2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 618369 times)
Kuumo
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« on: November 03, 2020, 03:52:21 PM »


this can't possibly be true can it? 

Press X to doubt. Partisans on both sides always try to sound optimistic on Election Day before the results come in.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 05:07:13 PM »

I wonder which swing state is the most like Guam?  Huh
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 05:10:29 PM »

I would see that exit poll as a huge warning sign for Biden if I didn't know to take all exit polls this year with a truckload of salt.
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Kuumo
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P P
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 05:13:59 PM »

More inconclusive exit polls that tell us next to nothing.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 05:16:24 PM »

I would see that exit poll as a huge warning sign for Biden if I didn't know to take all exit polls this year with a truckload of salt.

Each year.

It would have been just carloads of salt in previous years. They are even less reliable this year due to the much higher volume of mail-in ballots.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 05:22:24 PM »

Despite most things looking rosy for Biden, the doomers refuse to go down without a fight



I love that we have a doomer needle even though are no NY Times needles yet.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 05:24:38 PM »

There are two kinds of people in the world: those who extrapolate from incomplete data sets.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2020, 06:17:43 PM »

Biden is done! He's down 40 points right now!!!
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2020, 06:23:05 PM »

Hey gang, what's your thoughts on the classic film Kiki's Delivery Service?

I like it fine, but I prefer some of Miyazaki's other films like Spirited Away and Howl's Moving Castle.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2020, 06:24:03 PM »


We'll have to see if Trump ends up getting the 66.6% of the vote I predicted for him.
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Kuumo
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P P
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2020, 06:43:38 PM »

Since on the last page will ask again, since I"m still at work for 20 min, where are people getting the results from?

NY Times and Politico.
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Kuumo
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P P
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2020, 06:56:38 PM »

...These numbers are actually decent for Biden, and I only look at counties with over 75% in.

What have you done with the real Forumlurker161??? Huh
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Kuumo
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P P
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2020, 07:02:45 PM »

THEY CALLED INDIANA BUT NOT KENTUCKY LOL

I never thought I'd see this day!
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Kuumo
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P P
« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2020, 07:04:29 PM »

Trump is up 56-43 in Pasco County with 79%. He won it 59-37 in 2016.

Fingers crossed.
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Kuumo
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P P
« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2020, 07:14:02 PM »

Don't celebrate too soon everyone; Florida is only at 20% reporting on NYT.
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Kuumo
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P P
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2020, 07:22:03 PM »

Biden is only winning by Patrick Murphy margins in Miami-Dade. I'm having trouble seeing how he wins Florida now.
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Kuumo
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P P
« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2020, 07:23:54 PM »

John King on CNN just said it's mostly election day vote in Miami-Dade and early voting is to be counted.

Thanks. I was starting to have a meltdown.
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Kuumo
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P P
« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2020, 07:27:01 PM »

Looks my prediction of Trump +0.2 in Florida has a good chance of being correct.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2020, 07:42:08 PM »

This is why I never predicted Biden winning Florida in this entire election season.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2020, 07:43:49 PM »


Somebody really needs to post a reputable source on Miami-Dade numbers and whether they are in-person or not.
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Kuumo
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P P
« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2020, 07:54:05 PM »

Trump's leading Georgia.

America, we're so screwed.

Atlanta, Atlanta, Atlanta.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2020, 07:57:05 PM »

Wow, Biden actually pulling in decent numbers in Ohio -- better than I expected. 

He will probably narrow the margin to a ~4 point Trump win. Unfortunately, it doesn't matter for the electoral college.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2020, 07:59:25 PM »

South Carolina already called for Trump. This election is a nail-biter.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2020, 08:41:14 PM »


Don't speak too soon; I remember when Hillary was up big in Ohio with less than half reporting.
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Kuumo
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Posts: 2,077


P P
« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2020, 08:44:11 PM »


Based on the suburban counties, it looks like he's going to lose by 2 or 3, like Beto.
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