2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[Roll Roons]

Very little is in but Valadao could be in trouble. If he loses the primary Rs are in real trouble in this district.

He's very lucky there are two Republicans running to his right. He would have been in a much worse position if there was just one.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling NM-LT Gov R for Thornton!
Calling NM-Auditor D for Maestas!
Calling NM-Treasurer D for Montoya!

Uncalled:

CA-AG
CA-Controller
CA-Insurance Commissioner
CA-Superintendent
CA-Treasurer
All Contested CA U.S. House
IA-Auditor R
MT-1 R
MT-2 L
NM-Attorney General D
NJ-5 R
NJ-11 R
MS-2 R
MS-3 R
MS-4 R Slot 2
TX-15 D

[2016]

Very little is in but Valadao could be in trouble. If he loses the primary Rs are in real trouble in this district.

For me as a Republican it's about the End Result which is IMO a Republican House Takeover.

Yes, we could and probably will lose a couple of Seats in CA in November BUT we will make it up elsewhere.

[Matty]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1534378246023827457

[RI]

Caruso up 40.6-38.2

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

MS-2 R will be a RUNOFF between Flowers and Eller!
Calling MS-4 Slot 2 for Ezell!

Uncalled:

CA-AG
CA-Controller
CA-Insurance Commissioner
CA-Superintendent
CA-Treasurer
All Contested CA U.S. House
IA-Auditor R
MT-1 R
MT-2 L
NM-Attorney General D
NJ-5 R
NJ-11 R
MS-3 R
TX-15 D

[Senator Incitatus]

Smith continuing to climb in NJ-3 but I doubt it's enough. Remains a fringe flip possibility with Healey, whereas Smith's nomination probably would have ended that talk.

[LAB-LIB]

Axne's seat was probably Lean R no matter who the nominee was. It's an R district with a not-at-all strong incumbent.

Yeah, Lean R is a totally fair rating but the rationale here is stupid. It's not like they're going to move Malinowski to Lean D just because he won his primary with 95% of the vote.

They probably have wanted to move it for a little while, they're just using this as an excuse.

[Huey Long is a Republican]

What an interesting results showing rn. I wonder what comes in the next Primary night.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Caruso is leading.

[Senator Incitatus]

How I feel about the California results so far depends entirely on whether or not these are early/mail-in votes. Usually California counts them last, meaning a bump for Democrats. A bump for Democrats from the current baseline would mean that state is still trending away from Republicans (and the rest of the country).

The opposite (election day votes outstanding leading to a Republican bump) would mean a number of seats could be surprisingly competitive in the fall, though the state as a whole remains safely Democratic.

[RI]

How I feel about the California results so far depends entirely on whether or not these are early/mail-in votes. Usually California counts them last, meaning a bump for Democrats. A bump for Democrats from the current baseline would mean that state is still trending away from Republicans (and the rest of the country).

The opposite (election day votes outstanding leading to a Republican bump) would mean a number of seats could be surprisingly competitive in the fall, though the state as a whole remains safely Democratic.

These are likely mail votes. Election Day votes get counted next and then late mail votes.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling NM-Attorney General D for Torrez!
Calling IA-Auditor R for Halbur!
Calling NJ-5 R for Pallotta!

Uncalled:

CA-AG
CA-Controller
CA-Insurance Commissioner
CA-Superintendent
CA-Treasurer
All Contested CA U.S. House
MT-1 R
MT-2 L
NJ-11 R
MS-3 R
TX-15 D

[Greedo punched first]

Will Tony Thurmond get a majority and avoid a runoff for Superintendent of Public Instruction?

[2016]

Barring Major Disaster Young Kim has this. She is leading the San Bernadino Absentees + is running 2nd in the Riverside Absentees.

[Huey Long is a Republican]

Barring Major Disaster Young Kim has this. She is leading the San Bernadino Absentees + is running 2nd in the Riverside Absentees.

Real quick, who did you back for CA-03 and CA-13? I was behind Kiley and Giglio respectfully.

[Holmes]

Barring Major Disaster Young Kim has this. She is leading the San Bernadino Absentees + is running 2nd in the Riverside Absentees.

I would love another round of "Kim wins!" headlines only for her to end up losing yet again.

[Greedo punched first]

Isn't it unlikely Greg Raths beats Young Kim in the primary?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Michael Cassidy: 21,312 (47.8%)
Michael Guest*: 20,784 (46.6%)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Will Tony Thurmond get a majority and avoid a runoff for Superintendent of Public Instruction?

If he gets above 50% he fights the second top vote getter in November.

[Roll Roons]

Yeah, he should make it: https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1534387024345632769

[Greedo punched first]

Will Tony Thurmond get a majority and avoid a runoff for Superintendent of Public Instruction?

If he gets above 50% he fights the second top vote getter in November.

No, he doesn't. Superintendent of Public Instruction is a nonpartisan office. The primary rules are different. Jack O'Connell avoided a runoff in 2006 by getting a majority.

[2016]

Barring Major Disaster Young Kim has this. She is leading the San Bernadino Absentees + is running 2nd in the Riverside Absentees.

Real quick, who did you back for CA-03 and CA-13? I was behind Kiley and Giglio respectfully.

I am going to back Candidates who can win in November. Last thing Republicans need are Candidates who are going to blow our House Majority.

[Holmes]

Barring Major Disaster Young Kim has this. She is leading the San Bernadino Absentees + is running 2nd in the Riverside Absentees.

Real quick, who did you back for CA-03 and CA-13? I was behind Kiley and Giglio respectfully.

I am going to back Candidates who can win in November. Last thing Republicans need are Candidates who are going to blow our House Majority.

They'll win the House regardless of whether voters choose horrible Republican A or horrible Republican B.

[2016]

Barring Major Disaster Young Kim has this. She is leading the San Bernadino Absentees + is running 2nd in the Riverside Absentees.

Real quick, who did you back for CA-03 and CA-13? I was behind Kiley and Giglio respectfully.

I am going to back Candidates who can win in November. Last thing Republicans need are Candidates who are going to blow our House Majority.

They'll win the House regardless of whether voters choose horrible Republican A or horrible Republican B.

Easy for you to say. Candidate Quality matters even in Congressional Districts.