2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Alben Barkley]

I am closer to truly believing in god than I have been in years.

I'm starting to believe Georgia flipping was divine intervention intended to reward Jimmy Carter for all his goodness and kindness throughout these decades.

LOL as long as dems don't get Senate Biden has no chance in 2024. They won't be able to change electoral college.

You are very lucky that at this moment I am trying to follow Jimmy's lead and be the better man. Because believe me, there are some TRULY nasty things I would like to say to you but I'm gonna hold back. For now. Can't promise I'll keep it up if you keep going, however.

[SN2903]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324698927136997377

Silver needs to go away forever and stop talking about politics. He is a freaking joke.

And you are...?

My prediction was 10000x closer to the result than Silver. He said Trump would lose Florida by 2 and he won by 4. He said Ohio was a tie and Trump won by 8. Silver can shut the f*** up

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

...where's my PA numbers, GeorgiaModerate?!

[BlueSwan]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324698927136997377

Silver needs to go away forever and stop talking about politics. He is a freaking joke.

And you are...?

My prediction was 10000x closer to the result than Silver. He said Trump would lose Florida by 2 and he won by 4. He said Ohio was a tie and Trump won by 8. Silver can shut the f*** up

No, he didn't. His model, which is based on data from other companies' polls, did.

[Person Man]

How many are left in PA anyways? 200k and Biden is down 10k, right?

[DaleCooper]

It's tough to say because we don't know what Biden's popular vote win will look like, but it seems like the electoral college advantage for Republicans did not expand by much if at all this year like many predicted. Though given how close many states are that isn't too comforting on its own.

[GeorgiaModerate]

...where's my PA numbers, GeorgiaModerate?!

Don't shoot the messenger.

[BlueSwan]

Huh, the last couple of PA updates ook very weird indeed: https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-election-scraper/battleground-state-changes.html

[Crumpets]

Here's a very preliminary map of Kanye's performance by state. The scale is Atlas colors divided by 100, so 40% = 0.4%, 30% = 0.3%, etc. My big takeaway is that it seems like there might have been a contingent of McMullin-Kanye voters? Maybe? #ChurchOfYeezusChristOfLatterDayRegistrations?

[BlueSwan]

It's tough to say because we don't know what Biden's popular vote win will look like, but it seems like the electoral college advantage for Republicans did not expand by much if at all this year like many predicted. Though given how close many states are that isn't too comforting on its own.

Oh, it did. I believe Biden is on track to win the popular vote by something like 4.5 points.

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324698927136997377

Trust your forecast? STFU, Nate, indeed.

Can’t stand this clown.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Dammit Pennsylvania dump your load already

[Alben Barkley]

To be honest, THIS is how I'm feeling given how my stocks have fared ever since it became clear Biden won:

LOL at Trumplets who insisted Biden winning would crash the market.

[Inmate Trump]

I really hope these new PA numbers push Biden over the top, and I hope it's soon.

I need to shower, but I'm glued to the computer so I don't miss it.

Please, God, make this finally be it.

[pppolitics]

The question then is whether Biden's lead in GA can survive provisional ballots, which I am guessing leans Republican since far more Republicans voted in-person than Democrats.

I don't want to jinx it though.

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324708986990583809

[DaleCooper]

The question then is whether Biden's lead in GA can survive provisional ballots, which I am guessing leans Republican since far more Republicans voted in-person than Democrats.

I don't want to jinx this though.

How many provisional ballots are left and from where?

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324708986990583809

> Well I woke up

Great start, Dave.  Good job.  

[Platypus]

Pennsylsaviour

[Ferguson97]

Also "Titanium Tilt R Florida" was real... we really gotta go with our gut more often

[GeorgiaModerate]

Biden takes the lead in PA by 5587.

[Thunder98]

Biden officially takes the lead in PA

[GeorgiaModerate]

The question then is whether Biden's lead in GA can survive provisional ballots, which I am guessing leans Republican since far more Republicans voted in-person than Democrats.

I don't want to jinx this though.

How many provisional ballots are left and from where?

I posted earlier:

Georgia:

Election officials lack a statewide count of outstanding provisional ballots in Georgia, which were issued when voters went to the wrong precinct, their registration information couldn’t be found or they lacked photo ID.

Fulton County reported 3,900 provisional ballots, and DeKalb County had 1,600. But data on how many provisional ballots were pending in most other counties weren’t available.

Election officials will count provisional ballots without any further action needed from voters in many cases. For example, if a ballot was cast in the wrong precinct, votes will be counted for races that the voter was eligible to participate in.

But if voters' registration information is in question, they would need to provide it to county elections offices before the end of the day Friday for their ballots to be counted.

https://www.ajc.com/politics/more-ballots-arriving-in-georgia-from-overseas-and-provisional-voters/2IKU3WM5XZD7FDQE5DAOKYXTMY/

[pppolitics]

The question then is whether Biden's lead in GA can survive provisional ballots, which I am guessing leans Republican since far more Republicans voted in-person than Democrats.

I don't want to jinx this though.

How many provisional ballots are left and from where?

https://www.ajc.com/politics/more-ballots-arriving-in-georgia-from-overseas-and-provisional-voters/2IKU3WM5XZD7FDQE5DAOKYXTMY/

[GeorgiaModerate]

CNN chyron a few minutes ago: SOURCES: Trump tells allies he has no plans to concede.