2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 09:30:52 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 597 598 599 600 601 [602] 603 604 605 606 607 ... 818
Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 641647 times)
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15025 on: November 06, 2020, 08:20:50 PM »

So I’m reading Biden might actually win the military vote outright?Huh!

WOW if so. The polls showed it but it’s still hard to believe it might actually be happening.

Guess people don’t like being called “suckers and losers” for serving their country. Who would have thought?
Logged
emailking
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,885
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15026 on: November 06, 2020, 08:20:56 PM »

Dave Wasserman just reiterated on MSNBC that they make a call when they have 99.5% confidence in the result. He was asked specifically if Trump's reaction would have any influence. That was his answer.
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15027 on: November 06, 2020, 08:21:25 PM »



Especially fitting against Miami!
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,901


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15028 on: November 06, 2020, 08:23:21 PM »

Jesus. Nearly 4M left in CA alone.

Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,901


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15029 on: November 06, 2020, 08:24:20 PM »

Biden's lead grows to 20.6K in PA, 0.31% lead now. Was 19.5K few mins ago.

Looks like they were from Chester. Biden's lead 16.9% there. Was 16.6%.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,001
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15030 on: November 06, 2020, 08:24:34 PM »

So I’m reading Biden might actually win the military vote outright?Huh!

WOW if so. The polls showed it but it’s still hard to believe it might actually be happening.

Guess people don’t like being called “suckers and losers” for serving their country. Who would have thought?

There's also his whole beef with John McCain. Hell, that might even have helped cost him Arizona.
Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,825


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15031 on: November 06, 2020, 08:27:25 PM »

What a embarrassing low margin in PA and WI, considering Biden is probably going to win the NPV by over 4 points after the slow counting blue states finish. Despite all the hype about NC's leftward trend, this another state that is very stubborn for Democrats and is going to be around R+ 5-6% compared to the NPV.
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,045


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15032 on: November 06, 2020, 08:29:07 PM »

So I’m reading Biden might actually win the military vote outright?Huh!

WOW if so. The polls showed it but it’s still hard to believe it might actually be happening.

Guess people don’t like being called “suckers and losers” for serving their country. Who would have thought?
It's hard to know for sure, but from a quick scan, nearly all major military counties definitely swung to Biden. 3 even outright flipped. The only ones which didn't swing left that I saw were Honolulu (probably had more to do with the unfortunate AAPI swing for Trump) and Johnson, MO. It seems many of the Johnson voters in the military in 2016 went to Biden this time around.
Logged
FrancoAgo
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 662
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -6.66, S: -3.33

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15033 on: November 06, 2020, 08:29:14 PM »

Someone said NC seemed to update on NYT. If it's at 76.6K, that's... literally where it was before. I don't think they're updating until next week

i think they go down from around 76.7xx to 76.526
Logged
Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,619


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15034 on: November 06, 2020, 08:31:59 PM »

For everyone criticizing the networks for going slow on calling the race:

Given Donnie Dumb****'s pattern of behavior, the Cabinet should be standing by ready to implement the 25th, Congress should be prepared to impeach, and the military should be fully prepared to reject illegal orders as many times as necessary before he gets the news that he's out.  But we have Republicans, so we're forced to settle for "aren't willing to help him actively destroy the United States today, probably".

The mainstream media are about to tell a mendacious, litigious, malevolent, stupid, utterly self-absorbed, immoral and psychopathic man-child - who has been placed in a position to command more power than anyone in human history - that he's not getting what he wants, it's time for him to go take a hike, and by the way,  he should get ready to face some consequences for all the wrongs he's done.  Of course they're taking their time to make certain that they have everything absolutely right before they do it. Nobody wants chance pulling the trigger on a civil war.

And, even though the Trump-cult will never care, waiting until its mathematically impossible for Trump to win before calling the race will rob the inevitable future whines from the GOP of much of their force. I think the networks playing it very, very carefully are making the right call.

 
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,120


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15035 on: November 06, 2020, 08:35:29 PM »

CNN again showing the line of people in Vegas still waiting to cure their ballots (those in line at the deadline, which was 5pm PST, will be allowed to do so).

EDIT: And John King just offered to bet Wolf $5 that within minutes, someone would post a pic on Twitter accusing them of voting after Election Day.
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,614


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15036 on: November 06, 2020, 08:36:15 PM »



This is disturbing and I think the man needs help but I had to laugh.
Logged
T'Chenka
King TChenka
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,208
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15037 on: November 06, 2020, 08:38:01 PM »



This is disturbing and I think the man needs help but I had to laugh.
KOMRADE BIDEN!
Logged
🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,752
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15038 on: November 06, 2020, 08:39:23 PM »

people who were self-righteously adamant that every vote should count and it doesn't matter how long it takes are now complaining that states with outstanding ballots aren't being called fast enough...
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,702
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15039 on: November 06, 2020, 08:39:38 PM »



This is disturbing and I think the man needs help but I had to laugh.
KOMRADE BIDEN!

It's just mind-boggling that a campaign that targeted Republican suburbanites led by a centrist candidate that said he didn't want to see Republicans defeated could ever be associated with communism. These people have clearly lost what microscopic grasp on reality they may have had otherwise
Logged
BigSerg
7sergi9
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,264


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15040 on: November 06, 2020, 08:40:07 PM »

Vanity Fair: Trump to "barricade himself" within the White House, refuse to concede - Jared and Ivanka being recruited by WH staffers to sit down with Trump and negotiate a concession

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/11/donald-trump-no-concession

"Vanity Fair" lol
Logged
Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15041 on: November 06, 2020, 08:40:15 PM »



This is disturbing and I think the man needs help but I had to laugh.

Hardcore American nationalism in Spanish is weird. No way that would fly with Trump's white base.
Logged
GeneralMacArthur
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,039
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15042 on: November 06, 2020, 08:41:07 PM »
« Edited: November 06, 2020, 08:45:54 PM by GeneralMacArthur »

What a embarrassing low margin in PA and WI, considering Biden is probably going to win the NPV by over 4 points after the slow counting blue states finish. Despite all the hype about NC's leftward trend, this another state that is very stubborn for Democrats and is going to be around R+ 5-6% compared to the NPV.

The electoral college is 3-4 points to the right of the nation.  Democrats will have to win elections by 3-4 points in the NPV for the foreseeable future to hold the presidency.

The House is so gerrymandered that Dems were only able to get a 36-seat advantage in an election they won by 8%.  The clincher flip was CA-10 which Dems won by 4.5%, so shift the results 4.5% to the right and the Republicans hold the House despite losing the election by 3-4%.  This means the House is just as rigged in favor of the GOP as the electoral college.

And don't even get me started on the Senate, where states with 2 Dem senators represent 47.22% of the American population, while states with 2 GOP senators represent 41.1%, yet the GOP controls the chamber.  Split the 1-1 states, and the Democratic minority represents 53.04% of the country, while the Republican majority represents 46.96% of the country.  Democrats got 124 million votes between the 2014, 2016, and 2018 elections, while Republicans only got 99.7 million -- meaning if you combine all the elections that resulted in the current makeup of congress, Dems won by 11%, 55.5% to 44.5%.  And that 11-point combined win over the last 6 years earned them a 47-53 minority.
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,340
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15043 on: November 06, 2020, 08:41:25 PM »

Lmao at the military ballots going to Biden 4:1
Logged
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,916
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15044 on: November 06, 2020, 08:42:21 PM »



Logged
Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,256


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15045 on: November 06, 2020, 08:42:59 PM »

Jesus. Nearly 4M left in CA alone.



These alone might increase Biden's national PV margin by a full 1%.
Logged
Asta
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 646


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15046 on: November 06, 2020, 08:43:35 PM »


This is disturbing and I think the man needs help but I had to laugh.



Democrats wanting to raise a bit more tax (only on income of 400k+), especially when we are one of the lowest tax paying countries, is communism!
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,901


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15047 on: November 06, 2020, 08:45:33 PM »

Biden lead increases another 1k in PA. Now 21.6K.
Logged
trebor204
TREBOR204
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 419


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15048 on: November 06, 2020, 08:46:35 PM »

Very unlikely, but
Right now Biden has 253 Electoral Votes, if Biden wins Georgia's 16 electoral votes, Biden will finish with 269, Trump wins the remain states and will also finish with 269 electoral votes.
Logged
BigSerg
7sergi9
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,264


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15049 on: November 06, 2020, 08:47:01 PM »

Logged
Pages: 1 ... 597 598 599 600 601 [602] 603 604 605 606 607 ... 818  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.073 seconds with 8 queries.