Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Lief 🗽]

It’s over.
https://twitter.com/hotlinejosh/status/1455643488171663360?s=21

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Jeez. Biden 43/56 = it's a close race, indeed.

*if exit polls are not totally off.

[CookieDamage]

Jeez. Biden 43/56 = it's a close race, indeed.

*if exit polls are not totally off.

I HIGHLY doubt Biden has approvals comparable to Trump's in a state he won by 10 points.

[compucomp]

Maybe the turnout reports can stop now that we have an indication for how the voters are actually thinking?

The exit poll has moved PredictIt back to around 50-50 from 60-40 Dem earlier in the day.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455640901792014338

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

If anyone is wondering how Republican Rockingham county is(at least ancestrally as although it is still very Republican it isn't the reddest)

It didn't even vote for Warner in 08.

Rockingham County is so Republican, it's voted Democratic for president only once since 1936 - in 1964 - and it only voted Dem by a margin of 50 votes then.

[THG]

It’s over.
https://twitter.com/hotlinejosh/status/1455643488171663360?s=21

I don’t take exit polls as gospel on principle and I get the argument that not everyone who approves of Youngkin will necessarily vote for him, but this is UNDENIABLY a fantastic sign for Youngkin if it’s anywhere close to reality.

I remain confident in my prediction of a Youngkin victory.

[soundchaser]

As with seemingly every exit poll, conflicting messages:

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1455643925188907010

[President Johnson]

I wish they had digged deeper about Biden approvals, what exactly it is that they're unhappy with. The stalemate in congress? Thank Manchin and Sinema.

[Pollster]

Early exit polls - with all caveats for early exit polls - not pretty for Democrats.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1455642243398840331

[Skill and Chance]

Always take early exit polls with a grain of salt, but if they are accurate this looks like the Youngkin +5-10 R sweep scenario. 

[LimoLiberal]

Looks like a Republican blowout coming.

[CookieDamage]

Always take early exit polls with a grain of salt (showed easy Clinton win in 2016, Kerry win in 2004), but if they are accurate this looks like the Youngkin +5-10 R sweep scenario.  

Which is not happening.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The Youngkin favorables are more important than the Biden ones. They show that he's enjoying net popularity among the electorate as a whole.

[Not Me, Us]

I see the Atlas pendulum has begun to swing once again.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Just a reminder to not take the following seriously:
1) Incomplete turnout reports of only a select few counties
2) Exit polls

[soundchaser]

I'd like to see McAuliffe favorables - have they mentioned holding them back until the next hour?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I'd like to see McAuliffe favorables - have they mentioned holding them back until the next hour?

[compucomp]

I know this analogy has been beaten to death... but that Fairfax early vote drop really might bring back memories of a certain South Florida county if this exit poll is right.

[Lief 🗽]

The Fox poll was right. RIP.
https://twitter.com/usa_polling/status/1455645290648719361?s=21

[hyouzel the predictor]

We still don't know if these numbers are from just Election Day voters or all voters... if this is Election Day voters I am feeling pretty great about Terry's chances

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

I see the Atlas pendulum has begun to swing once again.

No, not Atlas, but there were 3-4 turnout experts, kinda claiming Safe D.

[LimoLiberal]

We still don't know if these numbers are from just Election Day voters or all voters... if this is Election Day voters I am feeling pretty great about Terry's chances

They said on air they include vote by mail, in-person early vote and election day.

[roxas11]

As with seemingly every exit poll, conflicting messages:

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1455643925188907010

That biden is not a factor number does stand out to me the most and is very different compared to exit polls we were seeing during the Obama years

I'm also kind of surprised that To express opposition number is not higher