Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We are still paying attention to polls 20 mnths befote an Election, Biden isn't 40 Percent Trump

Trump was upside down 43 47 not 47/43

[pbrower2a]

We are still paying attention to polls 20 mnths befote an Election, Biden isn't 40 Percent Trump

Trump was upside down 43 47 not 47/43

It's one way of assessing performance. Personal opinions are often quite wrong due to partisan bias.

[Bootes Void]

https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2021/03/16/new-poll-shows-cuban-american-voters-align-with-gop-1368365

Biden favourability rating among Cuban Americans
45% favourable
51% unfavourable


- Trump has a 62% favourability rating, same as the share of the vote he got in 2020
- Hardline attitudes against Cuba are back according to this poll

[pbrower2a]

https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2021/03/16/new-poll-shows-cuban-american-voters-align-with-gop-1368365

Biden favourability rating among Cuban Americans
45% favourable
51% unfavourable


- Trump has a 62% favourability rating, same as the share of the vote he got in 2020
- Hardline attitudes against Cuba are back according to this poll

Trump and the Florida GOP scared the North Korea* out of Cuban-Americans with  accusations that Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, and Congressional Democrats would go light on Raul Castro and Nicolas Maduro. That message may have stuck. Rapacious hypocrite that Donald Trump is, he'd probably love to set up a Trump resort in Havana with gambling casinos run by his Russian buddies if he got the opportunity.

*That is a sort of Hell, is it not?

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1372253089059725315?s=20

[President Johnson]

https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2021/03/16/new-poll-shows-cuban-american-voters-align-with-gop-1368365

Biden favourability rating among Cuban Americans
45% favourable
51% unfavourable


- Trump has a 62% favourability rating, same as the share of the vote he got in 2020
- Hardline attitudes against Cuba are back according to this poll

Trump and the Florida GOP scared the North Korea* out of Cuban-Americans with  accusations that Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, and Congressional Democrats would go light on Raul Castro and Nicolas Maduro. That message may have stuck. Rapacious hypocrite that Donald Trump is, he'd probably love to set up a Trump resort in Havana with gambling casinos run by his Russian buddies if he got the opportunity.

*That is a sort of Hell, is it not?

I assume it's more than (ridiculous) fear of "socialism". Most Cuban Americans are socially very conservative and oppose illegal immigration. Of course Democrats don't support the latter, but the right-wing propaganda machine was pretty successful in painting this picture. This plus insufficient outreach from Democrats during the 2020 campaign allowed Trump to win the state by nearly four points.

Long term, I think Democrats are better advised to focus in strong African American and other Latino turnout and keeping/gaining in the suburbs. If that ends up being successful, Florida is no longer needed to win presidential elections. Georgia and Arizona are already more friendly and Texas will be in the long run.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, March 13-17, 1500 adults including 1218 RV

Adults:

Approve 53 (+3)
Disapprove 37 (-3)

Strongly approve 32 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 28 (-3)

RV:

Approve 55 (+3)
Disapprove 41 (nc)

Strongly approve 36 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 32 (-1)

[wbrocks67]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, March 13-17, 1500 adults including 1218 RV

Adults:

Approve 53 (+3)
Disapprove 37 (-3)

Strongly approve 32 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 28 (-3)

RV:

Approve 55 (+3)
Disapprove 41 (nc)

Strongly approve 36 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 32 (-1)

America loves Uncle Joe!

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, March 1-15, 1010 adults (1-month change)

Approve 54 (-2)
Disapprove 42 (+2)

[TheTide]

It says something about how polarized the country has become that a 50s approval rating during the honeymoon of a presidency (and the president in question being about as inoffensive as it's possible to be) is considered good.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Gallup, March 1-15, 1010 adults (1-month change)

Approve 54 (-2)
Disapprove 42 (+2)

Biden's approval rating with Hispanics is 73% *blinks*.

[Lief 🗽]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, March 13-17, 1500 adults including 1218 RV

Adults:

Approve 53 (+3)
Disapprove 37 (-3)

Strongly approve 32 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 28 (-3)

RV:

Approve 55 (+3)
Disapprove 41 (nc)

Strongly approve 36 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 32 (-1)

The $1400 check bump 👀

[pbrower2a]

Gallup, March 1-15, 1010 adults (1-month change)

Approve 54 (-2)
Disapprove 42 (+2)

It is obviously far too early to tell whether this approval rating will hold, but should it hold President Biden is looking into an electoral victory in which he gets about 400 electoral votes. This is the zone in which the President gets 53-57% of the popular vote, and President Biden would look into an Eisenhower-scale win in popular votes.

President Biden has so far dodged controversy well. It is still early. Nobody successfully dodges controversy predictably and reliably as President.

Trump was never at this level, and if it isn't quite near the top for Obama, it is within the Obama range. Obama got re-elected decisively.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The 2009 strategy is failing, blocking everything, and Mcconnell saying if you don't give me what I want, keeping the Filibuster, I will block with unanimous consent turning on the lights.

The Rs are afraid of a real Filibuster where they have to stand the length of the filibuster, but Strom Thurmond was an R

Rand Paul silly comment about AA dropping out of school to get a minimium wage job, of course he can say that, the Rs are rich. Not, true, because the teens are living with mom and they are gonna have to go to school, even WIA school or Community schooling, due to Housing isn't keeping up with wage inflation

[Mr.Phips]

Gallup, March 1-15, 1010 adults (1-month change)

Approve 54 (-2)
Disapprove 42 (+2)

It is obviously far too early to tell whether this approval rating will hold, but should it hold President Biden is looking into an electoral victory in which he gets about 400 electoral votes. This is the zone in which the President gets 53-57% of the popular vote, and President Biden would look into an Eisenhower-scale win in popular votes.

President Biden has so far dodged controversy well. It is still early. Nobody successfully dodges controversy predictably and reliably as President.

Trump was never at this level, and if it isn't quite near the top for Obama, it is within the Obama range. Obama got re-elected decisively.

Obama also had an awful first midterm that basically made it so he couldn’t get anything of consequence done for the rest of his Presidency and greased the wheels for someone like Trump to succeed him with a fully Republican congress.

[It’s so Joever]

Gallup, March 1-15, 1010 adults (1-month change)

Approve 54 (-2)
Disapprove 42 (+2)

It is obviously far too early to tell whether this approval rating will hold, but should it hold President Biden is looking into an electoral victory in which he gets about 400 electoral votes. This is the zone in which the President gets 53-57% of the popular vote, and President Biden would look into an Eisenhower-scale win in popular votes.

President Biden has so far dodged controversy well. It is still early. Nobody successfully dodges controversy predictably and reliably as President.

Trump was never at this level, and if it isn't quite near the top for Obama, it is within the Obama range. Obama got re-elected decisively.

Dude...can we not?

[Person Man]

Biden's positive numbers have held but his opposition has crystalized. I imagine that if he can hold his approvals to roughly where he was during the campaign, he might be in good shape and might gain ground in the Senate. Of course, nothing goes to plan.

[pbrower2a]

Gallup, March 1-15, 1010 adults (1-month change)

Approve 54 (-2)
Disapprove 42 (+2)

It is obviously far too early to tell whether this approval rating will hold, but should it hold President Biden is looking into an electoral victory in which he gets about 400 electoral votes. This is the zone in which the President gets 53-57% of the popular vote, and President Biden would look into an Eisenhower-scale win in popular votes.

President Biden has so far dodged controversy well. It is still early. Nobody successfully dodges controversy predictably and reliably as President.

Trump was never at this level, and if it isn't quite near the top for Obama, it is within the Obama range. Obama got re-elected decisively.

Obama also had an awful first midterm that basically made it so he couldn’t get anything of consequence done for the rest of his Presidency and greased the wheels for someone like Trump to succeed him with a fully Republican congress.

Well known. Obama was a great President in 2009 and most of 2010, but mediocre after that. He was able to stop people who concur with the idea that the "Golden Rule" is as the late oil billionaire H. Lamar Hunt put it, "He who owns the gold makes the rules" in politics.

The Democratic majorities in both Houses of Congress are far shakier now than they were in 2009, and the heels of American politics and business are well-heeled.-It is yet to be shown whether they can buy enough stooges to transform the USA into a pure plutocracy once and for all. The Trump cult is alive and well.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Gallup, March 1-15, 1010 adults (1-month change)

Approve 54 (-2)
Disapprove 42 (+2)

Biden's approval rating with Hispanics is 73% *blinks*.

Hispanics love their #bidenbux.

[wbrocks67]

Gallup, March 1-15, 1010 adults (1-month change)

Approve 54 (-2)
Disapprove 42 (+2)

It is obviously far too early to tell whether this approval rating will hold, but should it hold President Biden is looking into an electoral victory in which he gets about 400 electoral votes. This is the zone in which the President gets 53-57% of the popular vote, and President Biden would look into an Eisenhower-scale win in popular votes.

President Biden has so far dodged controversy well. It is still early. Nobody successfully dodges controversy predictably and reliably as President.

Trump was never at this level, and if it isn't quite near the top for Obama, it is within the Obama range. Obama got re-elected decisively.

especially given the press has tried to make like 10 things a 'controversy' by now

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Ds Majority is far shakier but we are living in a Covid Environment, the turnout was 33% in 2010/2014, minorities took things for granted, in a Covid Environment VBM including the Cali recall, they aren't gonns take things for granted and turnout may equal to Prez race in a VBM not same day voting

[VAR]

Reuters/Ipsos
March 17-18
1,005 adults
MoE: 4%

Approve 59%
Disapprove 35%
Not sure 6%

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-biden-poll-idUSKBN2BB1TM

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not over, but Rs aren't winning 15/30 seats and both Houses of Congress or the 2024 Prez Election with numbers like these even if the Pandemic is still with us, which in all likelihood it will be, since Govt won't open up Govt jobs to public. All they care about is campaign donations, not everyone fits in with private companies and there is a cronic homeless population that has TB already

We need a Federal Jobs Guarentee, that was talked about in Primary but never sees the light of day or Green jobs

[pbrower2a]

The Ds Majority is far shakier but we are living in a Covid Environment, the turnout was 33% in 2010/2014, minorities took things for granted, in a Covid Environment VBM including the Cali recall, they aren't gonns take things for granted and turnout may equal to Prez race in a VBM not same day voting

Elections often boil down to turnout. Republicans would be wise to treat from Trump's handling of COVID-19... but many can't, having taken the callowest possible approach to the pandemic. The negative ads practically create themselves:

(somber, funereal music)

Governor X had the chance to make his state less of a playground for COVID-19. He thought he could make his state a playground for people who wanted to be free from sane measures in other states. They came, they got sick

(cut to a flat-lining vital signals on a monitor)

and they died. Here or there? It's just the same.

...and people got sick and died here, too.

If we can't trust Governor X on a matter of life and death, then what can we trust him on?

 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Once we get rid of Fillibuster we can do all sorts of things, the Filibuster is standing in way of reforming Housing as well. We must end the merit based Section 8 voucher system that Mcconnell and Boehner has set up to give it to Latinos for a Lifetime