2024 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread
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Author Topic: 2024 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 46441 times)
Oryxslayer
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« Reply #500 on: October 07, 2023, 12:05:13 AM »
You can tell who in this discussion has experience with off-cycle special elections in the Central Valley,  and who hasn't.
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Spectator
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« Reply #501 on: October 07, 2023, 11:26:18 AM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on October 07, 2023, 12:05:13 AM
You can tell who in this discussion has experience with off-cycle special elections in the Central Valley,  and who hasn't.

California, Texas, and Florida Democrats really compete for the title of worst special election efforts/results.
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #502 on: October 07, 2023, 09:57:22 PM »
Quote from: As the sun sets tonight I'll hold you with all that I am on October 05, 2023, 09:16:08 AM
Quote from: Senator Incitatus on October 05, 2023, 01:00:45 AM
News anchors are always strong candidates.
People say that but I can't think of any examples of any actually winning.
Diane Allen famously outran the baseline in her NJ district by about 20 points.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #503 on: October 13, 2023, 03:33:51 PM »

Could be something to watch, with or without redistricting.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #504 on: October 15, 2023, 01:26:39 PM »
« Edited: October 15, 2023, 01:32:56 PM by Roll Roons »

He's obviously beyond DOA, but a part of me will miss the comic relief that he brings.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #505 on: October 15, 2023, 01:48:45 PM »
Omg, I don't think I've ever seen someone raise negative money before??? lmao
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #506 on: October 15, 2023, 03:10:37 PM »
Users are so worried about polls 400 days from Eday Biden is gonna win

The S inc except for Manchin follows the 303 map Tester and Brown too, it's 400 days not 60

Emerson really trolled PA and WI
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #507 on: October 15, 2023, 04:15:35 PM »
That may be the worst Congressional finance report in history.
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20RP12
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« Reply #508 on: October 15, 2023, 04:25:27 PM »
How is it possible to raise negative money?!
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #509 on: October 15, 2023, 04:40:29 PM »
Quote from: A world of orphans on October 15, 2023, 04:25:27 PM
How is it possible to raise negative money?!

Everything is the opposite of what George Santos wishes reality could be.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #510 on: October 15, 2023, 05:00:07 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 15, 2023, 01:26:39 PM

He's obviously beyond DOA, but a part of me will miss the comic relief that he brings.

He is a true character. No writer could come up with someone like him.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #511 on: October 15, 2023, 07:38:40 PM »
Quote from: A world of orphans on October 15, 2023, 04:25:27 PM
How is it possible to raise negative money?!

Refund of contributions.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #512 on: October 16, 2023, 12:07:54 AM »
Summary of Q3 fundraising for vulnerable incumbents:


Again, worth noting that 20 House Republicans in battleground districts raised over $500K, while only 12 battleground district Democrats did so.
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Spectator
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« Reply #513 on: October 16, 2023, 12:05:49 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 16, 2023, 12:07:54 AM
Summary of Q3 fundraising for vulnerable incumbents:

Again, worth noting that 20 House Republicans in battleground districts raised over $500K, while only 12 battleground district Democrats did so.

There are 13 more Biden district Republicans than there are Trump district Democrats, so that’s about what one would expect.
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Atlas Force
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« Reply #514 on: October 16, 2023, 12:09:36 PM »
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Spectator
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« Reply #515 on: October 16, 2023, 12:42:44 PM »
Quote from: Atlas Force on October 16, 2023, 12:09:36 PM


Arguably the most beautiful district in America.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #516 on: October 16, 2023, 04:56:55 PM »
Quote from: Atlas Force on October 16, 2023, 12:09:36 PM


He’s unlikely to win, but if he runs a strong campaign he could come closer than O’Halleran did. Also Crane is the type of candidate I can potentially see a Boebert-style collapse for. That being said he’s fairly uncontroversial for a hardcore Trumper, and I have a feeling he’ll run against Mark Kelly in 2028.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #517 on: October 16, 2023, 05:03:31 PM »
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on October 16, 2023, 04:56:55 PM
Quote from: Atlas Force on October 16, 2023, 12:09:36 PM


He’s unlikely to win, but if he runs a strong campaign he could come closer than O’Halleran did. Also Crane is the type of candidate I can potentially see a Boebert-style collapse for. That being said he’s fairly uncontroversial for a hardcore Trumper, and I have a feeling he’ll run against Mark Kelly in 2028.

Crane could definitely go down if he’s asleep at the wheel and it isn’t too Republican a year, but this is definitely Lean R and closer to Likely R than Tilt R.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #518 on: October 16, 2023, 05:05:40 PM »
Quote from: Chancellor Tanterterg on October 16, 2023, 05:03:31 PM
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on October 16, 2023, 04:56:55 PM
Quote from: Atlas Force on October 16, 2023, 12:09:36 PM


He’s unlikely to win, but if he runs a strong campaign he could come closer than O’Halleran did. Also Crane is the type of candidate I can potentially see a Boebert-style collapse for. That being said he’s fairly uncontroversial for a hardcore Trumper, and I have a feeling he’ll run against Mark Kelly in 2028.

Crane could definitely go down if he’s asleep at the wheel and it isn’t too Republican a year.

Do you think Prescott will shift left? I feel like that's probably what it would take for Democrats to actually win this seat.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #519 on: October 16, 2023, 05:50:08 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 16, 2023, 05:05:40 PM
Quote from: Chancellor Tanterterg on October 16, 2023, 05:03:31 PM
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on October 16, 2023, 04:56:55 PM
Quote from: Atlas Force on October 16, 2023, 12:09:36 PM


He’s unlikely to win, but if he runs a strong campaign he could come closer than O’Halleran did. Also Crane is the type of candidate I can potentially see a Boebert-style collapse for. That being said he’s fairly uncontroversial for a hardcore Trumper, and I have a feeling he’ll run against Mark Kelly in 2028.

Crane could definitely go down if he’s asleep at the wheel and it isn’t too Republican a year.

Do you think Prescott will shift left? I feel like that's probably what it would take for Democrats to actually win this seat.
They would need both Prescott/Sedona (Yavapai county) to swing their way along with Pinal county along with massive turnout with natives in Apache county and a further leftward swing in Flagstaff (Coconino county). Maricopa, Graham, and Mohave are solid blue counties and will swing left and vote like D+75/85/35 respectively but that won't make a difference.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #520 on: October 16, 2023, 09:31:40 PM »
Just saying that Crane’s seat is quite demographically similar to Boebert’s seat, and we all know how that ended up.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #521 on: October 16, 2023, 09:54:49 PM »
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on October 16, 2023, 09:31:40 PM
Just saying that Crane’s seat is quite demographically similar to Boebert’s seat, and we all know how that ended up.

Nez is an infinitely stronger candidate than Frisch
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #522 on: October 16, 2023, 10:46:23 PM »
Peltola won't lose ranked choice voting
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Spectator
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« Reply #523 on: October 16, 2023, 11:45:32 PM »
Quote from: Chancellor Tanterterg on October 16, 2023, 09:54:49 PM
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on October 16, 2023, 09:31:40 PM
Just saying that Crane’s seat is quite demographically similar to Boebert’s seat, and we all know how that ended up.

Nez is an infinitely stronger candidate than Frisch

Nez lost his reelection race as Navajo president. Hardly the hallmark of a strong challenger.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #524 on: October 17, 2023, 02:54:23 AM »
Wow Powell in Facebook is only down 1 and Rodriguez is  up 1 on Cruz wave insurance
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