2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

538's preview of tomorrow's Republican primaries and the MN-01 special election: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/3-republican-primaries-and-a-special-election-to-watch-in-minnesota-and-wisconsin/.  The Democratic primary preview will be published tomorrow.

Is there even anything worth saying about the Democratic primaries?

Ilhan Omar has a somewhat serious primary challenger, and Betty McCollum is being challenged by a Squad type although very unlikely to succeed. Other than that and some State Legislative ones no unless you count Hennepin County Attorney as a de facto Democratic primary.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Today's Democratic primary preview from 538: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-progressive-candidates-in-minnesota-vermont-and-wisconsin-win-their-primaries/

[wbrocks67]

1.86M votes counted in WA, about 40K left to go.

Senate:
Murray 52.6%, Smiley 33.5%

Overall:
Dems 55.7%
Reps 41.1%

Dems also keep edge in WA-08, 49.6% to 49.1%, which is a bump from 2020 when Rs led the primary vote by 1.7%.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I was voter 48 in my precinct just now fwiw. I'm in MN-2 so nothing interesting really. I voted on the GOP side to help make sure Ellison goes down in November (i.e: voted Schultz so Wardlow can't blow a 7 point edge again). I had fun with the governor primary by voting for Captain Jack Sparrow (yep, a real candidate lmao); I'll be for Walz in November unless Sparrow is somehow nominated. I found neither of the SOS candidates even minimally acceptable, so I left that question blank, I'll be voting for the D Incumbent Steve Simon in November.

[GALeftist]

The more of Washington is counted, the funnier the cope becomes. In the past two days alone I have seen purportedly nonpartisan analysts:

- Use 2022 congressional even though WA-03 and WA-04 had lots more crossover than usual thanks to JHB/Newhouse when 2022 senate is sitting right there
- Compare 2022 primary to 2020 general for no reason
- Allege that Dems narrowly leading the primary in WA-08 means Schrier is doomed in the general when the opposite is likely true

When did we all become unpaid spin doctors for the DNC/RNC? The numbers are bad for Republicans, folks. It's ok to admit it.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

https://twitter.com/chrisgraffvt/status/1556776572979494916

How much paste do you have to eat to think this is a good line of attack?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Hopefully Gray gets obliterated.  She sounds like the next Gottheimer.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

for tonight: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/08/09/us/elections/results-wisconsin-connecticut-vermont-minnesota.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-elections-2022&region=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc

For MN, while this can't be enforced, I'd recommend keeping the Special Election Discussion on the Specials thread, and that's where my projection for that race will be.

First polls close at 7 ET

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling VT-SEN D for Welch!
Calling VT-GOV R for Scott!

Uncalled - tonight's races:

VT-SEN R
VT-AL D
VT-AL R
VT-LT GOV D
VT-LT GOV R
VT-AG D
VT-SOS D

[GeorgiaModerate]

538's live blog for tonight: https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/wisconsin-minnesota-election/

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling VT-LT GOV R for Benning!

Uncalled:

VT-SEN R
VT-AL D
VT-AL R
VT-LT GOV D
VT-AG D
VT-SOS D

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

BTW, the NYT % reporting for counties in VT is inaccurate because it's not recongizing towns correctly. The VT-AL page has a full town map that gives a better picture.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling VT-AG D for Clark!

Uncalled:

VT-SEN R
VT-AL D
VT-AL R
VT-LT GOV D
VT-SOS D

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WA-2 Slot 2 - Matthews
WA-SOS Slot 2 - Anderson


Uncalled:

VT-SEN R
VT-AL D
VT-AL R
VT-LT GOV D
VT-SOS D
KS-Treasurer R

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling VT-AL D for Balint!

Uncalled:

VT-SEN R
VT-AL R
VT-LT GOV D
VT-SOS D
KS-Treasurer R

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Woo for Ballint!!

Also if Nolan looses it’ll firmly plant the Republican Party as the party of homophobia

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Woo for Ballint!!

Also if Nolan looses it’ll firmly plant the Republican Party as the party of homophobia

It has already been firmly planted for quite a while.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1557155678204174339

Wow, I thought Gray would win for sure.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Woo for Ballint!!

Also if Nolan looses it’ll firmly plant the Republican Party as the party of homophobia

It has already been firmly planted for quite a while.

It’ll be another nail in the coffin. Nolan has so much institutional support and is main stream conservatives compared to her totally unknown opponent. The only reason would be homophobia

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Also NYT updated their graphs to all be towns now

[Minnesota Mike]

Before the polls close in MN I will make my longshot prediction of the night, MN-05(D) will be within single digits.  Turnout is reportedly way down in Minneapolis but the areas that are the best are where the "defund the police"  referendum did the worst last year.  Omar supported the referendum, her main challenger Samuels was a leader of the opposition.  Omar still wins but it's close.

[GALeftist]

Klarides currently getting thrashed. CT-SEN was always gonna be a heavy lift with Blumenthal but if they dominate Levy it's definitely safe D

[Senator Incitatus]

Vermont Republican primary:

[Nyvin]

Really sucks that Welch had to run,  Balint probably would've had a real good chance to be Senator.

[Senator Incitatus]

The Vermont Senate Republican primary between two boring candidates is far less interesting than the House one, where the current leading candidate is Liam Madden, an ex-Marine who led Iraq Veterans Against the War and cites Howard Zinn, Noam Chomsky, and Oliver Stone as inspirations on his campaign page.

edit: He also cites getting banned from social media for COVID skepticism and experiences on ayahuasca.

https://rebirthdemocracy.com/liams-story-1