look at how the congressional districts are reporting. AZ-5 is at 95% and AZ-8 is at 91%, but AZ-7 is at 89% and AZ-9 is at 88%. Trump is running out of favorable territory in Maricopa County to gain votes.

Where do you see results by Cong district?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1324521104539439105?s=19

[Horus]

Unless Biden takes an ACTUAL lead (and not a theoretical media one) in Pennsylvania, this race is far from over.

Yeah, it sure is slow. Still a lot of conjecture from Dems, I'm not at all convinced Biden has this.

🙄

Roll your eyes all you want, until Biden gets to at least 280 I'm gonna be like this. It's not done, it's way closer than 90% of this board expected, and Trump is more unhinged than ever.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1324519394530136064

wait so was that Pima drop good for Trump so far?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Charlie Gile
@CharlieGileNBC
Here’s the outstanding votes in Georgia, by county (from the SOS’s office):

Clayton 5726
Cobb 700
Floyd 444
Forsyth 4713
Gwinnett 4800
Laurens 1797
Taylor 456

Total 18,936

If that's true, Biden has additional breathing room.

Biden has a pretty good chance then. Here's how the existing absentee ballots in each county have trended:


Clayton 5726 (85% Biden)
Cobb 700 (64% Biden)
Floyd 444 (51% Biden)
Forsyth 4713 (52% Biden)
Gwinnett 4800 (66% Biden)
Laurens 1797 (57% Biden)
Taylor 456 (61%Biden)

Total 18,936

Basically, Clayton alone would erase Trump's margin and then some. The other counties will likely net Biden 2-3K votes so my projection stands.

Isn't the Biden margin only being understated by this as well, because mail-ins everywhere are at least lean D?

[soundchaser]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1324521104539439105?s=19

Seems like Democrats did a good job of reaching out to Native Americans.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1324519394530136064

wait so was that Pima drop good for Trump so far?

It was about on pace with where he wants to be. 

[DrScholl]

Like I stated before about Arizona it's important to look at how the congressional districts are reporting. AZ-5 is at 95% and AZ-8 is at 91%, but AZ-7 is at 89% and AZ-9 is at 88%. Trump is running out of favorable territory in Maricopa County to gain votes.

Where do you see results by Cong district?

I just check the New York Times map for the House races and see how much is reporting in each district.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Like I stated before about Arizona it's important to look at how the congressional districts are reporting. AZ-5 is at 95% and AZ-8 is at 91%, but AZ-7 is at 89% and AZ-9 is at 88%. Trump is running out of favorable territory in Maricopa County to gain votes.

Where do you see results by Cong district?

I think he's looking at House level and extrapolating from that.

[forsythvoter]

Is the 9k purely military? Or 9k military and expats. Because there's a BIG difference.

I doubt the state is going to end up counting more than 2-3k of those ballots since this is just the amount out but they only have until tomorrow to arrive. It includes both military and expats. Also, in GA, the military vote is heavily AA, so probably doesn't lean strongly one way or another.

The provisional ballots may matter more - Gwinnett alone has 1k of them. In a typical election, they lean pretty strongly Democratic.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Like I stated before about Arizona it's important to look at how the congressional districts are reporting. AZ-5 is at 95% and AZ-8 is at 91%, but AZ-7 is at 89% and AZ-9 is at 88%. Trump is running out of favorable territory in Maricopa County to gain votes.

Where do you see results by Cong district?

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-house.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-elections-2020&region=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1324520247509082112?s=20

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Is the 9k purely military? Or 9k military and expats. Because there's a BIG difference.

I doubt the state is going to end up counting more than 2-3k of those ballots since this is just the amount out but they only have until tomorrow to arrive. It includes both military and expats. Also, in GA, the military vote is heavily AA, so probably doesn't lean strongly one way or another.

The provisional ballots may matter more - Gwinnett alone has 1k of them. In a typical election, they lean pretty strongly Democratic.

You've been killing it, Forsyth.  Keep it up!

[ultraviolet]

Al Gross in now saying he thinks he will win, not sure if he actually believes that though

[BaldEagle1991]

Arizona and Georgia will miraculously vote differently

[Badger]

Fox Should Fire Tucker if these comments are true

Galaxy brain take: That's what he wants

1. Call for Republicans to "eliminate fraud" and stay in power whatever the cost

2. Outright threaten Civil War to keep Trump in office

3. Get fired

4. Become martyr

5. Tucker Carlson is now the frontrunner for the 2024 Republican nomination

Good. Let him have his wish. Voters have proven they tend to have Goldfish Memory. Fire him now and see how well remembered he is in 3 years when it's time to announce

[GeorgiaModerate]

CNN reporting Bucks County just dropped 8K votes: Biden 5837, Trump 2863.

[Bootes Void]

Is the 9k purely military? Or 9k military and expats. Because there's a BIG difference.

Military and expats, don't expect them to be too favourable to trump

[ꙮ]

Al Gross in now saying he thinks he will win, not sure if he actually believes that though

Don't buy that for a second, but I would love for it to be true.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Shocking to think about it, but Joe doesn't even need to lead after all the current mail-ins are counted to win the state.
Mind blown I guess.

[wbrocks67]

I really need Clayton to come in soon. NEED to see blue georgia on the map