Florida 2022 Megathread

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Rs won Florida big in 2018 when Hillary was loser. Biden approval down plus Rubio against AA Demings means Ds are lost.

Kelly, WARNOCK, Hassan, and CCM will decide inevitable fate.

You're about 8 months late with that 'hot' take

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Conservatives just like Coolidge wants find some way for Biden to lose and by beating him in Midterms

This isn't 2000/2004/2016 anymore. Yeah Biden didn't crack the Red wall in 2020, but he has a record of passing legislation now, that has a 60% Approval

Don't forget in the Early vote, D's do better, that's why Newsome and T Mac both will win


He won't stay at 48%, Approvals in 500 days

[MT Treasurer]

Quinnipiac Poll (August 17-21)

Approval numbers:

Joe Biden: -13 (40/53)
Ron DeSantis: +2 (47/45)
Rick Scott: +2 (42/40)
Marco Rubio: +11 (49/38)

Should DeSantis be reelected?

48% Yes
45% No

Should Marco Rubio be reelected?

47% Yes
41% No

No R vs. D match-ups.

889 self-identified registered voters in Florida were surveyed from August 17th - 21st with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points.

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3818

[Heebie Jeebie]

Quinnipiac Poll (August 17-21)

Approval numbers:

Joe Biden: -13 (40/53)
Ron DeSantis: +2 (47/45)
Rick Scott: +2 (42/40)
Marco Rubio: +11 (49/38)

Should DeSantis be reelected?

48% Yes
45% No

Should Marco Rubio be reelected?

47% Yes
41% No

No R vs. D match-ups.

889 self-identified registered voters in Florida were surveyed from August 17th - 21st with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points.

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3818

How the hell is Marco Rubio doing so much better than Rick Scott?

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

Quinnipiac Poll (August 17-21)

Approval numbers:

Joe Biden: -13 (40/53)
Ron DeSantis: +2 (47/45)
Rick Scott: +2 (42/40)
Marco Rubio: +11 (49/38)

Should DeSantis be reelected?

48% Yes
45% No

Should Marco Rubio be reelected?

47% Yes
41% No

No R vs. D match-ups.

889 self-identified registered voters in Florida were surveyed from August 17th - 21st with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points.

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3818

How the hell is Marco Rubio doing so much better than Rick Scott?

What planet are you living on?

[Progressive Pessimist]

Quinnipiac Poll (August 17-21)

Approval numbers:

Joe Biden: -13 (40/53)
Ron DeSantis: +2 (47/45)
Rick Scott: +2 (42/40)
Marco Rubio: +11 (49/38)

Should DeSantis be reelected?

48% Yes
45% No

Should Marco Rubio be reelected?

47% Yes
41% No

No R vs. D match-ups.

889 self-identified registered voters in Florida were surveyed from August 17th - 21st with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points.

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3818

Ouch! Knowing Quinnipiac's history with polling Florida, the 2022 midterms are going to be a as red as red tide here. Not that I would be surprised. Hell, maybe people will finally start listening to me.

[Donerail]

did Romney +9 pan out for you or

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

DeSantis and Rubio are most likely to win and Laxalt won't win before DeSantis or Rubio, polls are showing a landslide for Laxalt, just like 2018/ polls predicted D's winning FL before NV, NOT

[2016]

DeSantis and Rubio are most likely to win and Laxalt won't win before DeSantis or Rubio, polls are showing a landslide for Laxalt, just like 2018/ polls predicted D's winning FL before NV, NOT

Florida & Nevada will go with the National Political Environment in 2022. If it is as bad as 2010 Laxalt could win.

A Party-Switcher, Opportunist, Douchebag, Carpetbagger, whatever you want to call Crist for isn't going to win in a Biden Midterm!

[Suburbia]

DeSantis can be beaten but it would take sheer skill.

Fried can do it, she is young and fresh.

Crist is washed up and should have stayed in the House or joined the Biden cabinet

[Utah Neolib]

Quinnipiac Poll (August 17-21)

Approval numbers:

Joe Biden: -13 (40/53)
Ron DeSantis: +2 (47/45)
Rick Scott: +2 (42/40)
Marco Rubio: +11 (49/38)

Should DeSantis be reelected?

48% Yes
45% No

Should Marco Rubio be reelected?

47% Yes
41% No

No R vs. D match-ups.

889 self-identified registered voters in Florida were surveyed from August 17th - 21st with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points.

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3818

How the hell is Marco Rubio doing so much better than Rick Scott?

Cubans, my friend. Oh and Rick Scott is simply not very charismatic or appealing

[Donerail]

Rubio's human suit is more realistic and lifelike

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They keep polling FL, we went thru this last time in 2018/ no way CCM is losing by 10 and Rubio and DeSantis by 3 pts, they had SISOLAK losing to Laxalt and Guilli winning, wasn't SUNUNU leading Hassan by 10 pts

Lol, it's a 3o4 map, why FL, why not poll OH, NC

[JMT]

This seems to all but announce a candidacy…

https://twitter.com/annette_taddeo/status/1435587532738252801?s=21

[Real Texan Politics]

This seems to all but announce a candidacy…

https://twitter.com/annette_taddeo/status/1435587532738252801?s=21

Won't be the nominee, actually may end up splitting the #resist vote with Fried, making Crist more likely to be the nominee.

Edit: Now that I think about it she probably won't do much since Fried already has a big following, so I doubt Taddeo entering the race will affect Fried that much.

[MARGINS6729]

This seems to all but announce a candidacy…

https://twitter.com/annette_taddeo/status/1435587532738252801?s=21

Won't be the nominee, actually may end up splitting the #resist vote with Fried, making Crist more likely to be the nominee.

Edit: Now that I think about it she probably won't do much since Fried already has a big following, so I doubt Taddeo entering the race will affect Fried that much.

You couldn't be more wrong there- Taddeo is a very skilled politician who will eat into Fried's base. Fried might have more name recognition at this time but Taddeo is a huge threat to her candidacy.

[Donerail]

Two South Florida candidates in the race sounds great — Taddeo in particular is not a statewide name and doesn't have much of a base outside of the region. Everything keeps coming up CHARLIE

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Nikki Fried is gonna win the primary and win the GE and so will Grayson over Demings, they all have enough enthusiasm to defeat Crist and Demings

[Leroy McPherson fan]

https://mobile.twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1447991315468324872

[Pollster]

Taddeo seems to have an extremely poor electoral track record until, all of a sudden, she doesn't. Did she just randomly become a better candidate? Better fundraiser?

A leaked DCCC memo in the 2016 Russia hack said she was the party's preferred choice for FL-26 in 2016 but that "she's a weaker fundraiser [than Joe Garcia] and Garcia complicates the primary because of his name recognition." The memo also notes that her three unsuccessful runs for office might portray her as an “incompetent candidate” and pointed out that many perceive her as a “wealthy elitist.”

Really not sure what to make of this candidacy.

[President Johnson]

https://mobile.twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1447991315468324872

Primary: Likely Crist -> Safe Crist
General: Likely Republican -> Safe Democratic

Seriously though, could Messam be chosen for lt. governor by Crist? He would balance the ticket by age and race.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fried is am AG Commissioner not a Lawyer like Crist and Crist speaks Spanish and was Gov before

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/annette_taddeo/status/1450109263142133763?s=21

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/annette_taddeo/status/1450109263142133763?s=21

She's probably a better candidate than grifter Nikki Fried or perennial candidate Charlie Crist. That said, DeSantis is unbeatable.

[Pollster]

Pretty strange/worrisome that her non-announcement video from September was better than her actual announcement video.