2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[The Free North]

BLM cost Long Island Democrats big time..........

Tom Suozzi looks like he is going down.

Told you. I know the NYC area. The NYPD is a cult following here. Even in Jersey.

Max Rose, Tom Suozzi, all moderate Democrats, gone.

https://twitter.com/coochievuitton/status/1324053802618658816

New York always looks like that, yes some gains were made by reps near NYC, but its clear this person hasn't looked at an NY electoral map ever. Besides likely being racist, the twitter poster's grammar leaves a lot to be desired as well.

[BigSerg]

Guys, what are the chances AZ goes Trump?

20-30%

[Alben Barkley]

What is the confidence level in Michigan? It is remaining a very tight race. Are the remaining votes not likely to be particularly pro-Trump?

Nearly all of the remaining ballots are mail votes from urban counties.  It's more of a sure thing than AZ/NV/WI.

WI is pretty much completely sure as everything is counted.

[ProgressiveModerate]

What I’m hoping for:

-Joe Biden wins the EC
-Peters maintains his senate seat
-Perdue is pushed below 50%

Is this too much to ask?

[Hope For A New Era]

279, 290, or 306. That’s about where we are.

[Alben Barkley]

AP calls WI.

[Rand]

What I’m hoping for:

-Joe Biden wins the EC
-Peters maintains his senate seat
-Perdue is pushed below 50%

Is this too much to ask?

You can have one.

[politics_king]

There was nothing inappropriate about my post that was deleted in this thread.

If you think the next four years is going to be all rainbows and kittens and kumbayas, you are incredibly naive.

You just watch. These armed confrontations between BLM and the redhats are just the beginning, and all I can say about that is I thank the Lord I don't live in D.C. or any other major city. Because it's going to become very ugly, and very bloody.

Depends how the media would cover such conflicts. At the end of the day, we're going to have to focus back on COVID-19 and getting money into people's hands and getting jobs back. Don't let these fringe people dominate the narrative, Far-Left & Far-Right goons do this as some cosplay therapy while you also have opportunists that could care less about what those two factions are fighting about as long as they can loot which then comes to a class issue and wage disparities in this country. It's a big problem that needs to be addressed eventually.

LOL, not happening. Media loves this narrative of Big Fight.. and that's it.

I sadly agree with you on that. I already know how Ingram, Tucker & Hannity are going to be spewing crap every night on Fox News, same goes for MSNBC's block of Reid, Hayes & Maddow. Cuomo & Lemon on CNN are super partisan.

[Skill and Chance]

What is the confidence level in Michigan? It is remaining a very tight race. Are the remaining votes not likely to be particularly pro-Trump?

Nearly all of the remaining ballots are mail votes from urban counties.  It's more of a sure thing than AZ/NV/WI.

Should have clarified that.  MI is likely a couple % Biden margin vs. within 1% in WI.

WI is pretty much completely sure as everything is counted.

[afleitch]

There was nothing inappropriate about my post that was deleted in this thread.

If you think the next four years is going to be all rainbows and kittens and kumbayas, you are incredibly naive.

You just watch. These armed confrontations between BLM and the redhats are just the beginning, and all I can say about that is I thank the Lord I don't live in D.C. or any other major city. Because it's going to become very ugly, and very bloody.

Depends how the media would cover such conflicts. At the end of the day, we're going to have to focus back on COVID-19 and getting money into people's hands and getting jobs back. Don't let these fringe people dominate the narrative, Far-Left & Far-Right goons do this as some cosplay therapy while you also have opportunists that could care less about what those two factions are fighting about as long as they can loot which then comes to a class issue and wage disparities in this country. It's a big problem that needs to be addressed eventually.

21 And a mighty angel took up a stone like a great millstone, and cast it into the sea, saying, Thus with violence shall that great city Babylon be thrown down, and shall be found no more at all.

22 And the voice of harpers, and musicians, and of pipers, and trumpeters, shall be heard no more at all in thee; and no craftsman, of whatsoever craft he be, shall be found any more in thee; and the sound of a millstone shall be heard no more at all in thee;

23 And the light of a candle shall shine no more at all in thee; and the voice of the bridegroom and of the bride shall be heard no more at all in thee: for thy merchants were the great men of the earth; for by thy sorceries were all nations deceived.

24 And in her was found the blood of prophets, and of saints, and of all that were slain upon the earth.

No disrespect to your beliefs, but I'm not religious.

You don't have to be religious to see the writing on the wall. It's written in red.

Take some time away. Do something fun and breathe. We'll get the results soon.

[ProgressiveModerate]

What I’m hoping for:

-Joe Biden wins the EC
-Peters maintains his senate seat
-Perdue is pushed below 50%

Is this too much to ask?

You can have one.

In that case I’ll take a JB win

[Bootes Void]

Part of me makes me think Biden wins Az, that's why AP or Fox havent retracted their call

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1324076927121051648

[Silent Hunter]

If they thought Trump could win it, they would not have called it.

[MillennialModerate]

What I’m hoping for:

-Joe Biden wins the EC
-Peters maintains his senate seat
-Perdue is pushed below 50%

Is this too much to ask?

There is not a snowballs chance in hell that the republicans lose Georgia with the senate on the line. And that’s separate of my normal Georgia ranting. There is literally no chance. Turnout will be depressed for the casual voter. I’d beg for a chance to bet on it

[Inmate Trump]

Why are the votes in Georgia still not counted?

[Alben Barkley]

Part of me makes me think Biden wins Az, that's why AP or Fox havent retracted their call

I just don’t see how Trump possibly makes up a 3.5 point and 100k vote margin in AZ. It’s pure speculation that the “late early vote” will favor Trump (it has not in recent years at all) and even if it does, it would have to do so SIGNIFICANTLY to close the gap. I see why it was called given that.

[wbrocks67]

Yeah New York is going to have a huge blue shift, just look at earlier elections this year.

yeah... do people realize there is like 1.5-2M more ballots to be counted in NY at least

[Skill and Chance]

Possible complications in GA:

https://twitter.com/GilForGeorgia/status/1324018963999821824?s=20

Are these included in the "outstanding vote to count" stats or are they in addition to it?  The former and Trump wins, the latter and Biden is almost a sure thing.  

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Is Nassau, NY really going Trump? Ngl that came out of nowhere.

[politics_king]

What I’m hoping for:

-Joe Biden wins the EC
-Peters maintains his senate seat
-Perdue is pushed below 50%

Is this too much to ask?

I don't think so.

[wbrocks67]

Part of me makes me think Biden wins Az, that's why AP or Fox havent retracted their call

I just don’t see how Trump possibly makes up a 3.5 point and 100k vote margin in AZ. It’s pure speculation that the “late early vote” will favor Trump (it has not in recent years at all) and even if it does, it would have to do so SIGNIFICANTLY to close the gap. I see why it was called given that.

and given that they are all mail ballots, and not Election Day.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

So if Fox News calls Michigan for Biden, they have to declare him the winner of the presidency, right?  Before every other network!  I wish I knew when the next big MI vote dump was coming so I could tune in for that moment.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

What I’m hoping for:

-Joe Biden wins the EC
-Peters maintains his senate seat
-Perdue is pushed below 50%

Is this too much to ask?

There is not a snowballs chance in hell that the republicans lose Georgia with the senate on the line. And that’s separate if my normal Georgia ranting. There is literally no chance. Turnout will be depressed for the casual voter. I’d beg for a chance to bet on it

At this point, high propensity voters in GA probably favor Democrats.

[forsythvoter]

There's more in Fulton too. NYT doesn't have the right numbers. Still about 195K ballots out given last update was about 5K.

Trump's lead just fell to 79K in Georgia.

If there really is more than 10% left in DeKalb, Clayton, Bibb, Chatham, Dougherty, and Muscogee, Biden should take the lead.