Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Progressive Pessimist]

Most polling has suggested that it's Democrats that have seen the largest increase in approval for Trump, which means it's not too difficult to imagine that number going back down to where it has been.

That indeed seems to be the case, which is just stupid! Whoever these Democrats are just gave Trump the ability to make himself look credible at a time when he hasn't actually earned it. Even if/when they come to their senses Trump can still claim that the majority of Americans (including Democrats) approved of how he handled a crisis. Thanks for helping to water down a primary argument for getting rid of him, you dunces!

[GeorgiaModerate]

Worth noting that the Fox poll with Trump at a record 48/51 approval has now released their GE matchup numbers:

Biden 49, Trump 40

Also:

The race remains a nine-point advantage for Biden over Trump when looking only at those voters extremely interested in the election (52-43 percent) and the former vice president has an eight-point edge in battleground states (48-40 percent).

However, Biden’s advantage grows to 25 points, 57-32 percent, in close counties (where Hillary Clinton and Trump were within 10 points in 2016).

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-biden-leads-trump-wins-high-marks-for-female-vp-pledge

[Anti-Bothsidesism]

Expect those numbers to go down in certain states

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Michigan Washington and maybe California/New York if poor donnie gets his feelings hurt.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

The Democratic approval of his handling is soft support and there's been no major effort to counter the narrative that he is doing a great job, but once people start getting the word out like it is now, we're seeing it start to go down again.

[windjammer]

I mean, I expect Trump to have a +2 job approval or something like that.

[wbrocks67]

His corona approval is now in the negatives in the tracking survey:

March 20-23: 52/42 (+10)
March 21-24: 52/43 (+9)
March 22-25: 48/48 (=)
March 23-26: 49/49 (=)
March 24-27: 47/50 (-3)

https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F03.27.20.pdf

[GeorgiaModerate]

Here's something that's been puzzling me.  Trump has undoubtedly seen an approval bump recently, and if there's any pollster you'd expect to reflect a Trump bump, it would be Rasmussen.  But...they haven't.  I plotted their daily approval ratings for February and March:





As you can see, it was relatively stable through February, then took a sudden drop to a new level a few points lower, and has stayed there through March.

Data source: https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/trump_approval_index_history

[Fuzzy Bear]

Here's something that's been puzzling me.  Trump has undoubtedly seen an approval bump recently, and if there's any pollster you'd expect to reflect a Trump bump, it would be Rasmussen.  But...they haven't.  I plotted their daily approval ratings for February and March:





As you can see, it was relatively stable through February, then took a sudden drop to a new level a few points lower, and has stayed there through March.

Data source: https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/trump_approval_index_history

Rasmussen's polling has always had a tilt toward the "investor class".  They have taken the biggest hit, have they not?  I would think that their sample is a bit heavier on the investor class and those folks probably think Trump could have managed this in a way that didn't tank the economy.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fox news own polling has Biden plus 9, and the House Rs objected to their own Prez own stimulus bill, Biden and Harris are gonna be in the Oval Office, due to face Trump own NAFTA policies that he reneged on, with China, created this coronavirus from China. That's why Trump has flatlined in MI🤩🤩🤩

A wave isnt imminent until the end of the election cycle,  but since MI is a Bellwether,  Trump has lost the 279 EC map

OH can go to Biden due to Black support in NE Ohio and Cincinnati unlike IA which is rural

[Podgy the Bear]

The Democratic approval of his handling is soft support and there's been no major effort to counter the narrative that he is doing a great job, but once people start getting the word out like it is now, we're seeing it start to go down again.

It is already starting to go down.  The understanding that we're not going back to the way it was by Easter (despite his stupid comments to the contrary) is beginning to seep through, and the reality and fallout from this is going to hurt.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

The Democratic approval of his handling is soft support and there's been no major effort to counter the narrative that he is doing a great job, but once people start getting the word out like it is now, we're seeing it start to go down again.

It is already starting to go down.  The understanding that we're not going back to the way it was by Easter (despite his stupid comments to the contrary) is beginning to seep through, and the reality and fallout from this is going to hurt.

If anything, his Easter comments will probably hurt him by creating unmet expectations.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why havent bprower responded in this thread with his maps?

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Why havent bprower responded in this thread with his maps?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why havent bprower responded in this thread with his maps?

I was wondering the samething

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Trump approval at all time high, only 2.0 points behind disapproval.

[Person Man]

Trump approval at all time high, only 2.0 points behind disapproval.

Not really translating downballot

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Does it matter, he hasnt opened any businesses up and sports and schools are still closed, as well as visiting for hospitals. He wont get any bump until we have recovered from the Trump Recession

[Del Tachi]

An interesting tidbit re: Trump's recent approval surge is that he's been doing better in polls including all adults than those screening for likely voters.  I'll interpret this to mean that his approval surge is being powered by less-engaged, low-information voters who are only following the news tangentially.   

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1244025031572828162

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There will be temp spikes in his approvals,  as voters see he is doing a good job, but Trump cant be reelected unless businesses are fully operational and running, he knows that. That's why, at this late date he is putting the full force of the military behind this, but even in Nov, we still not be fully recovered

[wbrocks67]

No bump for Trump in MA.

Massachusetts
Governor Charlie Baker corona Approval: 80/13
Donald Trump corona Approval: 28/64

https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/03/29/metro/read-full-results-suffolkglobe-poll-about-coronavirus-response/?p1=Article_Inline_Related_Box

[Tintrlvr]

Here's something that's been puzzling me.  Trump has undoubtedly seen an approval bump recently, and if there's any pollster you'd expect to reflect a Trump bump, it would be Rasmussen.  But...they haven't.  I plotted their daily approval ratings for February and March:





As you can see, it was relatively stable through February, then took a sudden drop to a new level a few points lower, and has stayed there through March.

Data source: https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/trump_approval_index_history

Honestly? It's because Rasmussen is a completely fake pollster and has been for years, surviving on the fact that they were a reputable pollster back in the 2004-2008 era.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The initial bump was a delayed reaction to voters not blaming Trump for the Recession and the voters were reacting with approval on how a decent job Trump was doing. Now, voters are coming to realize, just like Bush W bad trade policies with China, Trump is the cause of this recession and thus Trump will be blamed in Nov for causing this mess and Biden has to fix it like Obama in 2008

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Rally-around-the-flag might be fading. Same pollster had it 48/48 a few days ago.

https://twitter.com/politics_polls/status/1244077436251373573?s=21

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I was wondering is pbrowler2a not doing the approval rating maps, due to the improvement of Trump poll numbers or what?

It's not like him to stay away from maps this long