ABC/Washington Post: Minnesota - Biden +16 | Wisconsin - Biden +6 (user search)
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  ABC/Washington Post: Minnesota - Biden +16 | Wisconsin - Biden +6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ABC/Washington Post: Minnesota - Biden +16 | Wisconsin - Biden +6  (Read 4914 times)
n1240
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Posts: 1,207


« on: September 15, 2020, 11:08:04 PM »

Seems like someone at ABC messed up, these weren't supposed to be released until 6 am.
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n1240
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Posts: 1,207


« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2020, 11:19:01 PM »

Biden is at 69% with college educated white voters in MN which seems a bit too high. The gender gap is also gigantic with Biden at 67% among women and 48% among men in MN. The topline is also quite high as well of course, but based on other polling it doesn't seem unreasonable to think Biden is up around 10% there and anyone who hyped up the state potentially becoming competitive should be ashamed of themselves.
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n1240
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,207


« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2020, 07:30:17 AM »

The Minnesota poll moved Biden's win probability by 3% at 538.

Minnesota has gone from tipping point state to same probability for Biden to win as Colorado in two weeks on 538's forecast.
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