Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[OSR stands with Israel]

MJ or LeBron would be a better debate

[swf541]

Just saw a VA delegate ad.... why....

[Non Swing Voter]

Just saw a VA delegate ad.... why....

I see tons of delegate ads for candidates not even in my district.  They are just all deep in money right now.  This is the problem with being one of only 2 states with major elections this year.  The whole f'ing country is pumping money into all the local channels. 

Was watching tv earlier and the entire commercial segment, at least 5 or 6 ads were political ads, 2 of them from Youngkin in the same commercial break.

[jamestroll]

A Governor Youngkin would result in me never wearing a fleece again...

[swf541]

Just saw a VA delegate ad.... why....

I see tons of delegate ads for candidates not even in my district.  They are just all deep in money right now.  This is the problem with being one of only 2 states with major elections this year.  The whole f'ing country is pumping money into all the local channels. 

Was watching tv earlier and the entire commercial segment, at least 5 or 6 ads were political ads, 2 of them from Youngkin in the same commercial break.

Yep had the same last night

[swf541]

As i watch more television this evening and see more ads, Ill also comment I think the dem ads for AG+LG are much better in terms of balancing trump/other topics

[NOVA Green]

This entire thread is so bunk....

We have (109) pages even prior to the election, and I simply post asking for does Atlas Hive have benchmarks and then an hour later we have three pages of random squabbling for the most part and some old Dave Wasserman benchmarks from three weeks ago which appears to be only TV by candidate by county and not % vote by county....

Jesus Christo.... "Come on Man".... give us some real juice since here we are on the Friday evening before Tuesday's election, AND WE DEMAND ANSWERS from Virginia SME's and not petty bickering!!!!

[letsgobrandon]

Republicans sweep all 3 offices.

[Non Swing Voter]

This entire thread is so bunk....

We have (109) pages even prior to the election, and I simply post asking for does Atlas Hive have benchmarks and then an hour later we have three pages of random squabbling for the most part and some old Dave Wasserman benchmarks from three weeks ago which appears to be only TV by candidate by county and not % vote by county....

Jesus Christo.... "Come on Man".... give us some real juice since here we are on the Friday evening before Tuesday's election, AND WE DEMAND ANSWERS from Virginia SME's and not petty bickering!!!!

I literally responded to your post with benchmarks.

[Mr. Reactionary]

what is it about this state that brings out the worst in Atlas? Always VA, I swear...

I am the sanest Virginia Democrat on Atlas.

Lol. You keep imagining us poor rurals are going to go up to your place. Its not like we are antifa.

[fhtagn]

A Governor Youngkin would result in me never wearing a fleece again...

It's not that serious.

[NOVA Green]

Republicans sweep all 3 offices.

Welcome to the Forum!!!

Let's see if your prophecy is fulfilled.   

If you care to expand, would definitely be a breath of fresh air after some of the various posts we have seen over the past week or two here.   

[letsgobrandon]

Republicans sweep all 3 offices.

Welcome to the Forum!!!

Let's see if your prophecy is fulfilled.   

If you care to expand, would definitely be a breath of fresh air after some of the various posts we have seen over the past week or two here.   

Terry has collapsed in the last week, Hala Ayala is a radical defund the police socialist, and Mark Herring wears blackface.

If any of them win it will be a shame.

[NOVA Green]

This entire thread is so bunk....

We have (109) pages even prior to the election, and I simply post asking for does Atlas Hive have benchmarks and then an hour later we have three pages of random squabbling for the most part and some old Dave Wasserman benchmarks from three weeks ago which appears to be only TV by candidate by county and not % vote by county....

Jesus Christo.... "Come on Man".... give us some real juice since here we are on the Friday evening before Tuesday's election, AND WE DEMAND ANSWERS from Virginia SME's and not petty bickering!!!!

I literally responded to your post with benchmarks.

Somebody else's and three weeks old, but no I'm totally cool with what you did there, but was hoping for maybe a higher level of analysis...

[Non Swing Voter]

This entire thread is so bunk....

We have (109) pages even prior to the election, and I simply post asking for does Atlas Hive have benchmarks and then an hour later we have three pages of random squabbling for the most part and some old Dave Wasserman benchmarks from three weeks ago which appears to be only TV by candidate by county and not % vote by county....

Jesus Christo.... "Come on Man".... give us some real juice since here we are on the Friday evening before Tuesday's election, AND WE DEMAND ANSWERS from Virginia SME's and not petty bickering!!!!

I literally responded to your post with benchmarks.

Somebody else's and three weeks old, but no I'm totally cool with what you did there, but was hoping for maybe a higher level of analysis...

No idea what you are talking about.  I posted my own benchmarks of NOVA counties.  I didn't post the Wasserman crap.  I don't value his tweets.

[Mr. Reactionary]

My pub leeker is visiting this weekend. I'll try to see if hes seen any new internals. Last week's was Youngkin +2 which is more likely than the Youngkin +8 Dem internal i was leaked last week.

[Non Swing Voter]

My pub leeker is visiting this weekend. I'll try to see if hes seen any new internals. Last week's was Youngkin +2 which is more likely than the Youngkin +8 Dem internal i was leaked last week.

 🙄

[Mr. Reactionary]

My pub leeker is visiting this weekend. I'll try to see if hes seen any new internals. Last week's was Youngkin +2 which is more likely than the Youngkin +8 Dem internal i was leaked last week.

 🙄

I didn't say i believed it but yeah it does exist.

[jamestroll]

Based on no birth times.. if i based it only on astrology

Trumpkin defeats Tmac
Alaya barely defeats Sears
Herring Defeats miyares

But again, I do not have birth times.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Just saw a VA delegate ad.... why....

I see tons of delegate ads for candidates not even in my district.  They are just all deep in money right now.  This is the problem with being one of only 2 states with major elections this year.  The whole f'ing country is pumping money into all the local channels. 

Was watching tv earlier and the entire commercial segment, at least 5 or 6 ads were political ads, 2 of them from Youngkin in the same commercial break.

Yep had the same last night

The virtue of being in the DC media market.

[NOVA Green]

This entire thread is so bunk....

We have (109) pages even prior to the election, and I simply post asking for does Atlas Hive have benchmarks and then an hour later we have three pages of random squabbling for the most part and some old Dave Wasserman benchmarks from three weeks ago which appears to be only TV by candidate by county and not % vote by county....

Jesus Christo.... "Come on Man".... give us some real juice since here we are on the Friday evening before Tuesday's election, AND WE DEMAND ANSWERS from Virginia SME's and not petty bickering!!!!

I literally responded to your post with benchmarks.

Somebody else's and three weeks old, but no I'm totally cool with what you did there, but was hoping for maybe a higher level of analysis...

No idea what you are talking about.  I posted my own benchmarks of NOVA counties.  I didn't post the Wasserman crap.  I don't value his tweets.

NSV--- Was not talking about you when it came to the Wasserman benchmarks (Was a DEM Avatar from NJ).

But at least you gave us something...

Anyone want to take a stab at county level benchmarks for the 2021 VA GOV election?

Odd year elections are weird and Gubernatorial Elections even weirder than Federal Elections on many levels, but curious if any of our Atlas Geeks want to take a stab at what we should be looking at election Night when it comes to performance by party?

Not really an expert at all on VA elections, but would be interesting to see, especially since if past is future, rural counties tend to start reporting results earlier and then NOVA dumps last....

OR will NOVA dump EVs early and then give us some idea of how the night might develop as same-day and late EV votes trickle in?

Atlas Hive--- Thoughts???

Terry should aim for 67%+ in Fairfax.  65% and it gets dicey.  Under 63% and it's a real problem.

Terry should aim for 58%+ in Loudoun.  He should aim for 60%+ in Prince William.  As long as those numbers hold up he should be fine regardless of what happens downstate (unless black turnout just utterly collapses, which there is no evidence of).

Regardless this thread is virtually unreadable and there should be a new thread specific to VA-GOV results since it is vastly becoming a virtual timewaster, especially for a Forum where elections are one of the few things we do well...

[Non Swing Voter]

OK, just start a new VA Results Thread on Monday.  This thread has gotten way too long anyways, making it impossible to search for old posts.

[H. Ross Peron]

Imagine being a Never Trump organization and not being able to find an ex CIA guy to do a proper false flag/strategy of tension operation instead of amateur garbage.

[fhtagn]

Just saw a VA delegate ad.... why....

I see tons of delegate ads for candidates not even in my district.  They are just all deep in money right now.  This is the problem with being one of only 2 states with major elections this year.  The whole f'ing country is pumping money into all the local channels. 

Was watching tv earlier and the entire commercial segment, at least 5 or 6 ads were political ads, 2 of them from Youngkin in the same commercial break.

You're not going to get ads just for your district if the media market for your location covers areas outside of your district. It's not just about money.

So if you live in the DC area, don't be surprised to get tons of ads for districts outside of where you live, because you likely live close to the district you're getting ads for.

[South Dakota Democrat]

My pub leeker is visiting this weekend. I'll try to see if hes seen any new internals. Last week's was Youngkin +2 which is more likely than the Youngkin +8 Dem internal i was leaked last week.

 🙄

I didn't say i believed it but yeah it does exist.

I don't believe you that it exists.