Florida 2022 Megathread

[2016]

Crist can win this😌😌😌

Not as long as the economy in Florida is BOOMING! Since April 2020, more than 1 million jobs have been added in Florida. Under Ron De Santis, Florida is leading the nation in terms of job creation as 25 % of the jobs created last month were created in Florida. People will attribute it to De Santis' tax-cut, small government and free enterprise policies.

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/481058-ron-desantis-jobs/

Meanwhile, Crist is the extreme liberal who lost 832,000 jobs during his time as Governor in addition of running $5.2 billion in debt. And this so-called "moderate" supported BBB. The moreover that the socialist and big government policies that Crist is supporting resulted that Tesla moved its headquarters from California to Texas.

I just checked the 2018 FL Exit Polls. Gillum beat DeSantis among Independents by 10 Points (54-44), yet DeSantis still won the Race. Independents are more Republican-leaning in 2022 compared to 2018 which makes it virtually impossible for either Crist or Fried to win unless the National Political Environment completely turns around which I don't see happening.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's called a recession which we had under Bush W that's why McCain and Romney lost and Obama got elected when Crist was in office but Biden isn't at 40 percent anymore and his polls are gradually rising because the same can be said about Biden unlike Trump whom had a 7.5 Unemployment rate as opposed to Biden whom had a 4.3 percent Unemployment rate


It's called wave insurance but I can dream and it's not over until Election night but we aren't gonna lose 50 seats and Rs aren't getting 35 Govs like the compiled map in days those are silly R hack maps and I am not one of those people

We can make our user Predictions until the Day of the Election anyway we want an it doesn't have to be accurate those R hack maps arent


I am from California we always predict Blue waves

You have even Solid making an R hackmap

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Watching Crist and Fried campaign, I really don't see how this is going anywhere, tbh. Their entire campaign theme seems "DeathSantis is bad" and "I beat DeSantis" with no real message beyond that. For sure this is an uphill battle no matter what, but their messaging really sucks. Who advises them? Seriously?

Honestly, I feel like DeSantis was always going to be kind of hard to run against. His main selling point is that he kept Florida open while states like California and New York had to deal with onerous restrictions.

Running in favor of more restrictions is going to be an absolutely toxic position to take, especially given the widespread availability of the vaccine.

DeSantis is not an antivaxxer, and it's not his fault if people die because they were irresponsible and chose to not get vaccinated.

Since when is 4/6 pt lead a safe lead with 10 mnths left and that is what Crist and Demings are down bye, it's not Safe and you should not think so either..
.
SISOLAK and CCM are down 4)6 pts and with Biden improvement I'm polls from 40 percent with Reid bump we should win NV

[2016]

Watching Crist and Fried campaign, I really don't see how this is going anywhere, tbh. Their entire campaign theme seems "DeathSantis is bad" and "I beat DeSantis" with no real message beyond that. For sure this is an uphill battle no matter what, but their messaging really sucks. Who advises them? Seriously?

Honestly, I feel like DeSantis was always going to be kind of hard to run against. His main selling point is that he kept Florida open while states like California and New York had to deal with onerous restrictions.

Running in favor of more restrictions is going to be an absolutely toxic position to take, especially given the widespread availability of the vaccine.

DeSantis is not an antivaxxer, and it's not his fault if people die because they were irresponsible and chose to not get vaccinated.

Since when is 4/6 pt lead a safe lead with 10 mnths left and that is what Crist and Demings are down bye, it's not Safe and you should not think so either..
.
SISOLAK and CCM are down 4)6 pts and with Biden improvement I'm polls from 40 percent with Reid bump we should win NV

DeSantis is LEAN REPUBLICAN bordering LIKELY REPUBLICAN and Rubio the same.

You do realize that Hispanics are moving away from Democrats particularly in States like Florida, Texas, Arizona and Nevada. Sisolak and CCM are in a very tough spot.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2016 doesn't realize the Election isn't until October and Biden won't be at 39/55 and not a single poll has Mark Kelly down

It's wave insurance but I am not gonna believe Biden is still at 39/55 unless IPSOS SAYS SO ON October 31st he is at 52)48 in IPSOS, that just came out if an incumbent reaches 50 percent he wins reelection we don't need FL but it's good we get thee knock out blow it's the first battleground state up next to NC

If Rs have there way we shouldn't run any wave insurance candidates but they can beat us in our blue wall Hogwash we have the right to run candidates in all 50 States

NV is Likely D but Laxalt has a 1/3 chance just like Demings does

[Skye]

This is just wild.

https://twitter.com/NikkiFried/status/1478365605220728834

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

what the f--king christ, nikki

[Sir Mohamed]

Sure.jan

https://twitter.com/CharlieCrist/status/1478161977969098753

[Not Me, Us]

Jfc, who is advising these people? How is this the best Dems can do in a state with 21 million people in it? It's just embarrassing.

[Sir Mohamed]

Jfc, who is advising these people? How is this the best Dems can do in a state with 21 million people in it? It's just embarrassing.

I would assume the same geniuses that advised Bill Nelson and Andrew Gillum, among unsuccessful Dem candidates. Secondly, even good advisers are worthless if candidates don't listen to them. The fish usually stinks from the head.

[Suburbia]

Demings is the bright spot of the FLDP.

Demings can beat Rubio if Roe is gone, a lot of Floridian women will be pissed.

Crist is washed up, Fried and Demings could drive female turnout, but Demings will overperform Fried

[Sir Mohamed]

Demings is the bright spot of the FLDP.

Demings can beat Rubio if Roe is gone, a lot of Floridian women will be pissed.

Crist is washed up, Fried and Demings could drive female turnout, but Demings will overperform Fried

I don't think she can. Perhaos do better than Crist, but does it matter when she loses by 5-6 instead of 9-10 pts?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Border has been a sticking pt in Biden polls he is net positive but the Border in TX he is 30/65 and NV, AZ, TX and FL are Border states going to the right because Biden has stopped building the Wall


CO is the only border state due to alot of Muslims and Cali that still support Biden and NM

Immigrants on Fox News are seen on camera with drugs walking in the parts of border that has no 🧱🧱🧱

[beesley]

Nikki Fried should be ashamed of herself.

[President Johnson]

Sure.jan

https://twitter.com/CharlieCrist/status/1478161977969098753

Charlie, I like you, but man, you gotta put some meat on the bone. This is basically just "orange man bad DeathSantis version". I mean, DeSantis is probably going to win reelection anyway, but if you claim to run a serious campaign you should more focus on kitchentable issues. Just saying "vote for me because other guy bad" isn't exactly a winning message unless your opponent is like 25-30 points underwater.

[2016]

Florida Republicans expand Voter Registration lead over Democrats in the State to 40K, was 25K at the end of November.

https://twitter.com/mantlehog/status/1478407204634087425?s=21

The Florida Republican Party gained about 175,000 New Voters since the October 2020 Book Closings before the 2020 Presidential Election.

By my count Florida Republicans have gained between 5,000 - 7,000 New Voters over the last 14 Months.

If this continues the FL GOP will have an Advantage between 120K - 130K come Election Day.

[2016]

Demings is the bright spot of the FLDP.

Demings can beat Rubio if Roe is gone, a lot of Floridian women will be pissed.

Crist is washed up, Fried and Demings could drive female turnout, but Demings will overperform Fried

Demings would have to overcome two to three very important things:

# 1 The National Political Environment which is favouring Republicans and I don't expect that to change.
# 2 The Republican-lean of the State especially in a Midterm Year.
# 3 The Republican-lean Independent Voters in 2022.

In 2018 Independents favoured Democrats. Gillum & Nelson beat DeSantis & Scott by 10 Points yet they still could not win the State according to Exit Polls. Biden beat Trump among Independent Voters by 11 Points, yet lost the State by 280,000 Votes.

The Transformation Florida has undertaken over the last 6 Years in particular is just astonishing and the FLDP have not kept up with the changing face of the State. They have moved too far to the left.

[Suburbia]

Why is Crist running if he does not have any policies to run on?

Is he another Terry McAuliffe type retread?

Florida Dems should go with Fried, she is a fresh face.

Crist ran already in 2014 and could not beat Rick Scott of all people.

Davis, Sink, Crist, are all retreads

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why is Crist running if he does not have any policies to run on?

Is he another Terry McAuliffe type retread?

Florida Dems should go with Fried, she is a fresh face.

Crist ran already in 2014 and could not beat Rick Scott of all people.

Davis, Sink, Crist, are all retreads

Lol he was leading DeSANTIS 53/47 when Biden had a 57 before the Debt Ceiling fight in the end of September

[Unelectable Bystander]

Does anybody know if registration trends are heavily affected by the political environment? It looks like Florida is absolutely gone, unless these numbers immediately reverse themselves or are somehow being driven by a wave.

These numbers are astonishing. Miami, Palm Beach, and St. Lucie look destined to outright flip, while the margins in Lee, Volusia, Lake, and Sarasota appear to still be growing

[lfromnj]

https://mobile.twitter.com/NikkiFried/status/1478530049078874113

Unlike Mandel she can't win the general.

[Pink Panther]

https://mobile.twitter.com/NikkiFried/status/1478530049078874113
Unlike Mandel she can't win the general.

Jesus Christ. I think even I could run a better campaign than her, and that's saying a lot.

[Roll Roons]

How is the Democratic Party in this state so damn terrible?

Seriously, Trump only won it by 3 points and people aren't even trying, as if it's North Dakota or something. In 2024, Florida will have 30 electoral votes (and a Senate seat up for grabs) and gained one even while the big blue states of California, Illinois and New York each lost one. They are also very good at efficiently counting votes, and I think 2020 proved why that's important.

Florida should be in the conversation just as much as Texas and North Carolina.

[2016]

How is the Democratic Party in this state so damn terrible?

Seriously, Trump only won it by 3 points and people aren't even trying, as if it's North Dakota or something. Florida will have 30 electoral votes and gained one even while the big blue states of California, Illinois and New York each lost one. They are also very good at efficiently counting votes, and I think 2020 proved why that's important.

Florida should be in the conversation just as much as Texas and North Carolina.

Socialism, Socialism, Socialism...

Did you see some of the Ads by then Miami Mayor Carlos Gimenez tying Rep. Debbie Mucarsell-Powell to Venezuela & Nicaragua. Very effective!

[2016]

Does anybody know if registration trends are heavily affected by the political environment? It looks like Florida is absolutely gone, unless these numbers immediately reverse themselves or are somehow being driven by a wave.

These numbers are astonishing. Miami, Palm Beach, and St. Lucie look destined to outright flip, while the margins in Lee, Volusia, Lake, and Sarasota appear to still be growing

These Trends were in place after the 2012 Election and just got excelarated during the Trump Years.