Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Polls are only that to make people pay attention and country is evently divided where we were in 2020

If polls were to only show what Biden got last time it would be very boring

He is where he was exactly where he was on Election day 53/47

[pbrower2a]

Numbers the God Emperor, self-proclaimed best president ever, never had. Sad!

Poll numbers are just that, polls and they are inflated

Good reason exists for those polls being where they are. Biden is the antithesis of Trump chaos and provocation.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I agree, and Manchin should get rid of the Filibuster, we are only gonna net 1 or 2 seats next time depending on the outcome in GA, if Abrams doesn't run Gov, Walker can beat Warnock, delay Filibuster reform can cause us to lose the H in 2022 and if that happens Manchin is DOA to Mooney in 2024 whom will be Redistricted out in 2022, in WVA, we need DC Statehood and HR 1 and Commission to pass

But, the silver lining to R takeover of H, Hunter will be investigated

Trump got voted out for tax cuts for the rich and oil drilling and dividing Americans and Insurrectionists, but he did develop the vaccine.

ERADICATING COVID was not as easy as Biden thought it would be the 1.9T package was supposed to cure Covid and 5 mnths we still have it

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MT is worrisome for Tester in 2024 if Statehood isn't passed and he is blocking Filibuster reform too, along with Manchin

But, if the Economy stays the same then Manchin is the one DOA in 2024

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This map tells the real Election story not the other ones on this thread

[pbrower2a]

I missed a poll of Oklahoma. No surprise that Biden is underwater. The surprise is that he isn't down by 40% or so.

Key:

30% red shade: Biden up 1-5%
40% red shade: Biden up 5-10%
50% red shade: Biden up 10-15%
60% red shade: Biden up 15-20%
70% red shade: Biden up 20-25%
80% red shade: Biden up 25-30%
90% red shade: Biden up 30%+

50% green shade: tie

30% blue shade: Biden down 1-5%
40% blue shade: Biden down 5-10%
50% blue shade: Biden down 10-15%
60% blue shade: Biden down 15-20%
70% blue shade: Biden down 20-25%
80% blue shade: Biden down 25-30%
90% blue shade: Biden down 30%+


It is approval ratings, and not favorability ratings. Favorability ratings are relevant when they are blatant  (as in states that are not close and usually do not get polled, like New York Rhode Island or Oklahoma) because the states rarely decide an election, but they always must defer to approval. Would I use a favorability rating for Illinois? Sure. Wisconsin? Absolutely not.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 303 Freiwall election, the Approvals in NC, FL and IA don't matter due to fact, they won't be won by D's for Gov or Senate, as I said before unless something major changes with Covid and it's Eradicated

But we are missing polls from KS Gov, OH Sen and NC Sen but they Lean R anyways

[Progressive Pessimist]

Biden Approval by State (MAY 21, 2021)

State Average Net Approvals:

NOTES: The date shown is the final date of polling if available, and if not available, then the date of being published is used. All polls taken within the last six months are listed (if one pollster has taken more than one poll of a particular state within the last six months, then only the most recent poll from that pollster is listed). A state's total net approval rating is taken by taking a simple average of all listed polls' results. Only presidential approval or job approval is used. States are listed in alphabetical order. Only polls conducted after January 06 are included.

ARIZONA: +12.0%

• OH Predictive Insights (Mar. 12): Biden+16% (55% Approve, 39% Disapprove)
• Data For Progress (May 05): Biden+8% (53% Approve, 45% Disapprove)

CALIFORNIA: +22.0%

• Public Policy Institute of California (Mar. 23): Biden+22% (60% Approve, 38% Disapprove)

COLORADO: +24.0%

• Data For Progress (May 05): Biden+24% (61% Approve, 37% Disapprove)

FLORIDA: +0.3%

• Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy (Mar. 10): Biden-2% (47% Approve, 49% Disapprove)
• Cygnal (Apr. 11): Biden+1.0% (49.4% Approve, 48.4% Disapprove)
• Florida Atlantic University (May 02): Biden+1.9% (44.5% Approve, 42.6% Disapprove)

GEORGIA: +8.5%

• Atlanta Journal Constitution (May 03): Biden+5% (51% Approve, 46% Disapprove)
• Data For Progress (May 04): Biden+12% (54% Approve, 42% Disapprove)

IOWA: +3.0%

• Des Moines Register with Selzer (Mar. 10): Biden+3% (47% Approve, 44% Disapprove)

KENTUCKY: -10.0%

• Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy (Feb. 04): Biden-10% (39% Approve, 49% Disapprove)

MASSACHUSETTS: +28.0%

• University of Massachusetts - Amherst (Mar. 09): Biden+28% (62% Approve, 34% Disapprove)

MICHIGAN: +8.3%

• Public Policy Polling (Feb. 03): Biden+9% (53% Approve, 44% Disapprove)
• Marketing Resource Group (Mar. 18): Biden+9% (50% Approve, 41% Disapprove)
• Data For Progress (May 04): Biden+7% (52% Approve, 45% Disapprove)

MISSISSIPPI: -21.0%

• Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy (Feb. 05): Biden-21% (35% Approve, 56% Disapprove)

MONTANA: -16.0%

• Data For Progress (May 04): Biden-16% (42% Approve, 58% Disapprove)

NEVADA: +7.0%

• WPA Intelligence (Mar. 01): Biden+7% (47% Approve, 40% Disapprove)

NEW HAMPSHIRE: +6.0%

• St. Anselm College (Mar. 06): Biden+1% (50% Approve, 49% Disapprove)
• University of New Hampshire (Mar. 22): Biden+8% (53% Approve, 45% Disapprove)
• Data For Progress (May 04): Biden+9% (54% Approve, 45% Disapprove)

NEW JERSEY: +16.0%

• Stockton University (Mar. 22): Biden+16% (53% Approve, 37% Disapprove)

• Monmouth University (May 04): Biden+16% (55% Approve, 39% Disapprove)

NORTH CAROLINA: +11.7%

• Elon University (Jan. 31): Biden+16% (49% Approve, 33% Disapprove)
• HighPoint University (Feb. 26): Biden+11% (48% Approve, 37% Disapprove)
• Meredith College (Mar. 15): Biden+16% (55.5% Approve, 39.5% Disapprove)
• Data For Progress (May 04): Biden+17% (57% Approve, 40% Disapprove)
• Cygnal (May 08): Biden-1.7% (47.7% Approve, 49.4% Disapprove)

OKLAHOMA: -15.4%

• Amber Integrated (Mar. 28): Biden-15.4% (37.6% Approve, 53.0% Disapprove)

PENNSYLVANIA: +11.0%

• Data For Progress (May 05): Biden+11% (54% Approve, 43% Disapprove)

TEXAS: -1.0%

• University of Texas (Mar. 26): Biden±0% (44% Approve, 44% Disapprove)
• UT-Tyler (Apr. 22): Biden-2% (44% Approve, 46% Disapprove)

SOUTH DAKOTA: -10.0%

• Spry Strategies (Feb. 03): Biden-10.0% (42.4% Approve, 52.4% Disapprove)

UTAH: -16.0%

• Deseret News/Hinckley Institute (Mar. 31): Biden-16% (40% Approve, 56% Disapprove)

VIRGINIA: +19.0%

• Wason Center (Feb. 14): Biden+21% (57% Approve, 36% Disapprove)
• Roanoke College (Mar. 02): Biden+17% (47% Approve, 30% Disapprove)

WASHINGTON: +29.0%

• SurveyUSA (May 05): Biden+29% (58% Approve, 29% Disapprove)

WEST VIRGINIA: -25.0%

• Data For Progress (May 04): Biden+24% (37% Approve, 62% Disapprove)

WISCONSIN: +7.5%

• Public Policy Polling (Feb. 09): Biden+2% (47% Approve, 45% Disapprove)
• Data For Progress (May 04): Biden+13% (56% Approve, 43% Disapprove)

MAP

Image Link

Key:

30% green shade: Biden up 2.0 - 4.9%
40% green shade: Biden up 5.0 - 9.9%
50% green shade: Biden up 10.0 - 14.9%
60% green shade: Biden up 15.0 - 19.9%
70% green shade: Biden up 20.0 - 24.9%
80% green shade: Biden up 25.0 - 29.9%
90% green shade: Biden up 30.0%+

50% yellow shade: Average Net Approval between -1.9% and +1.9%

30% red shade: Biden down 2.0 - 4.9%
40% red shade: Biden down 5.0 - 9.9%
50% red shade: Biden down 10.0 - 14.9%
60% red shade: Biden down 15.0 - 19.9%
70% red shade: Biden down 20.0 - 24.9%
80% red shade: Biden down 25.0 - 29.9%
90% red shade: Biden down 30.0%+

Taking these as accurate, Florida continues to just be so very aggravating.

Also I don't know what kind of appeal Biden has in Colorado, but that state is really looking like it should be renamed Biden Country. It's crazy that he might be more popular there than in my own state!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

IPSOS POLLS ARE JUST THAT IPSOS and should no longer be taken seriously, Biden up by 20, plse

The truth of the matter of polls is Trump is plus 4 over Harris and Biden plus 4 over TRUMP

People are gonna get tired of waiting for a Biden Recovery  eventually on Covid, bit what effect that will have on 2022/2024 we don't know yet

[Progressive Pessimist]

Taking these as accurate, Florida continues to just be so very aggravating.

We're just that based             

Also I don't know what kind of appeal Biden has in Colorado, but that state is really looking like it should be renamed Biden Country. It's crazy that he might be more popular there than in my own state!

Singular polls can do that, especially polls conducted by "Data for Progress".

Sure, but as I said, I'm taking these polls as accurate for the post. I imagine that the numbers probably aren't all that accurate, given the pollster's track record.

[Asta]

I'd like to see an approval rating for Minnesota and Ohio.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Generic ballot looks good D's up 10, people are indeed satisfied with Biden as they will continue to receive stimulus with child tax credits

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I have a good feeling about polls today, that we can win NC, FL and OH SENATE

[GeorgiaModerate]

Rasmussen appears to have once again swapped columns in their table, as they have Biden at a TOTAL approval/disapproval today of 33/37, but a STRONG approval/disapproval of 54/43, which is obviously impossible.

Assuming 54/43 are the correct total numbers, that's a higher net approval for Biden than they ever showed for Trump after his first week in office.

[It’s so Joever]

Rasmussen appears to have once again swapped columns in their table, as they have Biden at a TOTAL approval/disapproval today of 33/37, but a STRONG approval/disapproval of 54/43, which is obviously impossible.

Assuming 54/43 are the correct total numbers, that's a higher net approval for Biden than they ever showed for Trump after his first week in office.

Okay I’m usually a pessimist, but a +11 for a democrat from Rassy is brutal.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1396933645269495808

[Progressive Pessimist]

https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1396933645269495808

I don't think we can automatically assume that the other 46% necessarily hate Biden, but it's striking that this is the percentage, more or less, that Trump got in both of his elections.

[It’s so Joever]

https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1396933645269495808

TITANIUM TILT D!

[Thank you for being a friend...]

Feelings look like they are baked in on both sides of the Endless War.  I wouldn't be surprised if we see the same result in 2024 as in 2020.  There's fewer moderates and swing voters left in this country.

[Lief 🗽]

Joe Biden is quickly becoming the most popular president in modern times (when you control for increased partisanship) and the Enemy of the People media still treats him worse than they ever did Trump.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Like pbower2A said in a Covid Environment like this don't take the Election for granted Rs are still the Favs to win the H, Biden is the most popular Prez but all we get are Approvals not polls from swing states like OH, NC or IA, and D's are 10 pts behind in FL

The Ds can resurrect the 278 blue wall with 60% Biden Approvals and still lose the H

[Lief 🗽]

Like pbower2A said in a Covid Environment like this don't take the Election for granted Rs are still the Favs to win the H, Biden is the most popular Prez but all we get are Approvals not polls from swing states like OH, NC or IA, and D's are 10 pts behind in FL

The Ds can resurrect the 278 blue wall with 60% Biden Approvals and still lose the H

I think the House is gone no matter what, but if Biden’s approvals stay mid fifties and we pick strong candidates who run good campaigns, we can keep the senate as a toss-up going into Election Day.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We can keep the H in 2022/ but Manchin won break the Filibuster on DC Statehood or HR 1, he says that Trump calls him all the time and Manchin is DOA in 2024 to Mooney whom is gonna be Redistricted out in /WVA

[pbrower2a]

54-54-54... now that stability is just simply crazy. It almost looks like a fabrication... results too good to be true.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's probably a 52/48 Senate Election as we have said many times WI, PA, NH, GA are battlegrounds it's not gonna change much unless there is a breakthrough with Covid