Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration
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  Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration
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Author Topic: Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration  (Read 344528 times)
Vern
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« Reply #4325 on: November 02, 2021, 06:18:44 PM »

what is the best site to look at for results?
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Chips
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4326 on: November 02, 2021, 06:18:54 PM »

Youngkin leading narrowly in Chesterfield.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #4327 on: November 02, 2021, 06:19:01 PM »

Henrico County +10 Tmac 1.3k votes
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lfromnj
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« Reply #4328 on: November 02, 2021, 06:19:08 PM »


Not to doom but I can establish that a single precinct in Virginia is voting notably to the right of 2017 with more raw votes.

Doesn't include early vote.
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #4329 on: November 02, 2021, 06:19:32 PM »

Culpepper not looking good
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #4330 on: November 02, 2021, 06:19:42 PM »

Didn't someone earlier say that mail ballots would get reported first so it may skew that way?
I believe that was the case, yes.
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BigSerg
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« Reply #4331 on: November 02, 2021, 06:19:47 PM »

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Big Abraham
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« Reply #4332 on: November 02, 2021, 06:19:47 PM »

Youngkin leading narrowly in Chesterfield.

Not anymore.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #4333 on: November 02, 2021, 06:19:47 PM »

Youngkin leading narrowly in Chesterfield.

With 15k votes already counted
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4334 on: November 02, 2021, 06:19:54 PM »

CNN exit also has "pre-election voters" at

43% D
26% R
31% I

which seems a bit low for Ds compared to what we saw (modeled at a +22 Dem lead), and Indies in pre-election are also going McAuliffe 61-37 too
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #4335 on: November 02, 2021, 06:20:00 PM »

I'm going ahead and calling it for Youngkin.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #4336 on: November 02, 2021, 06:20:04 PM »

Didn't someone earlier say that mail ballots would get reported first so it may skew that way?

In some counties like Fairfax, yeah.  But they didn't report quickly like they promised...
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
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« Reply #4337 on: November 02, 2021, 06:20:31 PM »

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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #4338 on: November 02, 2021, 06:20:36 PM »

I’m confused. Who’s gonna win?
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sting in the rafters
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« Reply #4339 on: November 02, 2021, 06:20:43 PM »

The current live breakdown on CNN's exit polls has the 2020 presidential vote at 46/46, liberal turnout at 23%, and the conservative vote at 90+% for Youngkin and unusually high at 38% . So either:

A) Entire sample isn't in yet
B) 04 and 18 repeat where it was a sh**tty sample altogether
C) A lot of voters are lying about their prior voting history
D) The polls were right and people in the VA-Dem GOTV operation+T-Mac campaign need to be yote into the Potomac for letting the Rs so easily control the narrative and issues of a winnable race.
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Big Abraham
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« Reply #4340 on: November 02, 2021, 06:21:04 PM »


Never mind it flipped back. I'm not doing this sh**t all night, lol
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4341 on: November 02, 2021, 06:21:11 PM »

It looks like the red mirage is real again in VA
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4342 on: November 02, 2021, 06:21:13 PM »

Chesterfield is already 1/3 in.  Keeps flipping back and forth.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #4343 on: November 02, 2021, 06:21:25 PM »

The current live breakdown on CNN has the 2020 presidential vote at 46/46, liberal turnout at 23%, and the conservative vote . So either:

A) Entire sample isn't in yet
B) 04 and 18 repeat where it was a sh**tty sample altogether
C) A lot of voters are lying about their prior voting history
D) The polls were right and people in the VA-Dem GOTV operation+T-Mac campaign need to be yote into the Potomac for letting the Rs so easily control the narrative and issues of a winnable race.

It is D.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #4344 on: November 02, 2021, 06:21:37 PM »


Looks like Youngkin.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #4345 on: November 02, 2021, 06:21:41 PM »

Popcorn sellers.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #4346 on: November 02, 2021, 06:21:46 PM »

Rockingham 81% Younkin with 10k votes counted
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Chips
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« Reply #4347 on: November 02, 2021, 06:21:49 PM »

McAuliffe leads in Chesterfield by 19 votes...
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
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« Reply #4348 on: November 02, 2021, 06:22:02 PM »

CNN exit also has "pre-election voters" at

43% D
26% R
31% I

which seems a bit low for Ds compared to what we saw (modeled at a +22 Dem lead), and Indies in pre-election are also going McAuliffe 61-37 too

Man, wait a couple of hours, or at least an hour. You don't need work that hard, unskewing everything now.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #4349 on: November 02, 2021, 06:22:07 PM »

leecannon would know a thing or two about that.
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