2024 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread
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Author Topic: 2024 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 45564 times)
Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #600 on: December 04, 2023, 06:56:49 PM »
Quote from: America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS on December 04, 2023, 06:07:10 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on December 04, 2023, 01:52:32 PM
Latimer officially filed for NY-16:
He is the guy that compared Cuomo being ousted to the lynching of Emmenet Till.

Please cite
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #601 on: December 05, 2023, 09:12:29 AM »
Quote from: Chancellor Tanterterg on December 04, 2023, 06:56:49 PM
Quote from: America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS on December 04, 2023, 06:07:10 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on December 04, 2023, 01:52:32 PM
Latimer officially filed for NY-16:
He is the guy that compared Cuomo being ousted to the lynching of Emmenet Till.

Please cite
here
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #602 on: December 08, 2023, 12:10:40 PM »
538 GCB tracker has shifted back to Democrats by a hair:

Dems 43.8%
Reps 43.7%

Newest polls this week are McLaughlin (R+4), YouGov/Economist (D+1) and Emerson (D+1)
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #603 on: December 12, 2023, 12:00:36 PM »


The primary versus Menendez Jr. is on. And yeah, one suspects this won't go far with the NJ machines and Hispanic electorate. Though, if there is a year when the Menendez family gets dumped,  it's this year which is why he's moving now. Also IIRC some of the Hudson mayors have been slow to move in any way here, cause they don't want to get tied to Menendez if his toxicity trickles down to his kid.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #604 on: December 13, 2023, 04:55:02 PM »

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #605 on: December 14, 2023, 10:05:50 AM »
538 tracker swings back to GOP, 44.0% - 43.5%.

New polls this week are YouGov/Economist (D+3) and RMG (R+6)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #606 on: December 14, 2023, 10:09:29 AM »
Generic ballot on the new Morning Consult polls out today:

NV: D+1, 44-43
PA: tie, 45-45
AZ: R+1, 44-43
WI: R+2, 45-43
MI: R+3, 46-43
GA: R+5, 48-43
NC: R+7, 48-41
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #607 on: December 14, 2023, 10:20:13 AM »
Drew Ferguson (GA-03) is retiring at the end of this term.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #608 on: December 14, 2023, 12:13:59 PM »
Cygnal at a tie, 46-46

538 tracker moves down a smidge to R+0.4. 44.1 - 43.7.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #609 on: December 15, 2023, 09:43:27 PM »
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #610 on: December 16, 2023, 12:11:07 PM »
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #611 on: December 18, 2023, 06:09:02 PM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on December 16, 2023, 12:11:07 PM


Congrats on flipping a gerrymandered district that was guaranteed to change hands. Red Wave '24!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #612 on: December 19, 2023, 06:07:05 PM »
« Edited: December 19, 2023, 11:10:29 PM by Dr Oz Lost Party! »
New Muhlenberg poll has the generic ballot in Pennsylvania at D+3 (46-43%).

https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/PA_Elec_Dec23_Report_FINAL.pdf

And a new commonwealth foundation survey (Republican pollster) has it tied 40-40%.

Favorability of the GOP is 41-57% (-16)

Favorability of the Democratic Party is 43-53% (-10)

https://www.commonwealthfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Common-Ground-Q4-2023-Toplines.pdf
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #613 on: December 20, 2023, 10:02:34 AM »
Quote from: Dr Oz Lost Party! on December 19, 2023, 06:07:05 PM
New Muhlenberg poll has the generic ballot in Pennsylvania at D+3 (46-43%).

https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/PA_Elec_Dec23_Report_FINAL.pdf

And a new commonwealth foundation survey (Republican pollster) has it tied 40-40%.

Favorability of the GOP is 41-57% (-16)

Favorability of the Democratic Party is 43-53% (-10)

https://www.commonwealthfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Common-Ground-Q4-2023-Toplines.pdf



Excited for another round of "Susan Wild and Matt Cartwright are in serious danger, Lean R!"
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #614 on: December 22, 2023, 02:41:54 PM »

Congrats on Jen Kiggans for winning a 2nd term!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #615 on: December 23, 2023, 10:12:36 AM »
Echelon tied GCB, 47-47.

GCB tracker moves back to Dems, D+0.5. 44.2-43.8

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/2024/
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #616 on: December 23, 2023, 11:04:50 PM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on December 22, 2023, 02:41:54 PM

Congrats on Jen Kiggans for winning a 2nd term!

I feel like VA-02 and NJ-07 are the most glaring recruitment failures for House Democrats. Doesn’t mean either of them can’t lose, but the fields in both races look pretty underwhelming.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #617 on: December 23, 2023, 11:42:16 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on December 23, 2023, 11:04:50 PM
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on December 22, 2023, 02:41:54 PM

Congrats on Jen Kiggans for winning a 2nd term!

I feel like VA-02 and NJ-07 are the most glaring recruitment failures for House Democrats. Doesn’t mean either of them can’t lose, but the fields in both races look pretty underwhelming.
With Trump on the ballot it provides a lot of contrast to generic, "boring", normal Republicans and thus improves voters image of them. We saw this in both 2016 and 2020, but yeah it doesn't help when you can't recruit a decent opponent either.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #618 on: December 23, 2023, 11:59:35 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on December 23, 2023, 11:04:50 PM
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on December 22, 2023, 02:41:54 PM

Congrats on Jen Kiggans for winning a 2nd term!

I feel like VA-02 and NJ-07 are the most glaring recruitment failures for House Democrats. Doesn’t mean either of them can’t lose, but the fields in both races look pretty underwhelming.

Am I missing something? What exactly did she do wrong in the video?
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #619 on: December 25, 2023, 06:46:21 AM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on December 23, 2023, 11:42:16 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on December 23, 2023, 11:04:50 PM
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on December 22, 2023, 02:41:54 PM

Congrats on Jen Kiggans for winning a 2nd term!

I feel like VA-02 and NJ-07 are the most glaring recruitment failures for House Democrats. Doesn’t mean either of them can’t lose, but the fields in both races look pretty underwhelming.
With Trump on the ballot it provides a lot of contrast to generic, "boring", normal Republicans and thus improves voters image of them. We saw this in both 2016 and 2020, but yeah it doesn't help when you can't recruit a decent opponent either.
Only thing is Biden is so unpopular a lot of democrats look better than him right now just not being him
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #620 on: December 25, 2023, 06:47:05 AM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on December 23, 2023, 11:42:16 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on December 23, 2023, 11:04:50 PM
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on December 22, 2023, 02:41:54 PM

Congrats on Jen Kiggans for winning a 2nd term!

I feel like VA-02 and NJ-07 are the most glaring recruitment failures for House Democrats. Doesn’t mean either of them can’t lose, but the fields in both races look pretty underwhelming.
With Trump on the ballot it provides a lot of contrast to generic, "boring", normal Republicans and thus improves voters image of them. We saw this in both 2016 and 2020, but yeah it doesn't help when you can't recruit a decent opponent either.
Kiggans isnt even moderate lol. It’s so pathetic
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #621 on: December 25, 2023, 07:31:14 AM »
Quote from: Dr Oz Lost Party! on December 23, 2023, 11:59:35 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on December 23, 2023, 11:04:50 PM
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on December 22, 2023, 02:41:54 PM

Congrats on Jen Kiggans for winning a 2nd term!

I feel like VA-02 and NJ-07 are the most glaring recruitment failures for House Democrats. Doesn’t mean either of them can’t lose, but the fields in both races look pretty underwhelming.

Am I missing something? What exactly did she do wrong in the video?

Yeah I'm not seeing the problem.
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Pericles
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« Reply #622 on: December 25, 2023, 11:09:04 AM »
The iconic Love Actually political ad will always be this one.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #623 on: December 25, 2023, 11:46:29 AM »
Quote from: Pericles on December 25, 2023, 11:09:04 AM
The iconic Love Actually political ad will always be this one.


Brilliant usage of the election's December timing to hammer a message home.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #624 on: December 27, 2023, 08:23:18 PM »

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