Trump approval ratings thread 1.6
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Author Topic: Trump approval ratings thread 1.6  (Read 167558 times)
woodley park
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« Reply #2200 on: July 06, 2020, 12:25:51 PM »

Remember reading about how Ronald Reagan hit 38% in the polls four months before his landslide re-election? Yeah, me neither.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2201 on: July 06, 2020, 12:39:19 PM »
C'mon the polls are gonna remain that low forever for Trump, its gonna be a 278 race.

Biden was leading by 12 with RV not LV.
Trust me it's not gonna be a 335 EC landslide
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2202 on: July 07, 2020, 12:16:22 PM »
PPP, June 25-26, 996 RV (prior poll June 19-20 for a different client)

Approve 42 (+1)
Disapprove 54 (nc)

Biden 53 (+1), Trump 42 (-1)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2203 on: July 07, 2020, 12:23:40 PM »
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen (not Rasmussen Reports), July 2-4, 1200 RV (change from mid-June)

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 58 (nc)

Strongly approve 27 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 47 (-2)

Quote
That’s the lowest level of approval yet measured in polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen.
...
Perhaps most concerning for the president is that support is slipping among Republicans. The latest results show that just 80% of those in his party offer their approval. That’s down slightly from 84% in mid-June.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2204 on: July 07, 2020, 12:27:10 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 07, 2020, 12:23:40 PM
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen (not Rasmussen Reports), July 2-4, 1200 RV (change from mid-June)

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 58 (nc)

Strongly approve 27 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 47 (-2)

Quote
That’s the lowest level of approval yet measured in polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen.
...
Perhaps most concerning for the president is that support is slipping among Republicans. The latest results show that just 80% of those in his party offer their approval. That’s down slightly from 84% in mid-June.


I presume the reason we haven't been seeing many recent polls is because Indy Day, no, GM?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2205 on: July 07, 2020, 12:30:25 PM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on July 07, 2020, 12:27:10 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 07, 2020, 12:23:40 PM
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen (not Rasmussen Reports), July 2-4, 1200 RV (change from mid-June)

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 58 (nc)

Strongly approve 27 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 47 (-2)

Quote
That’s the lowest level of approval yet measured in polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen.
...
Perhaps most concerning for the president is that support is slipping among Republicans. The latest results show that just 80% of those in his party offer their approval. That’s down slightly from 84% in mid-June.


I presume the reason we haven't been seeing many recent polls is because Indy Day, no, GM?

Yes, generally there's less polling around major holidays.  I think the main reason for this is lower response rates due to people traveling, although this year that would be less of an issue than normal.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #2206 on: July 07, 2020, 01:59:15 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 07, 2020, 12:23:40 PM
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen (not Rasmussen Reports), July 2-4, 1200 RV (change from mid-June)

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 58 (nc)

Strongly approve 27 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 47 (-2)

Quote
That’s the lowest level of approval yet measured in polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen.
...
Perhaps most concerning for the president is that support is slipping among Republicans. The latest results show that just 80% of those in his party offer their approval. That’s down slightly from 84% in mid-June.


His sliding support amongst Republicans is something that we've seen being noted in many recent polls.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #2207 on: July 07, 2020, 03:33:05 PM »
Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on July 07, 2020, 01:59:15 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 07, 2020, 12:23:40 PM
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen (not Rasmussen Reports), July 2-4, 1200 RV (change from mid-June)

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 58 (nc)

Strongly approve 27 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 47 (-2)

Quote
That’s the lowest level of approval yet measured in polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen.
...
Perhaps most concerning for the president is that support is slipping among Republicans. The latest results show that just 80% of those in his party offer their approval. That’s down slightly from 84% in mid-June.


His sliding support amongst Republicans is something that we've seen being noted in many recent polls.

Probably correlates with him losing the olds.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2208 on: July 08, 2020, 01:57:22 AM »
The Trump 4th of July speech was a total bomb, Biden is still up 11 pts
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woodley park
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« Reply #2209 on: July 08, 2020, 08:41:23 AM »
I don't understand why anyone expects the race to tighten. This is so far beyond the Dow Jones and unemployment rate at this point. Literally every other major country in the world is over the hump, but not the United States. We're lost in a dark tunnel with no light in sight.

Trump has failed catastrophically. I'm hearing word now that the Trump administration wants to just tell America that we need to just deal with the fact that COVID is here, and get used to 50,000 new cases and a rising death toll. If that is the new line, this presidency is over.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2210 on: July 08, 2020, 08:43:08 AM »
Quote from: woodley park on July 08, 2020, 08:41:23 AM
I don't understand why anyone expects the race to tighten. This is so far beyond the Dow Jones and unemployment rate at this point. Literally every other major country in the world is over the hump, but not the United States. We're lost in a dark tunnel with no light in sight.

Trump has failed catastrophically. I'm hearing word now that the Trump administration wants to just tell America that we need to just deal with the fact that COVID is here, and get used to 50,000 new cases and a rising death toll.

NOT saying I don't believe it (because...Trump), but do you have a preliminary source on that, WP?
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woodley park
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« Reply #2211 on: July 08, 2020, 08:54:16 AM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on July 08, 2020, 08:43:08 AM
Quote from: woodley park on July 08, 2020, 08:41:23 AM
I don't understand why anyone expects the race to tighten. This is so far beyond the Dow Jones and unemployment rate at this point. Literally every other major country in the world is over the hump, but not the United States. We're lost in a dark tunnel with no light in sight.

Trump has failed catastrophically. I'm hearing word now that the Trump administration wants to just tell America that we need to just deal with the fact that COVID is here, and get used to 50,000 new cases and a rising death toll.

NOT saying I don't believe it (because...Trump), but do you have a preliminary source on that, WP?

Sure thing. I'm referring to this report in Washington Post, which cites anonymous senior administration officials as sources:

Quote
"Trump’s advisers, by contrast, are seeking ways to reframe his response to the coronavirus — even as the president himself largely seeks to avoid the topic because he views it as a political loser. They are sending health officials to swing states, putting doctors on TV in regional markets where the virus is surging, crafting messages on an economic recovery and writing talking points for allies to deliver to potential voters.

The goal is to convince Americans that they can live with the virus — that schools should reopen, professional sports should return, a vaccine is likely to arrive by the end of the year and the economy will continue to improve.

White House officials also hope Americans will grow numb to the escalating death toll and learn to accept tens of thousands of new cases a day, according to three people familiar with the White House’s thinking, who requested anonymity to reveal internal deliberations. Americans will “live with the virus being a threat,” in the words of one of those people, a senior administration official."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-and-biden-campaigns-shift-focus-to-coronavirus-as-pandemic-surges/2020/07/06/53a4ec50-bd62-11ea-80b9-40ece9a701dc_story.html

It is just so infuriatingly cynical!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2212 on: July 08, 2020, 09:11:28 AM »
The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, July 5-7, 1500 adults including 1165 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (+1)
Disapprove 55 (+1)

Strongly approve 22 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 42 (-1)


RV:

Approve 42 (nc)
Disapprove 57 (nc)

Strongly approve 26 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 46 (nc)

Biden 49 (nc), Trump 40 (nc)

GCB: D 51 (+2), R 40 (nc)
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Person Man
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« Reply #2213 on: July 08, 2020, 09:29:21 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 08, 2020, 09:11:28 AM
The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, July 5-7, 1500 adults including 1165 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (+1)
Disapprove 55 (+1)

Strongly approve 22 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 42 (-1)


RV:

Approve 42 (nc)
Disapprove 57 (nc)

Strongly approve 26 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 46 (nc)

Biden 49 (nc), Trump 40 (nc)

GCB: D 51 (+2), R 40 (nc)

So, if anything, more people are just having an opinion at this point.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2214 on: July 08, 2020, 10:06:36 AM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on July 08, 2020, 08:43:08 AM
Quote from: woodley park on July 08, 2020, 08:41:23 AM
I don't understand why anyone expects the race to tighten. This is so far beyond the Dow Jones and unemployment rate at this point. Literally every other major country in the world is over the hump, but not the United States. We're lost in a dark tunnel with no light in sight.

Trump has failed catastrophically. I'm hearing word now that the Trump administration wants to just tell America that we need to just deal with the fact that COVID is here, and get used to 50,000 new cases and a rising death toll.

NOT saying I don't believe it (because...Trump), but do you have a preliminary source on that, WP?

Covid 19 had expanded into TX, AZ and FL, states that Trump cant afford to lose
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2215 on: July 08, 2020, 10:13:07 AM »
Quote from: woodley park on July 08, 2020, 08:41:23 AM
I don't understand why anyone expects the race to tighten. This is so far beyond the Dow Jones and unemployment rate at this point. Literally every other major country in the world is over the hump, but not the United States. We're lost in a dark tunnel with no light in sight.

Trump has failed catastrophically. I'm hearing word now that the Trump administration wants to just tell America that we need to just deal with the fact that COVID is here, and get used to 50,000 new cases and a rising death toll. If that is the new line, this presidency is over.

...over 130 million Americans dead from COVID-19.

A half-way decent President would have treated COVID-19 as if a war, with the virus as an enemy in the sense that Hitler and Tojo were demonized enemies. Similar sentiments: Osama bin Laden. We would have propaganda posters everywhere.
 
Obviously wars are now waged with fighters, bombers, missiles, submarines, mines, warships, tanks, and artillery -- . The virus deserves no mercy. We can even use Stalinist "enemy of the People" rhetoric against it without hurting people. The virus has even less humanity than Adolf Hitler, if that is possible.  
 
I hate this virus like Hitler hated the Jews, like Stalin hated "wreckers", Mao hated "running dogs of the imperialists"... except that the victims of those tyrants were innocent. There's nothing human about COVID-19. Justice calls for the extermination of this virus.
 
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #2216 on: July 08, 2020, 10:40:10 AM »
Opinium Research/TheGuarian has approval at 36-52
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Brittain33
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« Reply #2217 on: July 08, 2020, 11:01:24 AM »
Quote from: LCameronOR on July 08, 2020, 10:40:10 AM
Opinium Research/TheGuarian has approval at 36-52



Wow, that’s an old poll to release now.
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woodley park
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« Reply #2218 on: July 08, 2020, 11:26:56 AM »
Now Trump is threatening to cut off funding to schools that do not re-open, saying that schools in Western Europe are re-opening, so we should be doing the same. Except, you know, Western Europe got past the virus while we are still lost in the sauce. It defies logic, sanity, and even parody. It is a shame we have to wait until January to get these clowns out of office.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2219 on: July 08, 2020, 11:55:24 AM »
Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), July 6-7, 1114 adults including 952 RV

Adults:

Approve 38 (-1)
Disapprove 57 (nc)

Strongly approve 22 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (nc)

Biden 40 (-3), Trump 34 (nc)


RV:

Approve 40 (-1)
Disapprove 57 (nc)

Strongly approve 24 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 45 (nc)

Biden 43 (-3), Trump 37 (-1)
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2220 on: July 08, 2020, 06:38:46 PM »
Quote from: woodley park on July 08, 2020, 11:26:56 AM
Now Trump is threatening to cut off funding to schools that do not re-open, saying that schools in Western Europe are re-opening, so we should be doing the same. Except, you know, Western Europe got past the virus while we are still lost in the sauce. It defies logic, sanity, and even parody. It is a shame we have to wait until January to get these clowns out of office.

Teachers and maybe even students are next in line to be sacrificed to Trump's ignorance.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2221 on: July 09, 2020, 09:38:50 AM »
A state that rarely gets polled:

Alaska: PPP, July 7-8, 1081 RV

Approve 46
Disapprove 49

Trump 48, Biden 45

Senate: Sullivan 39, Gross 34

House: Galvin 43, Young 41
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2222 on: July 09, 2020, 09:50:25 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 09, 2020, 09:38:50 AM
A state that rarely gets polled:

Alaska: PPP, July 7-8, 1081 RV

Approve 46
Disapprove 49

Trump 48, Biden 45

Senate: Sullivan 39, Gross 34

House: Galvin 43, Young 41

Alaska is a tough state to poll (How do you say "Press '4' for Inuit" in Inuit?....

Evidence of a Trump collapse.

My handicap of states decided by 10% or less (Maine excluded) does not change.

AZ Biden 80 Trump 20
FL Biden 70 Trump 30
GA Biden 70 Trump 30
IA Biden 40 Biden 60
ME Biden 99+ Trump 1 or less
MI Biden 99+ Trump  1 or less
MN Biden 99+ Trump  1 or less
NH Biden 99+ Trump  1 or less
NC Biden 70 Trump 30
OH Biden 70 Trump 30
PA Biden 99+ Trump  1 or less
TX Biden 55 Trump 45
WI Biden 99+ Trump  1 or less

I have been slow to give Joe Biden any edge in Texas, but I do now. COVID-19 has spiked in Texas, transforming at the least Houston and San Antonio into medical equivalents of slaughterhouses. 




Trump approval 50-54%
Trump approval positive but under 50%
ties are in white
Trump approval negative but disapproval under 50%
Trump disapproval 50-54%
Trump disapproval 55% or higher
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #2223 on: July 09, 2020, 01:18:10 PM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on July 09, 2020, 09:50:25 AM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 09, 2020, 09:38:50 AM
A state that rarely gets polled:

Alaska: PPP, July 7-8, 1081 RV

Approve 46
Disapprove 49

Trump 48, Biden 45

Senate: Sullivan 39, Gross 34

House: Galvin 43, Young 41

Alaska is a tough state to poll (How do you say "Press '4' for Inuit" in Inuit?....

Evidence of a Trump collapse.

My handicap of states decided by 10% or less (Maine excluded) does not change.

AZ Biden 80 Trump 20
FL Biden 70 Trump 30
GA Biden 70 Trump 30
IA Biden 40 Biden 60
ME Biden 99+ Trump 1 or less
MI Biden 99+ Trump  1 or less
MN Biden 99+ Trump  1 or less
NH Biden 99+ Trump  1 or less
NC Biden 70 Trump 30
OH Biden 70 Trump 30
PA Biden 99+ Trump  1 or less
TX Biden 55 Trump 45
WI Biden 99+ Trump  1 or less

I have been slow to give Joe Biden any edge in Texas, but I do now. COVID-19 has spiked in Texas, transforming at the least Houston and San Antonio into medical equivalents of slaughterhouses. 




Trump approval 50-54%
Trump approval positive but under 50%
ties are in white
Trump approval negative but disapproval under 50%
Trump disapproval 50-54%
Trump disapproval 55% or higher



Easy. You hire someone who speaks Inuktitut for an hour to make a recording.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2224 on: July 09, 2020, 07:32:13 PM »
North Carolina:

No approval (or even favorable) numbers on Trump,  but they can't be good. In a sample that voted 47-44 for Trump over Clinton (which is about how the vote split in 2016), Biden is up 50-46.

Incumbent Senator T-t-t-tom Tillis  (whoops ... he's not the late Mel Tillis) is in t-t-t-t-trouble at 47-39 with the challenger in the lead.
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