Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[pbrower2a]

Guys, its gonna be a cruel few weeks for democrats in terms of polling, without question. Whether it continues is still an open question.

History tells us it won't.

Generally, I would agree, but we also have to recognize the unprecedented moment we are in right now. I do NOT think it would be wise to extrapolate previous circumstances, however similar in appearance, to this.

While pandemics are unprecedented, economic crises are not.

Absolutely, but there is still the question of whether people will blame Trump for the recession as intensely as they might otherwise due to the virus causing it, whether polarization will allow him to maintain even approvals, etc etc.

I feel like I am let down by the American public enough by now to know for a fact that Trump won't bear the brunt of a recession as much as he should, especially considering how he gets credit when the economy is good. This nation is demented and warped in the way it perceives things, and it will doom us all.

Democrats have been rough (and they think rightly so) about Trump. Should something go terribly wrong with the American economy, Republicans will fault Democrats for not giving the Republicans full authority to establish their full agenda without qualification.

 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Polls are gonna go up and down based on the 278 EC map by 538. That's why leads flux file. 3.5 to 5.5 percent.

But the fact of the matter is that Trump polls at 45 to 52 percent while Biden polls 48 to 50 percent. Trump believes in TARP for corporations but doesnt believe in reform for Mainstream,  that's why his 2017 tax cuts failed. So far, Trump has funded the govt 2017 failed tax cuts and failed Obamacare repeal.  Thus, Joe Biden will finish reform effort and passed stalled Pelosi Bill's that raises minimum wage and campaign finance reform

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Polls are gonna go up and down based on the 278 EC map by 538. That's why leads flux file. 3.5 to 5.5 percent.

But the fact of the matter is that Trump polls at 45 to 52 percent while Biden polls 48 to 50 percent. Trump believes in TARP for corporations but doesnt believe in reform for Mainstream,  that's why his 2017 tax cuts failed. So far, Trump has funded the govt 2017 failed tax cuts and failed Obamacare repeal.  Thus, Joe Biden will finish reform effort and passed stalled Pelosi Bill's that raises minimum wage and campaign finance reform

If Trump ends up anywhere above 47%, he has a good chance to break the blue wall again. Don't ever underestimate a populist/quasi-protectionist campaign in the Midwest, or the stratifying of Democratic support in areas that are already heavily Democratic like CA, NY and ILL.

At the press conference today, Trump made a textbook Lincolnite/Clay argument for economic independence, hinging off energy independence, to call for being no longer dependent on foreign medicine or foreign manufacturing.

Will Biden leave Trump to this, probably not but Biden just like Hillary has a voting record that Trump can attack.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, when I go outside, people are angry and immigration reform is DOA and the Dems will need a super majority to pass it. Trump will use the same play book as he did on Hilary. It also depends on the Veep selection. Harris or Warren or Klobuchar are pretty much out of the running. Sally Yates have folksy populist appeal like Ernst, SMC as a soccer mom, just like Barb Bollier, and she is from a swing state GA. Voters dont vote solely on Veep, but they can lose an election for you and John Edwards,  and Sarah Palin cost Kerry and McCain the Prez. Harris would resurrect Jesse Smolette and Fox News. Whereas Huckabee for McCain and Dick Gephardt for Kerry could of won the election for them

[wbrocks67]

YouGov (March 22-24, 1000 people)

Approve- 42% (-4)

Disapprove- 53% (+5)

Worth noting that these polls are generally a lot "noisier" than their weekly polls, but I still just wanted to post some polling.

See, this is why polling honestly can't be taken this seriously right now. Things are fluid, and we're seeing ridiculous shifts in both directions just by the day. TY for posting though. I mean, his approval dropping significantly adds up to how he's been acting in the past few days, but things continue to change by the minute.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

MAR 13-22, 2020
B
Gallup
1,020 A
https://news.gallup.com/poll/298313/president-trump-job-approval-rating.aspx

49 (+5 since March 2-13)
45 (-7)

Forgot the Coronavirus.

Handling of Corona:
Approval 60
Disapproval 38%

Approval of Handling of Corona among
GOP 94%
Indies 60%
Dems 27%

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

MAR 20-23, 2020
Global Strategy Group/GBAO
1,038 RV
https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F03.23.20.pdf


Approve 47 (+6)
Disapprove 49 (-7)


Corona:
Approve 52 (+10)
Disapprove 42 (-7)


Economy:
53/43

Are they going to publish on daily basis?

https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F03.24.20.pdf
MAR 21-24, 2020
Global Strategy Group/GBAO
1,012 RV


Approve 46
Disapprove 51


Corona:
Approve 52
Disapprove 43


Economy:
52/45


Trust more on Responding to the coronavirus outbreak:
Democrats in Congress 39%
President Trump 44%

[Inmate Trump]

Trump was literally calling the virus a hoax a month or so ago. He also failed to respond in any way whatsoever when we knew of this virus in December.

[GeorgiaModerate]

MAR 20-23, 2020
Global Strategy Group/GBAO
1,038 RV
https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F03.23.20.pdf


Approve 47 (+6)
Disapprove 49 (-7)


Corona:
Approve 52 (+10)
Disapprove 42 (-7)


Economy:
53/43

Are they going to publish on daily basis?

https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F03.24.20.pdf
MAR 21-24, 2020
Global Strategy Group/GBAO
1,012 RV


Approve 46
Disapprove 51


Corona:
Approve 52
Disapprove 43


Economy:
52/45


Trust more on Responding to the coronavirus outbreak:
Democrats in Congress 39%
President Trump 44%

They've moved to daily tracking for at least the duration of the virus crisis.

[Brittain33]

I’m not so sure that this can just be chalked up to a rally effect. Does half this country even agree that there is a crisis to rally around? Does anyone really think people on the East and West coasts are rallying around a guy basically absolving himself of all responsibility and leaving them to their own devices?

Moreover, I thought that "rally around the flag" usually happens because nations unites, that is President is praised by both parties and, of course, by MS, no???
Now the opposite happens.

Why should Trump praise both Parties when just like with the Impeachment the crazy House Democrats want Universal Mail-Vote in Election & Same Day Registation for all 50 States. What the HECK has this to do with COVID-19? Nothing! Pelosi is such a Dumbass.

Do you not see the connection between universal mail-in vote and coronavirus’s impact on in-person voting?

[pbrower2a]

Mail-in voting would put Indiana in play. Polls close at 6 PM local time

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1242660315990495232

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, March 22-24, 1500 adults including 1170 RV

Adults:

Approve 46 (+2)
Disapprove 49 (-3)

Strongly approve 26 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 38 (nc)


RV:

Approve 47 (+3)
Disapprove 51 (-3)

Strongly approve 30 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 43 (-1)

2020 (RV only):

Generic D 47 (-1), Trump 41 (+1)
Biden 46 (-2), Trump 42 (+1)
Sanders 46 (-2), Trump 44 (+3)

GCB (RV only): D 47 (-2), R 38 (-1)

[Person Man]

Really weird how they keep on wanting Democrats downballot. Maybe the House is at least Likely D because the voters don't really trust either party right now.

[wbrocks67]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, March 22-24, 1500 adults including 1170 RV

Adults:

Approve 46 (+2)
Disapprove 49 (-3)

Strongly approve 26 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 38 (nc)


RV:

Approve 47 (+3)
Disapprove 51 (-3)

Strongly approve 30 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 43 (-1)

2020 (RV only):

Generic D 47 (-1), Trump 41 (+1)
Biden 46 (-2), Trump 42 (+1)
Sanders 46 (-2), Trump 44 (+3)

GCB (RV only): D 47 (-2), R 38 (-1)

The GCB being D+9 while his approval is only -4 is really something

[GP270watch]

 In times when Trump is in trouble(exception being Charlottesville) "shy Trump" and Republcians who claim they don't like Trump are more prone to voice their support. We see this over and over like with impeachment. This means Trump probably has a true base of 44.5-48 percent, add to this "rally around the flag" Americans who probably will never vote for Trump but are willing to give the benefit of the doubt in a crisis and Trump's bump isn't much.

 GWB had approvals in the 85-90s after 9/11 for a period of months. He still faced a very polarized election in 2004.

[Woody]

For the first time in 3 years, Trump's disapproval rating is now lower than 50% according to RCP.

[American2020]

President Trump Job Approval (Yougov)


March 23 - 25, 2020 - 1000 US adult citizens

Registered voters

Strongly approve 34%
Somewhat approve 12%
Somewhat disapprove 10%
Strongly disapprove 42%
Not sure 2%

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/0viw0g2op4/tabs_Trump_Tweets_20200323.pdf

[Progressive Pessimist]

Trump was literally calling the virus a hoax a month or so ago. He also failed to respond in any way whatsoever when we knew of this virus in December.

Of course, and it should be a damning indication of his lack of leadership ability, but people seem to have forgotten about that.

[It’s so Joever]

Just wait a few weeks before reaching conclusions.

[Inmate Trump]

Trump was literally calling the virus a hoax a month or so ago. He also failed to respond in any way whatsoever when we knew of this virus in December.

Of course, and it should be a damning indication of his lack of leadership ability, but people seem to have forgotten about that.

I would be surprised if it isn't a temporary bump.

The American people are panicking right now and looking for guidance from leadership.  Once the dust settles, things will even out again.

On the other hand, who knows?

[Progressive Pessimist]

Just wait a few weeks before reaching conclusions.

I know. I'm sure Trump will get overconfident again and whenever he is overconfident he makes obvious mistakes and his numbers come crashing back down. I'm just too impatient to wait for that, and too exhausted by Americans continuing to touch the stove after being burned by it so many times.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), March 18-24, 4428 adults including 3763 RV

Adults:

Approve 44 (+2)
Disapprove 52 (-1)

Strongly approve 25 (+4)
Strongly disapprove 38 (nc)


RV:

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 52 (-2)

Strongly approve 27 (+5)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-1)


Note: this poll is usually a two-day survey with a sample of about 1000, but it's much expanded this week for some reason.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump isnt gonna be reelected, he still has been impeached and his lawyers are serving 40 mnths in prison

[Badger]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1242660315990495232

OMG. The CNN so-called analysts actually are postulating trumps relocating His official residence to Florida was for electoral reasons rather than taxes, and more importantly that it actually might make some impact on the race. As if more than one undecided voter in a million down there is going to care that his official home is now Mar-A-Lago instead of Trump Tower. What complete and utter maroons.