2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[DrScholl]

Georgia...

Trump: 49.9
Biden: 49.0


I want to believe...I want to believe...

You got to believe!

[TopShelfGoal]

So, with Trump's gains among Latinos and Asians, along with a tiny dent among Black men...if the GOP wants to be viable going forward, they need to take a page out of the Ford Nation playbook.

The difference is that in Canada voters of color don't have any history of hangups with Conservative party and are therefore much more elastic and swingier and willing to vote for Conservatives in big numbers like they did for Harper and Ford. In the US though, there is such a charged racial history between the GOP and voters of color, much of it recent too that I think there is going to be a tight ceiling to how well GOP can do with these voters unless they go out of their way to make amends or nominate Bush Jr.

[Non Swing Voter]

PredictIt giving Biden better odds in PA than AZ.

some uncertainty in AZ.

It's really no contest in PA in my mind at this point.

Biden is consistently getting 80% of the vote in mail ins and there's a ton left and a ton left in Philly in particular.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Trump down to 49.8 in GA.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Georgia...

Trump: 49.9
Biden: 49.0


I want to believe...I want to believe...

EVERYONE INSIDE THE BUNKER NOW! GO GO GO!

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

PredictIt giving Biden better odds in PA than AZ.

some uncertainty in AZ.

It's really no contest in PA in my mind at this point.

Biden is consistently getting 80% of the vote in mail ins and there's a ton left and a ton left in Philly in particular.

Well, if Biden gets PA, he's got 273 even without AZ or NV.

[Progressive Pessimist]

So, with Trump's gains among Latinos and Asians, along with a tiny dent among Black men...if the GOP wants to be viable going forward, they need to take a page out of the Ford Nation playbook.

I know that we were warned about it, and may have wrongly dismissed it, but I am still so baffled that this happened.

What is unknown is if they were just fans of Trump and not the GOP.

True, I do think that a more conventional Republican would go back to doing as bad as Romney did. I just can't wrap my head around how people of color can make excuses for someone so bigoted. I get it when white people do it, but maybe it's some sort of reverse-intersectionality where different minority groups like that Trump disparages certain others? Is it strictly stuff like taxes? I know that the "Socialism!" fear apparently has resonated more than usual with some.

[psychprofessor]

Trump at 47.9 in the NPV. He wound up with 45.9 in 2016. He probably ends up somewhere around 46-46.5 this year. For all the ups and downs he just ended up right where he was four years ago.

[GeneralMacArthur]

Biden down to 72c on PredictIt from 80+ earlier today.  Based on what?  We haven't heard anything at all from Arizona and the only development has been Fox News fending off Trumpworld assaults on their call.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Why did Biden do worse then Beto in TX? He didn't even win Ft. Worth, despite all the insane hype about high turnout in Houston, he did worse then Beto there as well. If Biden wins the PV by 4%, and has lost TX by 6%, then Texas is R+10, that is a pathetic trend from  2016 when it was R+11. The collapse in Hispanic support in Houston, Dallas and the RGV has to be a big part of it.

If Hispanics keep assimilating into white culture, then Dems are going to have to abandon TX, FL in  the short term and focus on Sunbelt states with higher black populations like GA, NC or AZ with a more liberal Latino population. TX is supposed to have a lightning fast D trend, 2020 is just a pathetic result.

[emailking]

Ok Jesusland was nice but:

I can't bear NM, AZ, and OK. Also, I hate that little arm of WV that sneaks into the blue south, and also Maryland's sharp corner against a very curvy divide

Maryland's red if you go by the popular vote.

[Panda Express]

Trump's going to try and run again in 4 years, isn't he? Ugh

He might be dead in four years

[Inmate Trump]

Biden down to 72c on PredictIt from 80+ earlier today.  Based on what?  We haven't heard anything at all from Arizona and the only development has been Fox News fending off Trumpworld assaults on their call.

I'm guessing just the fact that it's still not called yet, and technically Trump could still possibly eek out a win, even though the chances are slimming.

[Hindsight was 2020]

https://mobile.twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1324164360017686528

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1324164360017686528?s=20

[GALeftist]

Biden down to 72c on PredictIt from 80+ earlier today.  Based on what?  We haven't heard anything at all from Arizona and the only development has been Fox News fending off Trumpworld assaults on their call.

Trump voters who are not very intelligent

[forsythvoter]

Folks can probably stop panicking about AZ and NV since GA is looking all but gone for Trump at this point with where the outstanding ballots are coming from.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Biden down to 72c on PredictIt from 80+ earlier today.  Based on what?  We haven't heard anything at all from Arizona and the only development has been Fox News fending off Trumpworld assaults on their call.

He's 86, but Trump is 18 because PredictIt likes adding up to more than 100.

[politics_king]

Biden down to 72c on PredictIt from 80+ earlier today.  Based on what?  We haven't heard anything at all from Arizona and the only development has been Fox News fending off Trumpworld assaults on their call.

I'm guessing just the fact that it's still not called yet, and technically Trump could still possibly eek out a win, even though the chances are slimming.

They could be just Hail Mary bets to get a nice payout from it. People are reckless with money.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Why did Biden do worse then Beto in TX? He didn't even win Ft. Worth, despite all the insane hype about high turnout in Houston, he did worse then Beto there as well.

TBH Tarrant can still flip. But TX analysis won't be that good until we get a precinct map.

[ultraviolet]

Sorry for bringing this up again, but f**k Robert M. La Follette

[Kuumo]

So, with Trump's gains among Latinos and Asians, along with a tiny dent among Black men...if the GOP wants to be viable going forward, they need to take a page out of the Ford Nation playbook.

I know that we were warned about it, and may have wrongly dismissed it, but I am still so baffled that this happened.

What is unknown is if they were just fans of Trump and not the GOP.

True, I do think that a more conventional Republican would go back to doing as bad as Romney did. I just can't wrap my head around how people of color can make excuses for someone so bigoted. I get it when white people do it, but maybe it's some sort of reverse-intersectionality where different minority groups like that Trump disparages certain others? Is it strictly stuff like taxes? I know that the "Socialism!" fear apparently has resonated more than usual with some.

We're going to have a lot of horrible Atlas memes about Machismo Hispanic Trumpbros for the next few years.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Biden down to 72c on PredictIt from 80+ earlier today.  Based on what?  We haven't heard anything at all from Arizona and the only development has been Fox News fending off Trumpworld assaults on their call.

Pima reported ~6k votes and it initially suggested T+20 relative to the country; applying that swing to Maricopa on the late ballots would give Trump an edge. They then clarified that this was a mix of E-day vote and late ballots, so Trump will likely see a smaller swing.

[redjohn]

Sorry for bringing this up again, but f**k Robert M. La Follette

As a Wisconsinite I'm obligated to take personal offense to this

[GALeftist]

So is Georgia officially more winnable than North Carolina as well? Lmao.