Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2021/06/22/iowa-poll-joe-biden-approval-rating-kamala-harris-covid-immigration/7736797002/

Biden's numbers about the same in Iowa as he got in the election. Dems will be better investing in Alaska in the future instead of winning IA back.

If this drop is indicative of other places in the country, Democrats are in deep trouble for 2022.

.
Lol it's 500days until the Election, CALM YOURSELF YOU ARE GETTING BENT OUT OF SHAPE, CHECK BACK NEXT JULY 2022, Biden Approvals will have recovered

My family is no way worried about Voting Rights or an R takeover, they are Ds

[wbrocks67]

Gallup has 56-42

https://news.gallup.com/poll/351521/job-approval-biden-steady-congress-down.aspx

including +13 among Indies

[Devils30]

Gallup has 56-42

https://news.gallup.com/poll/351521/job-approval-biden-steady-congress-down.aspx

including +13 among Indies

The change in Biden's approval since March 1 is mostly noise that is a point or two in either direction. He does seem to be weak with WWC, strong with white college and gaining among Hispanics which makes me think the early 2024 path is Hillary's 232 + MI/AZ/GA.

[Comrade Funk]

The Republicans will never be more popular than Democrats. But they don't have to be. Their cultish hatred to anything progressive (no matter how sensationalized) will drive them to the polls. A lot of Dems or Dem voters aren't obsessed with politics (as we see with MSNBC ratings crashing). All Republicans need is an apathetic electorate combined with their voter restriction policies.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Again, polls in wave insurance seats that have voter Suppression doesn't matter until July 2022 , but the 304 blue wall states don't have voter Suppression

The very worse we get is a 218/217 D H and a 52/48 SEN, but Mandel lost already in 2012/Renacci lost in 2018 and we haven't had 2 Duplicate maps 2 Election cycles in a row

We lose 4 each in TX and FL, which puts the H at plus 2 D, then we have IL, MI, WV, OR, NC, IA determining the control of the H

Then there are INCUMBENTs we can defeat, that's just Redistricting

[It’s so Joever]

Again, polls in wave insurance seats that have voter Suppression doesn't matter until July 2022 , but the 304 blue wall states don't have voter Suppression

The very worse we get is a 218/217 D H and a 52/48 SEN, but Mandel lost already in 2012/Renacci lost in 2018 and we haven't had 2 Duplicate maps 2 Election cycles in a row

We lose 4 each in TX and FL, which puts the H at plus 2 D, then we have IL, MI, WV, OR, NC, IA determining the control of the H

Then there are INCUMBENTs we can defeat, that's just Redistricting

Do you know which wave insurance plan has the lowest premiums?

[Progressive Pessimist]

The Republicans will never be more popular than Democrats. But they don't have to be. Their cultish hatred to anything progressive (no matter how sensationalized) will drive them to the polls. A lot of Dems or Dem voters aren't obsessed with politics (as we see with MSNBC ratings crashing). All Republicans need is an apathetic electorate combined with their voter restriction policies.

Agreed 100%. That's why Democrats need to do some scare-mongering of their own in 2022. It's the only chance we have at a GOP Congress not transforming the country into an autocracy, and the fear is actually warranted.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am just saying the takeover of Congress isn't inevitable, if you donate the D's like I do, you are optimistic, I donate 25.00 a mnth to blue dogs and with tips leave money for the DNC to use whenever, when it gets closer than Election day, of course I will donate

We can't afford to let Rs take over Voting Rights or not, since the Rs are known to cheat and if they own both Houses they will get bject to Biden certificate of Election

Of course, Rs are preaching this inevitable takeover the H with the Mccarthy, ask Mccarthy how is he s Recall Election is going, it's going worse for Rs since he blocked the Commission and D's will pick off Rs the compensate for losses in TX to help us in Redistricting, up to 6 Rs can be Redistricted out

[pbrower2a]

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2021/06/22/iowa-poll-joe-biden-approval-rating-kamala-harris-covid-immigration/7736797002/

Biden's numbers about the same in Iowa as he got in the election. Dems will be better investing in Alaska in the future instead of winning IA back.

I don't know about Alaska. It's 43-52 in Iowa. We now clearly out of any 'honeymoon' phase for Presidential approvals. Those who don't know Iowa may not understand how a state that voted for Dukakis in 1988 and Obama twice could be so R now.

Incumbents typically must be in campaign mode to have approval numbers as good as during the election. I'm not writing Biden off in Iowa, seeing the state now on the fringe of contestability. But it is very rural, and I know rural areas in which many Trump banners fly high and proud.

2018 now looks like a freak in Iowa.  Any Democrat will need to campaign hard and well here to win., and that might not be enough.

Key:

30% red shade: Biden up 1-5%
40% red shade: Biden up 5-10%
50% red shade: Biden up 10-15%
60% red shade: Biden up 15-20%
70% red shade: Biden up 20-25%
80% red shade: Biden up 25-30%
90% red shade: Biden up 30%+

50% green shade: tie

30% blue shade: Biden down 1-5%
40% blue shade: Biden down 5-10%
50% blue shade: Biden down 10-15%
60% blue shade: Biden down 15-20%
70% blue shade: Biden down 20-25%
80% blue shade: Biden down 25-30%
90% blue shade: Biden down 30%+

Five months after inauguration, an incumbent whose approval numbers are where the voting results were is doing fine. Not everything succeeds. Typically the entertainment media lampoon high-profile incumbents. Well, the lampooning is still heavily the ex-President and some Republican pols. In need give no names.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Despite Bidens Approvals, Whitmer and Hassan are by far theowt vulnerable D's running, they are both down by six pts

D's also can loose OR, but we can also win NC and FL Gov races, the maps don't have to be the same maps as his Approvals

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2021/06/22/iowa-poll-joe-biden-approval-rating-kamala-harris-covid-immigration/7736797002/

Biden's numbers about the same in Iowa as he got in the election. Dems will be better investing in Alaska in the future instead of winning IA back.

So Biden approvals in IA went from 47/44 (+3) in March to 43/52 (-9) now. Noise?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Iowa is an R plus 9 state, why are we worried about Iowa so much

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, June 20-22, 1500 adults including 1223 RV

Adults:

Approve 50 (+2)
Disapprove 40 (-3)

Strongly approve 27 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 29 (-3)

RV:

Approve 52 (+4)
Disapprove 44 (-1)

Strongly approve 31 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 32 (-2)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Unfortunately Rs are gonna win MI, OR and maybe NH, Whitmer is on the same par now with Pat Quinn in 2014

She is six points down to Craig. Two consecutive polls, she isn't the same Whitmer that won an easy election over Cobeck in 2018

[Devout Centrist]

Fox News:
Approve 56 (+2)
Disapprove 43 (+1)

Link here

[GeorgiaModerate]

Fox News:
Approve 56 (+2)
Disapprove 43 (+1)

Link here

Also:

Strongly approve 30 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 31 (-2)

Change is from a month ago.

[Devils30]

The dip over the past week looks like noise, Biden has been in this +9-14+ range since around March 1.

[Lief 🗽]

Fox News drops a high quality poll instantly dispelling the fake news "Biden approvals dip" narrative. Thank you Rupert Murdoch!

[Progressive Pessimist]

Haha! Wow! I guess the "Biden's agenda has stalled!" media narrative (even though it's true) isn't really hurting him after all.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why are we so surprised by Biden Approvals, the Rs haven't won a NPVI since 2016, when Trump beat Wasserman Schultz not Hillary, whom has been sidelined ever since

They haven't won since then, that's why they keep voting for voter Suppression Laws and they're not gonna win H 15/20 seats in the Midterms, they'll be lucky to net gain any seats in 500 not 180 days


The Rs have been losing seats in either the H or the Senate since 2018, everytime we make our Prediction maps we are contemplating how many seats Rs will lose, they haven't picked up seats on out Prediction maps since 2014

That was before Covid in a typical Midterm

In a Covid crisis since Biden, not Trump, sympathetic towards Covid victims, there's a rally around the flag effect

Trump after he lost Election, commented on how good Stocks are doing not sympathy for Covid victims

[pbrower2a]

TEXAS

Governor Greg Abbott receives a mixed job approval rating as 48 percent of Texas voters approve of the job he's doing and 46 percent disapprove. This is little changed from his 48 - 44 percent job approval rating in July of 2020. Today's disapproval rating is the highest for Abbott since being elected in 2018. Other job approvals are mostly mixed...

Texas State Legislature: 41 percent approve, 47 percent disapprove, with 12 percent not offering an opinion;
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton: 41 percent approve, 39 percent disapprove, with 20 percent not offering an opinion;
Sen. Ted Cruz: 46 percent approve, 49 percent disapprove, with 5 percent not offering an opinion;
Sen. John Cornyn: 41 percent approve, 42 percent disapprove, with 17 percent not offering an opinion;
President Joe Biden: 45 percent approve, 50 percent disapprove, with 5 percent not offering an opinion.

45-50 in a state that the Democratic Party has not won in a Presidential election since 1976 is better than one might expect of a President not in campaign mode. Trump won the state by 6%, so draw your conclusions about how Texas is headed. Republicans may need to do voter suppression to win the state in 2024 to keep a hold on power. Approvals for a President typically slide downward as the campaign recedes... which has been true of every Presidential term since  Dubya in 2001. We know what happened in September, so I do not expect anything like that.

It is far too early to have much of an idea of how the 2024 Presidential race will turn out, but on the whole, a state in which the incumbent President is down only 45-50 is winnable.

Try figuring this out:

Texas voters approve of the way Biden is handling the coronavirus 58 - 37 percent, and approve of the way Abbott is handling it 53 - 45 percent.

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3812

Key:

30% red shade: Biden up 1-5%
40% red shade: Biden up 5-10%
50% red shade: Biden up 10-15%
60% red shade: Biden up 15-20%
70% red shade: Biden up 20-25%
80% red shade: Biden up 25-30%
90% red shade: Biden up 30%+

50% green shade: tie

30% blue shade: Biden down 1-5%
40% blue shade: Biden down 5-10%
50% blue shade: Biden down 10-15%
60% blue shade: Biden down 15-20%
70% blue shade: Biden down 20-25%
80% blue shade: Biden down 25-30%
90% blue shade: Biden down 30%+

Five months after inauguration, an incumbent whose approval numbers are where the voting results were is doing fine. Not everything succeeds. Typically the entertainment media lampoon high-profile incumbents. Well, the lampooning is still heavily the ex-President and some Republican pols. In need give no names.

[/quote]

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Fox News:
Approve 56 (+2)
Disapprove 43 (+1)

Link here

Harris is at 50/47

Other approvals:

[Inmate Trump]

Fox News:
Approve 56 (+2)
Disapprove 43 (+1)

Link here

Harris is at 50/47

Other approvals:

Covid-19 is what got Biden elected, and he's done well, so it should be no surprise he gets high marks there.

Trump made a massive miscalculation in his "handling" of the pandemic.  His method was to sit back and do nothing other than downplay it and discredit all science and safety precautions.  At the start of the pandemic he had a golden opportunity to boost his approval ratings and unite the country; instead he actively tried to divide people during the biggest crisis we've faced in modern times.  He could have seen 60% approval or maybe higher had he played his cards right.  He fumbled, which is an understatement.

Trump's inaction is still hurting us over a year later.  Biden is doing things right and it's a shame the pandemic didn't start under a competent leader.  How many lives would have been saved?

[wbrocks67]

Harris having positive fav & approval in Fox News & YouGov is really going against the narrative some people have...

[riceowl]

Huh, Congress is also near its high water mark there