ABC/Washington Post: Minnesota - Biden +16 | Wisconsin - Biden +6
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 10:16:11 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  ABC/Washington Post: Minnesota - Biden +16 | Wisconsin - Biden +6
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4
Author Topic: ABC/Washington Post: Minnesota - Biden +16 | Wisconsin - Biden +6  (Read 4875 times)
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 15, 2020, 10:52:25 PM »



That Minnesota margin is not a typo.
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,452
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2020, 10:53:52 PM »

Logged
republican1993
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 388
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2020, 10:54:01 PM »

welp....
Logged
Perlen vor den Schweinen
kongress
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 972
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2020, 10:55:11 PM »

Finally, the Klobuchar DNC foot pics bump is in effect.
Logged
Roronoa D. Law
Patrick97
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,491
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 15, 2020, 10:55:40 PM »

Imagine thinking TX and GA aren't there but Minnesota is.
Logged
Rand
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,093
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 15, 2020, 10:55:46 PM »

OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,573
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2020, 10:56:51 PM »

Logged
Wiz in Wis
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,711


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 15, 2020, 10:58:30 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,452
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 15, 2020, 10:58:58 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.

That's the second one today too.
Logged
Kuumo
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,080


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 15, 2020, 11:00:26 PM »

Remember when half of Atlas thought Minnesota was a toss-up because of a tied Trafalgar poll? Pepperidge Farm remembers.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,771


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 15, 2020, 11:02:41 PM »

https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1216a12020StateBattlegrounds-WIMN.pdf

September 8-13

MN
615 likely voters
MoE: 4.5% for likely voters

Biden 57%
Trump 41%
Neither 1%
Other 0% (but some voters)
Would not vote 0% (no voters)
No opinion 1%

WI
605 likely voters
MoE: 4.5% for likely voters

Biden 52%
Trump 46%
Neither 1%
Other 0% (but some voters)
Would not vote 0% (no voters)
No opinion 1%
Logged
ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
New Frontier
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,230
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 15, 2020, 11:02:48 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.
A +6 margin in Wisconsin for Biden is great. Hillary lost WI in 2016 and Obama won WI by 6.94% in 2012.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 15, 2020, 11:04:33 PM »

You gotta love how hard these guys push undecideds. True pros.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,771


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 15, 2020, 11:06:50 PM »

You gotta love how hard these guys push undecideds. True pros.

Tbf they’re not pushing all of them. I assume completely undecided voters are the ones marked down as voters with “no opinion”.
Logged
DaleCooper
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,852


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 15, 2020, 11:07:48 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.

The margin isn't amazing, but that looks a lot like how I expect the final result to be. It isn't a 45-39 poll. Biden at 52% is fantastic!
Logged
n1240
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,207


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 15, 2020, 11:08:04 PM »

Seems like someone at ABC messed up, these weren't supposed to be released until 6 am.
Logged
krb08
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 274
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 15, 2020, 11:13:10 PM »

Pretty good Wisconsin numbers but I'm treating the Minnesota ones as an outlier until further polling backs them up.
Logged
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,293


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 15, 2020, 11:13:23 PM »

my oh my
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 15, 2020, 11:14:08 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.

The margin isn't amazing, but that looks a lot like how I expect the final result to be. It isn't a 45-39 poll. Biden at 52% is fantastic!

If someone had told me back in January that somehow Biden +6 in Wisconsin would be considered on the lower side for his polling, I would not have believed it.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 15, 2020, 11:15:58 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.

The margin isn't amazing, but that looks a lot like how I expect the final result to be. It isn't a 45-39 poll. Biden at 52% is fantastic!

If someone had told me back in January that somehow Biden +6 in Wisconsin would be considered on the lower side for his polling, I would not have believed it.

Yeah at the beginning of the year Wisconsin was really a pure toss-up. Now Trump is nowhere close.
Logged
DaleCooper
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,852


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 15, 2020, 11:18:17 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.

The margin isn't amazing, but that looks a lot like how I expect the final result to be. It isn't a 45-39 poll. Biden at 52% is fantastic!

If someone had told me back in January that somehow Biden +6 in Wisconsin would be considered on the lower side for his polling, I would not have believed it.

Yeah at the beginning of the year Wisconsin was really a pure toss-up. Now Trump is nowhere close.

Wisconsin not only being likely D, but about as likely D as the rest of the Rust Belt states has got to be one of the biggest polling-related surprises of this election.
Logged
n1240
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,207


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 15, 2020, 11:19:01 PM »

Biden is at 69% with college educated white voters in MN which seems a bit too high. The gender gap is also gigantic with Biden at 67% among women and 48% among men in MN. The topline is also quite high as well of course, but based on other polling it doesn't seem unreasonable to think Biden is up around 10% there and anyone who hyped up the state potentially becoming competitive should be ashamed of themselves.
Logged
krb08
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 274
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 15, 2020, 11:20:42 PM »

While the Wisconsin margin isn't amazing... I'll take any WI poll with Biden at 52.

The margin isn't amazing, but that looks a lot like how I expect the final result to be. It isn't a 45-39 poll. Biden at 52% is fantastic!

If someone had told me back in January that somehow Biden +6 in Wisconsin would be considered on the lower side for his polling, I would not have believed it.

Yeah, we need to start putting this is perspective, lol. In February a lot of us thought Wisconsin was tossup/Tllt R. Now +6 there is an average poll for Biden. Great news for the election, but it's awful what had to happen to the country to cause this
Logged
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,612
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 15, 2020, 11:20:45 PM »
« Edited: September 15, 2020, 11:44:37 PM by Tucker 2024 »

Getting hard to see Biden losing WI with this many polls above 50%. Hillary didn't hit 50% in a single WI poll after March.
Logged
Jay 🏳️‍⚧️
trippytropicana
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 631
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: September 15, 2020, 11:21:05 PM »

Biden +16 in MN is pretty inflated, I think it'll be closer to a 9-12 point victory though.

Still, great poll for Biden on both accounts
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.056 seconds with 13 queries.