2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[Senator Incitatus]

Absolutely no surprises in NJ. Chris Smith having a relatively close primary is the closest.

Lol at Donald Payne breaking 80% against his Extremely Online challenger, though.

Healey-Smith being absolutely not close so far is surprising to me. That race got an extreme amount of attention, probably because of the candidates' personalities.

[Roll Roons]

Guest is inching up with 13.8% counted. He could certainly pull this out without a runoff.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Cassidy: 4,082 (47.9%)
Guest: 3,635 (42.6%)
15.3% IN

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Finkenauer is currently being crushed by Franken.

[Benjamin Frank]

Michael Franken   19,786   57.35%
Abby Finkenauer   12,760   36.98%
Glenn Hurst   1,957   5.67%
* = Incumbent
34,503 votes.Estimated 23% in.
DDHQ
Updated 6/7/2022, 6:26:55 PM

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Cassidy: 4,395 (47.6%)
Guest: 3,978 (43.1%)
16.6% IN

[Benjamin Frank]

Likely runoff
Steven Palazzo *   3,270   35.53%
Mike Ezell   2,262   24.58%
Clay Wagner   2,197   23.87%
Carl Boyanton   590   6.41%
Brice Wiggins   532   5.78%
SHOW MORE CANDIDATES
* = Incumbent
9,204 votes.Estimated 18% in.
DDHQ
Updated 6/7/2022, 6:29:01 PM

[Greedo punched first]

If Palazzo goes to a runoff, he probably loses in the second round.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Cassidy: 5,717 (47.9%)
Guest: 5,162 (43.2%)
21.5% IN

[Ferguson97]

My guess is DeGregorio wins the NJ-05 GOP primary, he seemed more "authentic" during the debate with Pallotta.

[OneJ]

Guest being up in Madison County by only 53-44. Not great. Still waiting to see how Rankin turns out.

[LAB-LIB]

None of Rankin is in yet, and it is expected to be possibly close to a majority of the remaining votes.

[Matty]

lol iowa already being called for Franken


Remember when Abby was regarded as the next big thing

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Cassidy: 8,237 (48.2%)
Guest: 7,515 (44.0%)
30.4% IN

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Cassidy: 12,665 (49.2%)
Guest*: 11,485 (44.6%)
45.9% IN

Runoff at least.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Hey, just getting online to start watching these. I will catch up on calls beginning with NJ.

[MT Treasurer]

It feels really, really weird scrolling around on the Montana NY Times map given that there’s two districts now. With this and my new haircut (which I got two weeks ago — just for the occasion, of course!), I’m officially a neoliberal, elitist, corporate, out-of-touch sellout.

Anyway, the high-profile contests to watch are obviously MT-1 (R), MT-1 (D), but also - if you’re particularly interested in MT politics - the two Supreme Court races. Two of nine seats are up for grabs this year (with each Judge elected to an eight-year term). It’s no secret that Republicans have seen the Court as the last "liberal holdout" and the biggest obstacle to their agenda in the state (after decades of Democratic rule or split government), especially since the conservative takeover of the MTGOP by Daines, Gianforte, and Knudsen. This is also why the GOP has been more active in promoting candidates whose judicial philosophy they view as more in line with their approach, esp. in the race for seat #2, where Just. Ingrid Gustafson (generally regarded as reliably liberal and supported by Democratic groups) is up for reelection this year. Just. Jim Rice is favored for seat #1 — Republicans wouldn’t consider him reliable by any stretch of the imagination (nor should they), but they’d still prefer him to the alternative, and he’s generally regarded as one of the more conservative members of the Court.

Turnout has been comparatively low so far in a state which usually has one of the highest turnout rates in the West and the nation. However, it’s hard not to attribute some of that to the utter irrelevance of the MT-2 (D) contest and the non-competitiveness of the MT-2 (R) race.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling NJ-1 D for Norcross!
Calling NJ-1 R for Gustafson!
Calling NJ-2 D for Alexander!
Calling NJ-2 R for Van Drew!
Calling NJ-3 D for Kim!
Calling NJ-3 R for Healey!
Calling NJ-4 R for Smith!
Calling NJ-6 R for Kiley!
Calling NJ-7 D for Malinowski!
Calling NJ-7 R for Kean, Jr!
Calling NJ-8 D for Menendez!
Calling NJ-10 D for Payne!
Calling NJ-10 R for Pickeney!


Uncalled:
NJ-5 R
NJ-11 R
MS
NM
SD
MT
IA
TX-15 D

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling MS-1 D for Black!
Calling MS-1 R for Kelly!
Calling MS-2 D for Thompson!
Calling MS-4 D for DuPree!

Uncalled:

NJ-5 R
NJ-11 R
MS-2 R
MS-3 R
MS-4 R
NM
SD
MT
IA
TX-15 D

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling NM-Gov R for Ronchetti!
Calling NM-1 R for Holmes!
Calling NM-2 D for Vazquez!


Uncalled:

NM-Attorney General D
NM-LT Gov. R
NM-Auditor D
NM-Treasurer D
NJ-5 R
NJ-11 R
MS-2 R
MS-3 R
MS-4 R
SD
MT
IA
TX-15 D

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Cassidy: 14,656 (48.5%)
Guest*: 13,686 (45.3%)
53.0% IN

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling SD-GOV R for Noem!
Calling SD-SEN R for Thune!
Calling SD-AL R for Johnson!

Uncalled:

NM-Attorney General D
NM-LT Gov. R
NM-Auditor D
NM-Treasurer D
NJ-5 R
NJ-11 R
MS-2 R
MS-3 R
MS-4 R
MT
IA
TX-15 D

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling MT-1 D for Tranel!
Calling MT-2 D for Ronning!
Calling MT-2 R for Rosendale!

Uncalled:

MT-1 R
MT-2 L
NM-Attorney General D
NM-LT Gov. R
NM-Auditor D
NM-Treasurer D
NJ-5 R
NJ-11 R
MS-2 R
MS-3 R
MS-4 R
IA
TX-15 D

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1534357772703252480?t=_N-dyITeGTnH8mJcaJa2...

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling IA-SEN R for Grassley!
Calling IA-SEN D for Franken!
Calling IA-SOS D for Miller!
Calling IA-3 R for Nunn!

Uncalled:

IA-Auditor R
MT-1 R
MT-2 L
NM-Attorney General D
NM-LT Gov. R
NM-Auditor D
NM-Treasurer D
NJ-5 R
NJ-11 R
MS-2 R
MS-3 R
MS-4 R
TX-15 D

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Catch-up is over