ABC/Washington Post: Minnesota - Biden +16 | Wisconsin - Biden +6
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  ABC/Washington Post: Minnesota - Biden +16 | Wisconsin - Biden +6
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Author Topic: ABC/Washington Post: Minnesota - Biden +16 | Wisconsin - Biden +6  (Read 4927 times)
Gass3268
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« on: September 15, 2020, 10:52:25 PM »



That Minnesota margin is not a typo.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2020, 10:53:52 PM »

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republican1993
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« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2020, 10:54:01 PM »

welp....
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Perlen vor den Schweinen
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« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2020, 10:55:11 PM »

Finally, the Klobuchar DNC foot pics bump is in effect.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #4 on: September 15, 2020, 10:55:40 PM »

Imagine thinking TX and GA aren't there but Minnesota is.
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Rand
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« Reply #5 on: September 15, 2020, 10:55:46 PM »

OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!
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WD
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« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2020, 10:56:51 PM »

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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #7 on: September 15, 2020, 10:58:30 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #8 on: September 15, 2020, 10:58:58 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.

That's the second one today too.
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Kuumo
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« Reply #9 on: September 15, 2020, 11:00:26 PM »

Remember when half of Atlas thought Minnesota was a toss-up because of a tied Trafalgar poll? Pepperidge Farm remembers.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #10 on: September 15, 2020, 11:02:41 PM »

https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1216a12020StateBattlegrounds-WIMN.pdf

September 8-13

MN
615 likely voters
MoE: 4.5% for likely voters

Biden 57%
Trump 41%
Neither 1%
Other 0% (but some voters)
Would not vote 0% (no voters)
No opinion 1%

WI
605 likely voters
MoE: 4.5% for likely voters

Biden 52%
Trump 46%
Neither 1%
Other 0% (but some voters)
Would not vote 0% (no voters)
No opinion 1%
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #11 on: September 15, 2020, 11:02:48 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.
A +6 margin in Wisconsin for Biden is great. Hillary lost WI in 2016 and Obama won WI by 6.94% in 2012.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: September 15, 2020, 11:04:33 PM »

You gotta love how hard these guys push undecideds. True pros.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #13 on: September 15, 2020, 11:06:50 PM »

You gotta love how hard these guys push undecideds. True pros.

Tbf they’re not pushing all of them. I assume completely undecided voters are the ones marked down as voters with “no opinion”.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #14 on: September 15, 2020, 11:07:48 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.

The margin isn't amazing, but that looks a lot like how I expect the final result to be. It isn't a 45-39 poll. Biden at 52% is fantastic!
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n1240
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« Reply #15 on: September 15, 2020, 11:08:04 PM »

Seems like someone at ABC messed up, these weren't supposed to be released until 6 am.
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krb08
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« Reply #16 on: September 15, 2020, 11:13:10 PM »

Pretty good Wisconsin numbers but I'm treating the Minnesota ones as an outlier until further polling backs them up.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #17 on: September 15, 2020, 11:13:23 PM »

my oh my
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #18 on: September 15, 2020, 11:14:08 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.

The margin isn't amazing, but that looks a lot like how I expect the final result to be. It isn't a 45-39 poll. Biden at 52% is fantastic!

If someone had told me back in January that somehow Biden +6 in Wisconsin would be considered on the lower side for his polling, I would not have believed it.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #19 on: September 15, 2020, 11:15:58 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.

The margin isn't amazing, but that looks a lot like how I expect the final result to be. It isn't a 45-39 poll. Biden at 52% is fantastic!

If someone had told me back in January that somehow Biden +6 in Wisconsin would be considered on the lower side for his polling, I would not have believed it.

Yeah at the beginning of the year Wisconsin was really a pure toss-up. Now Trump is nowhere close.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #20 on: September 15, 2020, 11:18:17 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.

The margin isn't amazing, but that looks a lot like how I expect the final result to be. It isn't a 45-39 poll. Biden at 52% is fantastic!

If someone had told me back in January that somehow Biden +6 in Wisconsin would be considered on the lower side for his polling, I would not have believed it.

Yeah at the beginning of the year Wisconsin was really a pure toss-up. Now Trump is nowhere close.

Wisconsin not only being likely D, but about as likely D as the rest of the Rust Belt states has got to be one of the biggest polling-related surprises of this election.
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n1240
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« Reply #21 on: September 15, 2020, 11:19:01 PM »

Biden is at 69% with college educated white voters in MN which seems a bit too high. The gender gap is also gigantic with Biden at 67% among women and 48% among men in MN. The topline is also quite high as well of course, but based on other polling it doesn't seem unreasonable to think Biden is up around 10% there and anyone who hyped up the state potentially becoming competitive should be ashamed of themselves.
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krb08
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« Reply #22 on: September 15, 2020, 11:20:42 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.

The margin isn't amazing, but that looks a lot like how I expect the final result to be. It isn't a 45-39 poll. Biden at 52% is fantastic!

If someone had told me back in January that somehow Biden +6 in Wisconsin would be considered on the lower side for his polling, I would not have believed it.

Yeah, we need to start putting this is perspective, lol. In February a lot of us thought Wisconsin was tossup/Tllt R. Now +6 there is an average poll for Biden. Great news for the election, but it's awful what had to happen to the country to cause this
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #23 on: September 15, 2020, 11:20:45 PM »
« Edited: September 15, 2020, 11:44:37 PM by Tucker 2024 »

Getting hard to see Biden losing WI with this many polls above 50%. Hillary didn't hit 50% in a single WI poll after March.
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Jay 🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #24 on: September 15, 2020, 11:21:05 PM »

Biden +16 in MN is pretty inflated, I think it'll be closer to a 9-12 point victory though.

Still, great poll for Biden on both accounts
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