ABC/Washington Post: Minnesota - Biden +16 | Wisconsin - Biden +6 (user search)
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  ABC/Washington Post: Minnesota - Biden +16 | Wisconsin - Biden +6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ABC/Washington Post: Minnesota - Biden +16 | Wisconsin - Biden +6  (Read 5133 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


« on: September 15, 2020, 11:02:41 PM »

https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1216a12020StateBattlegrounds-WIMN.pdf

September 8-13

MN
615 likely voters
MoE: 4.5% for likely voters

Biden 57%
Trump 41%
Neither 1%
Other 0% (but some voters)
Would not vote 0% (no voters)
No opinion 1%

WI
605 likely voters
MoE: 4.5% for likely voters

Biden 52%
Trump 46%
Neither 1%
Other 0% (but some voters)
Would not vote 0% (no voters)
No opinion 1%
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2020, 11:06:50 PM »

You gotta love how hard these guys push undecideds. True pros.

Tbf they’re not pushing all of them. I assume completely undecided voters are the ones marked down as voters with “no opinion”.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2020, 07:08:33 AM »

I'm glad I wasn't the only one who thought this framing was absurd. Whoever wrote this write up really doing a LOT to make it seem like a 6 pt difference is somehow tied



A 6% lead could still be very competitive at this stage were both candidates below 50% (the margin in isolation could be for a race in the lean D/R range, even this close to e-day). However, Biden being at 52% means that lead is stronger than it looks and pundits should be picking up on that.
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