Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's obvious D's need to win OH, IA, NC and FL, that's how we are gonna keep the H, if D's only focus on WI, PA, NH and GA as I said before, they can lose the H

It's a 538 Election , not a 279 map

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 538 not 279 Election because our H races are in 538 EC votes and split voting happens all the time between state Legislature races and Gov and it can happen in 2022 between Ryan/DeWibe, Rubio/Crist and Jewel Kelly and Cheri Beasley in MO and NC

We must Elect Afro Americans as Senators and it's a VBM Election not same day voting, I don't care how many drop boxes Rs delete, you can drop you mail ballot at Post office

We need to break Filibuster and pass Reparations just like Reagan passed Per Capita for Japanese and Native Americans

[pbrower2a]

Definitive solution for drop-offs and early voting: free postage for all mail-in ballots in all federal elections. In effect every post office becomes a drop-off point.

Note some possible effects:

1. Many acts of electoral fraud would fall under mail-fraud statutes.

2. Caucuses might become irrelevant.

3. Intimidation of voters at a post office would be a federal offense as interference with the mail.

4. People would much less rely upon appearing in person to vote except for same-day registration and voting.  

5. Cost to the USPS could be covered in an inexpensive allocation by Congress.

6. Governments would save much money by not needing so many electoral devices on Election Day.

7. Voting would be good for getting people to buy postal services, especially postage stamps.

[wbrocks67]

I'm surprised you guys still trust polls so much after how badly they were off in Nov 2020

Not exactly true. Things were more fluid than that, and you know it.

Not to mention, the aggregrates had Joe Biden at 51% of the national vote on average. Joe Biden received 51% of the vote.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

DLC put a user Prediction in the Congressional thread, and it's basically the same as Cook and Sabato, no way WI stays R with Evers and Nelson leading in the polls, that's why DLC is speaking out against 60% Approvals

I am optimistic about a blue wave with Biden net positive 54/44 all the Pundits are wrongly predicting an R takeover of the H due to Redistricting, no way Insurrectionists R party whom won't firm a Commission due to protecting Trump, Cruz and Hawley which is much worse than Hunter take the H

I have been pessimistic about D's chances but we don't have our user Predictions yet, we can change our mind again and again and again

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

I'm surprised you guys still trust polls so much after how badly they were off in Nov 2020

Not exactly true. Things were more fluid than that, and you know it.

Not to mention, the aggregrates had Joe Biden at 51% of the national vote on average. Joe Biden received 51% of the vote.

Exit polls indicate that undecided voters split almost evenly to Biden-Trump. The pre-election polls were systemically underpolling Trump voters. Data for Progress has found that there are a lot of liberals who are very eager to answer polls, and a lot of loyal Trumpers who hang up the instant they are asked to be polled. The polling industry is in complete shambles, which sucks for me because I love having concrete data

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump held on because he was close to 50% before Insurrectionists, he became a 32% approvals Prez Again after Insurrectionists

D's need to Expand the Senate map beyond Wzi, PA, GA and NH, and we can in 500 days to win more seats in Congress

If Trump had an Economy like this he would be expanding the Senate map and H map and Portman, Blunt WOULDNT have retired
Beasley, Ryan are gaining steam and Jackson on Act blue in Donations and I will donate to them not the 278 candidates

[pbrower2a]

Florida. Iowa. Who knows -- maybe some state in the Mountain or Deep South or the Great Plains.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden already said the Deep hole isn't gonna be solved in 100 days, yesterday by 2022/ and certainly by 2024 it will be solved, users on this forum are so quick to jump on the R bandwagon, but if Trump had these polls he would be expanding the R Congressional map too, 60% and Rs would probably wound win up with 241 seats if the shoe was on the other foot.

But, it's not and expanding the D map is in our favor not Rs

[Progressive Pessimist]

I'm surprised you guys still trust polls so much after how badly they were off in Nov 2020

I still generally don't. That's why I qualify most of my statements in this thread with "if accurate."

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Change again back to 306 FREIWAL
WI, GA, PA, NH goes D for Senate 52/48 and a Tossup for H

All the R states IA, AR, SC, TN, MT, MS are cancelling Federal Stimulus payments of 300 WHY SHOULD The UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS GET 300 MORE THAN ANYONE ELSE, those states are voting SOLID R IN 2022

We must ask ourselves, Where are the polls, the reason why they haven't been polling nothing is happening except the States that tilted D the last time

Biden is at 51/49 Approvals not 60%

AZ, NH and GA D's should be nervous about

Manchin needs to lose in 2024 he is gonna cost D's the H in 2022,

Right track wrong track numbers 54/44 please itd probably even or below 46/54

[Hope For A New Era]

As nice as those HarrisX polls look, it starts to feel wrong when they're all consistently 60/40 with no undecideds. It's starting to seem like they're just trying to cancel out Rasmussen in the averages (lol).

[wbrocks67]

I'm surprised you guys still trust polls so much after how badly they were off in Nov 2020

Not exactly true. Things were more fluid than that, and you know it.

Not to mention, the aggregrates had Joe Biden at 51% of the national vote on average. Joe Biden received 51% of the vote.

Exit polls indicate that undecided voters split almost evenly to Biden-Trump. The pre-election polls were systemically underpolling Trump voters. Data for Progress has found that there are a lot of liberals who are very eager to answer polls, and a lot of loyal Trumpers who hang up the instant they are asked to be polled. The polling industry is in complete shambles, which sucks for me because I love having concrete data

It's really not, though. Once again - I reiterate - Biden actually nailed his % in the aggregate. And the GA runoff polls were very accurate as well.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, May 8-11, 1500 adults including 1204 RV

Adults:

Approve 51 (+3)
Disapprove 39 (-3)

Strongly approve 27 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 30 (-1)

RV:

Approve 52 (+3)
Disapprove 44 (-2)

Strongly approve 31 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 35 (nc)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

In my dream map scenario, if Biden is in fact at 59 percent Approvals

D's will win 241 seats in the H, win FL, OH, MO or KY, NC as well as 303 base states in the Senate that good us 56/44 and DC and PR Statehood WOULD give us 60/44 enough to withstand Rs objections to Reparations for Afro Americans

Of course it's depending on ERADICATING COVID in 500 days of course😆😆😆

But, D's can't afford to give up on IA, OH, NC or FL since we need to expand the battleground to keep the H

The Liz Cheney is gonna backfire, Cheney is gonna criticize Rs until she is voted out next yy

Biden is far ahead of 46 percent TRUMP

[Crumpets]

Biden now has a higher approval rating than Bill Clinton had at this point in his presidency.

[Storr]

Biden now has a higher approval rating than Bill Clinton had at this point in his presidency.

Hopefully Biden's first midterm isn't as disastrous as Clinton's

[Mr.Phips]

Biden now has a higher approval rating than Bill Clinton had at this point in his presidency.

Hopefully Biden's first midterm isn't as disastrous as Clinton's

Probably not possible as Dems had about 40 more House seats going into 1994 than they do now.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden now has a higher approval rating than Bill Clinton had at this point in his presidency.

D's are behind by 10 pts in FL and they lost FL by 3, if you do the calculation then D's aren't gonna get very far in red state territory.

In addition the S is throwing people off extended Unemployment benefits for not taking suitable work

It's still 500 days from now, but as we can tell it's a Neutral Environment

A 52/48 we don't know what type of wave we are gonna get in the H and even if we get 52 seats it may not be enough, Tester has too expressed opposition to Filibuster reform, D's need 53 seats

But, it's still early and we might get OH or NC as a wave insurence seats due to McCarthy and holding out on the Jan 6th Commission and a bare Majority in the H with Speaker Jefferies

Ryan and BEASLEY can still win in this Environment

[Bootes Void]

Biden now has a higher approval rating than Bill Clinton had at this point in his presidency.

Hopefully Biden's first midterm isn't as disastrous as Clinton's

Both Clinton and Obama had 257-258 house seats while Biden has 222 house seats(in a already favourable GOP gerrymander)so I doubt you would see very big losses as it would be mathematically difficult.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bill Clinton lost because Rs had a Progressive Agenda for Balanced budgets and term limits Trump and Bush W blew up the deficit because we had two Recessions

McCarthy only offers the same failed Trump policies, no Insurrectionists Commission, more oil drilling and tax cuts for the rich that got Boehner voted out in

Mike DeWine, McCain, Coleman, Judd Gregg, Vonivich were all mavericks that supported bold agendas

[Old Man Willow]

https://twitter.com/YouGovAmerica/status/1392568612779700224

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

She hasn't really done much of anything as Veep, she is supposed to handle the boarder crisis but she hasn't done it yet

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

https://twitter.com/YouGovAmerica/status/1392568612779700224

Dang, what did she ever do to independents (oh, wait, I know).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The user post job Harris is doing but where are the Approvals of McCarthy and Mcconnell and Trump whom wants to take Congress 32%.

,The wave is gonna come from the Senate and Gov mansions, not the H and every INCUMBENT Govs got 51% D's don't have to win the S except for Latino districts in Red states, but Rs have to win the N in order to get the Prez and all our INCUMBENTs are at 50%


Veeps and Speakers are historically have bad numbers, but Harris far superior than missing Pence, just like Cheney whom only was visible during Iraq war