Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Matty]

https://mobile.twitter.com/RyanGirdusky/status/1450554733106761735

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Don't look at QU they had McCrath -4,0Harrosoj tied and Biden leads in OH on Final weekend of polling, Obviously, Biden isn't at 38/

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3825

(A-)-rated Quinnipiac University


Adults:
37 (-1)
52 (-1)


RV:
40 (same)
51 (-2)


Favorability, Adults:
Biden 38/50
Trump 39/52

Favorability, RV
Biden 40/50
Trump 41/52

It's happening, isn't it? Kidding. Just not yet.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump won't be Prez in 2024(/ he is losing to Biden in FL

[BigSerg]

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3825

(A-)-rated Quinnipiac University


Adults:
37 (-1)
52 (-1)


RV:
40 (same)
51 (-2)


Favorability, Adults:
Biden 38/50
Trump 39/52

Favorability, RV
Biden 40/50
Trump 41/52

It's happening, isn't it? Kidding. Just not yet.

Hahahaha I'd love to see the guy who always posted spam here with "America loves Uncle Joe"

[Devils30]

We are going to get a good indication in 2 weeks from NJ and VA if the Dems as a party will suffer from his declining approval or if the non-change in the generic ballot even as his approval has fallen considerably is real. None of the pollsters seem to know wtf is happening either so it's best to wait for real numbers.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3825

(A-)-rated Quinnipiac University


Adults:
37 (-1)
52 (-1)


RV:
40 (same)
51 (-2)


Favorability, Adults:
Biden 38/50
Trump 39/52

Favorability, RV
Biden 40/50
Trump 41/52

It's happening, isn't it? Kidding. Just not yet.

Hahahaha I'd love to see the guy who always posted spam here with "America loves Uncle Joe"

Let's all remember that Rs lost the Last two Natl election days you guys lost 40H seats In 2018 and lost the Prez on Donald Trump

[wbrocks67]

Great - another Q-Pac poll to continue with Rasmussen and Trafalgar to drive down the average with outliers.

Also, an indictment of the polling industry that we've gotten 2 Q-pac polls in the matter of time we've gotten 0 polls from many other national outlets.

The only thing I can say is that Donald Trump and Joe Biden do not have the same favorability as each other. That's not even being a hack, it's just not reality.

Not to mention, Biden having a -30 fav with Indies, but Trump being -11? Sure jan.

[wbrocks67]

We are going to get a good indication in 2 weeks from NJ and VA if the Dems as a party will suffer from his declining approval or if the non-change in the generic ballot even as his approval has fallen considerably is real. None of the pollsters seem to know wtf is happening either so it's best to wait for real numbers.

This. An adjusted California exit poll showed Biden's approval was not as bad as national polling was making it seem, so VA and NJ will give a clearer picture.

[Mr.Phips]

https://scri.siena.edu/2021/10/19/in-a-fall-preview-of-junes-primary-democrats-give-hochul-early-double-digit-lead-in-3-potential-candidate-scenarios/

President Joe Biden has a 51-44 percent favorability rating, down from 57-37 percent last month and 63-34 percent in June. His job performance rating is 40-58 percent, down from last month’s 46-52 percent and June’s 52-46 percent.

(A)-rated Siena College Poll was conducted October 10-14, 2021 among 801 New York State registered voters.

NY (Gov Race)

Favs, RV:
51 (-6 since September)
44 (+7)

Approvals, RV:
40 (-6)
58 (+6)

No way Biden is at 40% approval in New York.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Great - another Q-Pac poll to continue with Rasmussen and Trafalgar to drive down the average with outliers.

[snip unskewing]

State polls of gold standard (A)-rated pollsters Selzer and Sienna (and more?) showed similar results.

Biden's Approvals and favs in

Selzer, IA
31/62
37/61 favs

Siena, NY
40/58
51/44 favs

We are going to get a good indication in 2 weeks from NJ and VA if the Dems as a party will suffer from his declining approval or if the non-change in the generic ballot even as his approval has fallen considerably is real. None of the pollsters seem to know wtf is happening either so it's best to wait for real numbers.

This. An adjusted California exit poll showed Biden's approval was not as bad as national polling was making it seem, so VA and NJ will give a clearer picture.

Have you a link to these adjusted California exit polls? If I recall correctly, Harry Enten said that CA results actually in line with Biden's then approvals.

[wbrocks67]

The Siena poll is not really accurately described - they're saying his approval is 40/58 but that's including "fair" in disapprove, which isn't really a fair descriptor. I'm not sure why Siena just doesn't ask approve or disapprove, but they do "excellent, good, fair, poor". It's possible that a good chunk may say "fair" but still "somewhat approve" if that was an option, b/c no way is Biden actually anywhere close to 40/58 in New York of all places.

Meanwhile, RE: the exit poll - the last time they were adjusted it pointed to a Newsom +20 win, so they are at least 4% less D than they should be.

[It’s so Joever]

I’m usually against trying to spin bad polls, but “Fair” is not a good synonym for disapprove and I bet a fair number of people would agree with me.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

I’m usually against trying to spin bad polls, but “Fair” is not a good synonym for disapprove and I bet a fair number of people would agree with me.

Yeah, you're right, but it's the trend that is interesting. In addition, they also published [binary] favorability rating, that usually is very close to binary approvals. Biden's favorability in NY went from +29 in June to +20 in Sep to +7 now. Part of it is noise, obviously, but the trend is clear.

https://scri.siena.edu/2021/10/19/in-a-fall-preview-of-junes-primary-democrats-give-hochul-early-double-digit-lead-in-3-potential-candidate-scenarios/

President Joe Biden has a 51-44 percent favorability rating, down from 57-37 percent last month and 63-34 percent in June. His job performance rating is 40-58 percent, down from last month’s 46-52 percent and June’s 52-46 percent.

(A)-rated Siena College Poll was conducted October 10-14, 2021 among 801 New York State registered voters.

NY (Gov Race)

Favs, RV:
51 (-6 since September)
44 (+7)

Approvals, RV:
40 (-6)
58 (+6)

So my point, that the trends over national polls, over state polls, over recent election (yes, even CA) is, even though noisy, in line with each other and with historical trend (WH vs midterms).

[BG-NY]

I think this is the bottom. It can only get better.

[Matty]

I think this is the bottom. It can only get better.

Obama, Bush, and clinton all had months and numbers lower than biden now. It can absolutely get worse.

It probably will eventually, if he wins a second term.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think this is the bottom. It can only get better.

Obama, Bush, and clinton all had months and numbers lower than biden now. It can absolutely get worse.

It probably will eventually, if he wins a second term.

Lol you are talking about poll numbers 1 yr before an Election again,Rems haven't won woman Election since 2016 and you guys got landslided in H inn2018/ mist 40Seats and Trump didn't win the NPVI

How do you get that Rs are so much favored.
Stop listening to polls a yr before an Election,you keep posting polls, LOL

Most of these except QU and Rassy on unscientific Online polls, I took those You Gov polls

[ElectionsGuy]

I think this is the bottom. It can only get better.

I'm trying to keep track. Is this the 4th time you guys have said this in the last 3 months?

[TheTide]

Of course Biden isn't helped by the fact that the ever-moronic media acted as though Utopia had arrived when Trump lost. Utopia will never arrive under any presidency. Obama had this problem to a somewhat lesser extent.

[wbrocks67]

Of course Biden isn't helped by the fact that the ever-moronic media acted as though Utopia had arrived when Trump lost. Utopia will never arrive under any presidency. Obama had this problem to a somewhat lesser extent.

Yep, the line has been essentially, "Joe Biden, you campaigned on making everything perfect and fixing every single thing. Why isn't that done in 9 months???"

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://www.grinnell.edu/sites/default/files/docs/2021-10/GCNP%20Oct21%20Toplines%20Methodology%20Crosstabs%20v2.pdf


OCT 13-17, 2021

(A+)-rated Selzer & Co.


All Adults
37/50

LV
40/51


Matchup against Trump
Biden 40%
Trump 40%



All Adults:
Covid - 46/44
Economy - 36/53
Immigration 27/58

[wbrocks67]

If anything, it certainly appears that the 1-2 punch of congressional gridlock and the economic situation are hurting Biden. Really can't catch a break, even as COVID subsides again and Afghanistan is fully gone from the news. Makes it even more imperative that Dems pass these bills ASAP, bc I'm sure a good chunk of this is basically "Biden is getting nothing done right now", at least from Dems and/or Indies.

More proof though that Dem-leaning voters are more willing to say they disapprove. This is another poll that has Biden's approval with <35 age voters underwater. Again, this group isn't going to vote Republican, but they certainly are more than willing to voice their displeasure at the same time. These types of things should be noted when talking about approval, which is different than Trump, where his core base of voters always stuck with him no matter what in approval polls.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Oct. 16-19, 1500 adults including 1268 RV


Adults:

Approve 44 (+4)
Disapprove 46 (-4)

Strongly approve 18 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 36 (-2)


RV:

Approve 45 (+3)
Disapprove 48 (-3)

Strongly approve 20 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-2)

GCB (RV only): D 42 (-3), R 37 (nc)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

You Gov is an online pollster we are really taking You Gov polls online seriously

[wbrocks67]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Oct. 16-19, 1500 adults including 1268 RV


Adults:

Approve 44 (+4)
Disapprove 46 (-4)

Strongly approve 18 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 36 (-2)


RV:

Approve 45 (+3)
Disapprove 48 (-3)

Strongly approve 20 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-2)

GCB (RV only): D 42 (-3), R 37 (nc)

insert Oprah so what is the truth GIF lmao.

Funny how the GCB dropped when the approval did a total 180 (though 21% other is just... useless lol)