Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[VAR]

SurveyMonkey
July 9-13
53,106 adults

Approve 44% (+1)
Disapprove 54% (-1)
No answer 2% (nc)

https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/nbc-poll-covid-july12/

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

YouGov poll for Missouri-

Approve: 50% (+2)
Disapprove: 48%

https://www.slu.edu/research/research-institute/big-ideas/slu-poll/june-2020-poll/trump-biden.php

When you're nearly negative approval in *Missouri*, a Trump +19 state...

The exit polls will be interesting. I wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of people who disapprove of Trump but voted for him anyway.

[Person Man]

YouGov poll for Missouri-

Approve: 50% (+2)
Disapprove: 48%

https://www.slu.edu/research/research-institute/big-ideas/slu-poll/june-2020-poll/trump-biden.php

When you're nearly negative approval in *Missouri*, a Trump +19 state...

The exit polls will be interesting. I wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of people who disapprove of Trump but voted for him anyway.

People literally knowing their policies didn’t work but will still vote for them. And I guess that’s OK. Some people don’t want things to “work out” or whatever. But then there is the rest of us.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Global Strategy Group/Navigator Research, July 9-13, 1002 RV (2-week change)

Approve 39 (-4)
Disapprove 59 (+3)

This matches Trump's all-time low in this survey, which goes back to April 2018.

There are several questions on who is most trusted about reopening schools in the falls (Trump, Dr. Fauci, state & local governments, Democrats in Congress).  Essentially, voters trust everybody else more than Trump.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, July 12-14, 1500 adults including 1252 RV

Adults:

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 54 (-1)

Strongly approve 23 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 45 (+3)


RV:

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 56 (-1)

Strongly approve 27 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 48 (+2)

Biden 49 (nc), Trump 40 (nc)

GCB: D 48 (-3), R 40 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Quinnipiac, July 9-13, 1273 RV (1-month change)

Approve 36 (-6)
Disapprove 60 (+5)

Strongly approve 25 (-7)
Strongly disapprove 54 (+6)

Biden 52 (+3), Trump 37 (-4)

Quinnipiac has consistently been a bad pollster for Trump, and this is not quite their worst result for him (33/61 in Aug. 2017), but...yikes.

[woodley park]

Quinnipiac, July 9-13, 1273 RV (1-month change)

Approve 36 (-6)
Disapprove 60 (+5)

Strongly approve 25 (-7)
Strongly disapprove 54 (+6)

Biden 52 (+3), Trump 37 (-4)

Quinnipiac has consistently been a bad pollster for Trump, and this is not quite their worst result for him (33/61 in Aug. 2017), but...yikes.

That... is ugly. And yet, in light of the 'historic corruption', the rally fallout, the Bible stunt, and the school de-funding threats, it is absolutely appropriate. We all know these 'bumps' we joke about refer to his disapproval rating.

[GeorgiaModerate]

NBC/WSJ, July 9-12, 900 RV (1-month change)

Approve 42 (-3)
Disapprove 56 (+3)

Strongly approve 30 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 50 (+3)

Biden 51 (+2), Trump 40 (-2)

As a counterpoint to the Q poll, this is one of Trump's better high-quality pollsters...and they have him at 50 strong disapproval.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), July 13-14, 1115 adults including 961 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (+2)
Disapprove 56 (-1)

Strongly approve 22 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 45 (+2)

Biden 43 (+3), Trump 36 (+2)


RV:

Approve 40 (nc)
Disapprove 56 (-1)

Strongly approve 22 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 46 (+1)

Biden 47 (+4), Trump 37 (nc)

[ugabug]

Those strongly disapprove numbers are why i'm more and more convinced that Trump won't be able to to make some sort of comeback. Jesus those are bad numbers for him and even worse consistent numbers for him.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Those strongly disapprove numbers are why i'm more and more convinced that Trump won't be able to to make some sort of comeback. Jesus those are bad numbers for him and even worse consistent numbers for him.

It's made even worse because the Trump campaign in trying to constantly portray him as things he is not, so far, seem to be banking on a significant part of the population somehow not having an opinion of him which is almost impossible.

[pbrower2a]

Quinnipiac, July 9-13, 1273 RV (1-month change)

Approve 36 (-6)
Disapprove 60 (+5)

Strongly approve 25 (-7)
Strongly disapprove 54 (+6)

Biden 52 (+3), Trump 37 (-4)

Quinnipiac has consistently been a bad pollster for Trump, and this is not quite their worst result for him (33/61 in Aug. 2017), but...yikes.

There have been worse polls for Trump than 36-60?

We are in the zone of non-precedent now. Outlier? Maybe, but some other polls say 39-59. Polarized as America has been, 54% strong disapproval means that some conservatives are turning against Trump. America has at most about 10% swing voters in recent years.


 We have a Presidency in utter collapse.

[wbrocks67]

ABC/Wapo poll

Trumps response to the coronavirus
38% approve / 60% disapprove (was 46/53 in late May)

Do you trust Trump on what he says about COVID-19?
34% great deal or good amount / 64% not so much or not at all

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/64-distrust-trump-coronavirus-pandemic-approval-declines-cases/story?id=71779279&cid=clicksource_4380645_2_heads_hero_live_headlines_hed

[GeorgiaModerate]

Democracy Fund/UCLA Nationscape, July 2-8, 6006 adults (change from April)

Approve 39 (-7)
Disapprove 55 (+5)

Biden leads Trump 49-41 (up from 48-43) among RVs (subsample size unspecified).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden lead is 8 not 15 that the QU poll overstated, in today's polling.

That 500 blowout again is gone, poof and Graham is investigating Hunter Biden again

[Hope For A New Era]

538 average is so close to dropping below 40. Come on, do it!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am not celebrating anything until Congress passes the stimulus package.  Congress cant wait til Jan 2021 to pass another check

[GeorgiaModerate]

Michigan: PPP, July 9-10, 1041 RV

Approve 42
Disapprove 53

Biden 51, Trump 44

Peters 49, James 42

[Hammy]

YouGov poll for Missouri-

Approve: 50% (+2)
Disapprove: 48%

https://www.slu.edu/research/research-institute/big-ideas/slu-poll/june-2020-poll/trump-biden.php

When you're nearly negative approval in *Missouri*, a Trump +19 state...

The exit polls will be interesting. I wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of people who disapprove of Trump but voted for him anyway.

To be fair, I disapproved of Obama in 2012 and still voted for him, my disapproval was that he didn't do as much as he could have and should have during 2009-11.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Congress should not be allowed to go on any more recesses until they pass a stimulus bill

[pbrower2a]

The race may be tightening.

[Dr. Arch]

The race may be tightening.

Based on? Biden gained +1 from late June in the same poll.

[Hope For A New Era]

YouGov poll for Missouri-

Approve: 50% (+2)
Disapprove: 48%

https://www.slu.edu/research/research-institute/big-ideas/slu-poll/june-2020-poll/trump-biden.php

When you're nearly negative approval in *Missouri*, a Trump +19 state...

Lines up with national polls as well. His approval was briefly negative here in January 2019 during the shutdown, while nationally it dropped to 39%.

The exit polls will be interesting. I wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of people who disapprove of Trump but voted for him anyway.

"At Least He's Not A Democrat™"`

Polarization is a very powerful thing.

[GeorgiaModerate]

ABC News/Washington Post, July 12-15, 1006 adults including 845 RV (change from late May)


Adults:

Approve 39 (-6)
Disapprove 57 (+4)

Strongly approve 28 (-4)
Strongly disapprove 48 (+6)

Biden 54 (+1), Trump 39 (-1)


RV:

Approve 40
Disapprove 58

Strongly approve 30
Strongly disapprove 51

Biden 55 (+2), Trump 40 (-3)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Fox News, July 12-15, 1104 RV (1-month change)

Approve 45 (+1)
Disapprove 54 (-1)

Strongly approve 28 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 45 (nc)

Biden 49 (-1), Trump 41 (+3)