Florida 2022 Megathread

[2016]

The Governor Race between DeSantis and Fried (if she gets the Nomination) will be similar to the Wisconsin Governor Race 2014 between Scott Walker and Mary Burke. Democrats will dump in Millions and DeSantis will win between 5-8 Points.

[2016]

I have hopes that D's will flip AZ, TX or FL, GA probably stays R, Abrams haven't made a decision on challenge to Kemp

LOL, Democrats ain't going to win TX, not in a Midterm Year anyway. Beto isn't running and Abbott isn't as polarizing as Ted Cruz was in 2018.

Mason-Dixon has DeSantis up Double-Digits on Fried, Crist!

[2016]

Rep. Val Demings expected to run for Governor
https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook-pm/2021/04/29/desantis-gets-a-big-name-likely-opponent-492656

[2016]

She wasn't gonna run against Rubio, Rubio is safe and last poll had DeSantis tied with Fried

That last Poll who had DeSantis and Fried tied which I seriously doubt is the same Poll who told us Biden would win Pinellas County by Double Digits. Fried is 10 Points behind DeSantis at least if not even more.

[2016]

Rep. Val Demings expected to run for Governor
https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook-pm/2021/04/29/desantis-gets-a-big-name-likely-opponent-492656

Interesting.  Likely their strongest possible candidate. 

Well, good luck to Demings running as a former House Impeachment Manager IN Trump Country. FL is Trump Country. Trump won FL by a bigger margin last year than George W. Bush in his Re-Election 2004. FL isn't a Swing State anymore.

[2016]

It's not just Trump country, he is running on the same ballot as Cuban Rubio and FL has a Cuban Embargo, but if CRIST runs he will be competetive, not Val Demings just like Beasley won't win, but we haven't had any polls from Quinnepiac University

Rs don't have a monopoly on IA, FL, NC, OH we won them before and will win them again, one of them will fall this election cycle when Ds lead on Generic ballot 47/42 just like Sherrod Brown won in 2018

Just like GA was an R state since 1992 and it finally fell. Don't forget Kellys won in AZ and KS red turf

Biden is at 53 percent approvals, danger zone for Rs in red turf

Obama had close to 75 % Approval after his 100 Days in Office in 2009. Biden at 53 % is very bad.
You won't win anything in 2022.

[2016]

D's lead on Generic ballot 47/42 that's more than ENOUGH to win OH, FL, IA or NC, Obama lost 201o midterms as you recall

2010 isnot a good example

2018 isn't a good example either. Democrats won't get 2018 Turnout Levels in 2022. Trust me on this!

[2016]

Rep. Val Demings expected to run for Governor
https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook-pm/2021/04/29/desantis-gets-a-big-name-likely-opponent-492656

Interesting.  Likely their strongest possible candidate. 

In a vacuum, I'd agree.

However...I think there will be a number of voters in the Democratic primary who are of the mind that, due to the closeness of the 2018 race, a white politician could have won the election and, therefore, may have "electability" concerns this time around with a black woman.

African American wasn't the Problem for Gillum. He was too liberal, endorsed by Bernie Sanders. That sunk him.

[2016]

This is for everybody:
You all should put Kanye West ala Olowakandi on ignore. Don't respond to any of his Posts because his Predictions are so outlandish it's useless to discuss with him.

The more you respond to him, the more he posts crap stuff & Predictions. The less you do respond the less he posts. He just wants attention. Don't give him that!

[2016]

No Olawakandi is great if you accept the fact that you won’t be able to understand everything he posts and people need to stop trying to argue with him.

No, Olowakandi is SPAMMING in a very obscure, bad way.

[2016]

@Canis,
If Demings runs as well Florida Democrats will have two Candidates (Crist & Demings) from the same Region running for Governor. This D-Primary will be a "Hot Mess".

[2016]

@Canis,
If Demings runs as well Florida Democrats will have two Candidates (Crist & Demings) from the same Region running for Governor. This D-Primary will be a "Hot Mess".

false

It's not false. Demings is from the Orlando Area while Crist is from St. Pete/Tampa. Both in the middle of the State...the I4 Corridor. I dunno where Fried is from but if Crist/Demings split the Vote in the middle of the State that usually ends up either favouring someone from the Southeast FL or from the North (like Gillum).

[2016]

Crist is dominating the primary, one of them need to take on Rubio and Fried has the best chance to defeat Rubio, because Crist is the best known to FL he was T Gov before

Crist 53/30%


Biden is gonna probably the Fried after she loses the primary the take on Rubio

Demings probably runs against Rubio and wins her primary easily.

Demings will not run against Rubio with potentially Stephanie Murphy & Aramis Ayala running!

[2016]

@UWS,
FL-GOV looks "Lean R" for sure!

[2016]

DeSantis and Rubio are most likely to win and Laxalt won't win before DeSantis or Rubio, polls are showing a landslide for Laxalt, just like 2018/ polls predicted D's winning FL before NV, NOT

Florida & Nevada will go with the National Political Environment in 2022. If it is as bad as 2010 Laxalt could win.

A Party-Switcher, Opportunist, Douchebag, Carpetbagger, whatever you want to call Crist for isn't going to win in a Biden Midterm!

[2016]

It is getting quite obvious! Annette Taddeo launched her own Bid for Governor because she knowns that Crist almost certainly will lose again in the General Election.

A Taddeo/Demings Ticket atop the FL Ballot may get both Races in Florida, Governor and Senate a lot closer.

[2016]

Crist and Val are gonna be the nominees for Gov and Sen

Crist won't be the D-Gov Nominee. Democrats won't nominate someone who has lost Elections Statewide 3 Times in the past 10 Years: Against Rubio in the 2010 Republican Senate Primary, as an Independent that same year in the GE and as a Democrat in the 2014 Governor Race.

Taddeos Entrance into the Race being his former Running Mate will make it harder for Crist to win the Primary. Taddeo is likely to siphon enough Votes away from Crist that either A) she gets the Nomination herself or B) Nikki Fried gets it.

[2016]

Democratic Governors Association are already pulling back Resources for FL-GOV 2022
https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2021/11/04/no-million-dollar-checks-democratic-governors-may-sit-out-florida-1392319

[2016]

An Astounding Statistic

FL Party Registration just before the 2008 Presidential Election

REPUBLICAN  4,100,109

DEMOCRAT  4,791,642

MINOR PARTIES  326,026

NO PARTY AFFILIATION  2,132,226

Difference: D+691,533

FL Party Registration as of October 31st 2021

REPUBLICAN  5,118,357

DEMOCRAT  5,114,039

MINOR PARTIES  252,492

NO PARTY AFFILIATION  3,814,567

Difference: R+4,318

[2016]

Crist and Demings went from in a mnth 12 and 19 back to six behind because Marco Rubio is Filibustering VR and the Defense Bill,

Why do you take every poll seriously coming out so far ahead of the election?

This race is Likely or Safe R

A seat is not safe R when it's 6 pts S019 says CRIST and DEMINGS are gonna win, lol it's a Latino state and so it's TX we're gonna have higher turnout than 21 we didn't have our Fed H and Senate candidates up, I am optimistic, Biden Approvals aren't gonna be 41 by Nov 22

So you say that Biden will have higher Approvals than President Obama had in his 1st Midterm? Is that really what you are saying? I really have to laugh when you say that. Obamas JA on E-DAY 2010 Nationally was 44 %. Biden will be at that Mark or even below that but not above.

[2016]

2010 we had ACA unpopularity and 11 Percent unemployment 8ts wave insurance anyways but don't underestimate CRIST I can endorse a candidate even if he loses I endorse Beto

You are nuts!!! You do realize that Florida is one of the States in the Country which has the highest Vote Share among Senior Citizens and Senior Citizens ain't going to vote Democratic.

The 2022 Midterm Electorate will be Older, Whiter with less African-Americans & Hispanics and Young People voting in Florida and elsewhere which favours Republicans.

Do you understand American Politics at all?

[2016]

The Florida Republican Party has expanded its Voter Registration lead over Democrats in the State during the month of November.

On October 31 the Republican Advantage was just a mere 4,318 Votes.

Now on November 30 it looks like this

Republicans   5,120,076
Democrats   5,095,008
Minor Parties   253,020
No Party Affiliation   3,816,816

Since the Election of Joe Biden Florida Republicans have added almost 150.000 New Voters. They had a 130K Deficit in November 2020.

And these New Voters are going to vote come November 2022.

[2016]

D's aren't beating anyone unless Biden gets to 50 percent but we have 336 but FL is more likely to flip than TX and DeSANTIS is only up six


Fried is down by nine pts and Crist is down six Crist is more likely to beat DESANTIS than Fried

Nonsense, Republicans have added 150,000 New Voters in the past year since Biden was elected President. Unless Democrats can reverse this Trend they are going to face a FL Electorate that's even more Republican in a Midterm year then it used to be.

I take my cap off Governor DeSantis. Throughout the entire Pandemic he did not follow "Clown Car Fauci Crap" when it comes to Mask Mandates, Vaccine Mandates. Instead he followed his own Advisors and Gut Instinct and that is working.

The Reason Crist was so close against Rick Scott was because Scotts JA and Favorability Rating was under water during his entire 1st Term.

DeSantis has a JA which has been most of the time sitting above 50 %. Usually when a sitting Governor has an Approval over 50 %, they win.

[2016]

Whatever you think about DeSantis, you have to admit his opponents are cringe

It's clear that Fried's political skills are very questionable. How the hell did she even get elected in the first place?

Fluke, and not one that's going to be repeated

Agreed, Fried can thank Brenda Snipes that she is Agriculture Commissioner given the shenanigans Snipes pulled in Broward County during the 2018 Elections.

[2016]

Lol DeSantis isn't winning by double digits Trump won it by 3 pts if it's a 304 map Abbott is winning by six and DeSantis by 3 these polls are underestimating Minority votes

These Polls do not underestimate Minority Voters. You are full of crap!