Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Wat

Yeah I question the validity of these early exits strongly

Also recalled 2020 vote choice was 46-46 Trump-Biden

Ouch.
Yeah, bin it.

[EastwoodS]

Exit polls update throughout the night anyway, so the first batch isn't necessarily the most accurate.

Yeah no..they’ll probably get more Republican 😂

[Pheurton Skeurto]

alright i just read the last couples pages and apparently Youngkin is going to win by at least 30 points. no way that is incorrect in anyway. this is Atlas, after all.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

>Virginia youth turnout 9%
>Biden 43% approval
>Top issues of Virginia voters: Economy, Jobs

Wins or losses tonight Biden needs to sound the alarm to everyone in the admin. to get their sh*t together, now. Some executive orders as well.

What do you suggest he should order?
Some of his orders are at least partly to blame for his poor ratings.

He takes marijuana, Medicare, and student debt into his own hands, the midterms are a blue wave. Nevermind if he gets the guts to work around the Manchin/Sinema debacle.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Exit polls update throughout the night anyway, so the first batch isn't necessarily the most accurate.

Yes. But it can go either way.

[Skill and Chance]

In 2013 54 percent of voters disapproved of Obama’s job performance, according to the exit polling. But 30 percent of those who “somewhat disapproved” of Obama nonetheless voted for McAuliffe.


https://www.politico.com/story/2013/11/terry-mcauliffe-virginia-governor-2013-elections-099441

This is from an old politico article

This is why the Biden numbers, in the context of this specific election, don't interest me to much for now. What I think Democrats should be concerned about is Youngkin's approvals in comparison to McAuliffe's.

If Biden really is 43/56 in VA, it means he's in Hoover after the stock market crash territory nationally, so that's actually pretty important, possibly the most important part here for longer term implications. 

Hence why I mentioned, "in the context of this specific election". Also, voters in an off-year election are not representative of Virginia's 2024 or 2020 voters as a whole. Plus, we have to wait until the election results come in before we can even know if this is true.

Also don't forget, I remember plenty of approval polls placing Trump's rating under water in states like Nebraska, Texas, and Alaska, and several points underwater in Iowa or Ohio. I'll believe a dramatic exodus from one of the two major parties when I see it.

The IA/OH polls were obviously just wrong.  As for NE/TX/AK, Trump did the worst of any modern R in those places even though he still won (except for NE-02).

[Chips]

Wat

Yeah I question the validity of these early exits strongly

Also recalled 2020 vote choice was 46-46 Trump-Biden

Ouch.
Yeah, bin it.

[Oryxslayer]

Hopping back into this thread (after being unable to follow it for two months cause of work) to watch the chaos of whatever happens tonight. Also, in case it hasn't been said already, it was raining in NOVA for most of the day

[Ljube]

Exit polls update throughout the night anyway, so the first batch isn't necessarily the most accurate.

The first batch indicates Youngkin+10.
Results like GWB. Only possible with a huge swing in NOVA.

[Spectator]

Wat

Yeah I question the validity of these early exits strongly

Also recalled 2020 vote choice was 46-46 Trump-Biden

Big LOL

[Blair]

Why argue endlessly over awful exit polls when you only have to wait what 5 hours until the actual result? It’s pointless especially as they’re so historically awful

[DrScholl]

Exit polls update throughout the night anyway, so the first batch isn't necessarily the most accurate.

Yeah no..they’ll probably get more Republican 😂

And if they don't you'll start screaming fraud and saying that someone needs to take up arms to avenge the King, right? Get out of here with this arrogant sh**t.

[OSR stands with Israel]

27 % of Voters are Senior Citizens in VA per CNN. Youth Vote only 9 %.

YoungKing YoungKing YoungKing!!!!

Will you cool it with the cultish stuff? We've had enough of that with Trump. No one in this race is a king.

Dude it’s just a joke lol

[GALeftist]

Also, why on earth are outlets releasing exit polls prior to polls closing? Not a good move, guys

[roxas11]

If you think Biden approvals are lower in a state he won by 10 points than they are nationally, I have a bridge, etc.

I admit its kind of silly, especially since Morning Consult just drop a poll today showing Biden back at 47 but who knows, maybe those CRT attacks are hurting Biden more in Virigina than it is nationally

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Wat

Yeah I question the validity of these early exits strongly

Also recalled 2020 vote choice was 46-46 Trump-Biden

Ouch.
Yeah, bin it.

Told y'all. Maybe Youngkin has a big win, but either way don't pay attention to early exit polls.

[Chips]

As a sidenote, Anyone else sometimes have a bit of trouble posting due to new replies being posted?

[xavier110]

So we have gone from a decisive MacDaddy win to a YoungKing landslide.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

As a sidenote, Anyone else sometimes have a bit of trouble posting due to new replies being posted?

Wait until the midterms thread lmao

I'd literally sit on a comment for a good minute or two trying again and again during the Presidential last year lol

[DaleCooper]

>Virginia youth turnout 9%
>Biden 43% approval
>Top issues of Virginia voters: Economy, Jobs

Wins or losses tonight Biden needs to sound the alarm to everyone in the admin. to get their sh*t together, now. Some executive orders as well.

What do you suggest he should order?
Some of his orders are at least partly to blame for his poor ratings.

I know this isn't a Biden thread, but the Democrats desperately need to learn how to quietly take a loss and move on. It's been clear that their Build Back Better thing has been dead for months and months and months. Stop waging that war and pass what you can, that'd be my advice. Also, and this isn't so much Biden's fault but he's the head of the party so he has some power here, stop with the social engineering. Keep the government out of people's brains.

[SnowLabrador]

Wow, Youngkin might actually win by 5 or more.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

>Virginia youth turnout 9%
>Biden 43% approval
>Top issues of Virginia voters: Economy, Jobs

Wins or losses tonight Biden needs to sound the alarm to everyone in the admin. to get their sh*t together, now. Some executive orders as well.

What do you suggest he should order?
Some of his orders are at least partly to blame for his poor ratings.

He takes marijuana, Medicare, and student debt into his own hands, the midterms are a blue wave. Nevermind if he gets the guts to work around the Manchin/Sinema debacle.

Student loan debt relief would absolutely backfire if it was anything more than 5,000. You've talked to way too many college graduate dems if you think that'll actually appeal to the average 65+ swing voter.

Student loan debt relief was always one of the worst of this new wave of dem's proposals. Also, dems literally legalized marijuana in Virginia.

[Hope For A New Era]

CNN Preliminary Exit Poll says 57% are a gun-owning household lol

Wat

Is that stat really not believable? I don’t see the issue.

National statistic is 42%.

[Lief 🗽]

The Fox poll was right.
https://twitter.com/toomertastic/status/1455652508739768323?s=21

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

If the exit poll is accurate, that proves I was right about everything all along and everyone should listen to meeee.