Kentucky 2023 gubernatorial election megathread

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1720431537944993966

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

I have no idea what to think about this race anymore. I wouldn’t be surprised by either side winning by >5.

[BigSkyBob]

If Bashear loses, blame will rest firmly on the squad and their more nuanced view on HAMAS.

[Holmes]

If Bashear loses, blame will rest firmly on the squad and their more nuanced view on HAMAS.

Well is the Israel/Gaza war a pressing issue in Kentucky

[Birdish]

We've had so little polling here that that one Emerson poll has made headlines on multiple websites. I don't like Emerson as a pollster so that's painful for me. 

[Arizona Iced Tea]

If Bashear loses, blame will rest firmly on the squad and their more nuanced view on HAMAS.

Well is the Israel/Gaza war a pressing issue in Kentucky

Lol no

[Хahar 🤔]

If Bashear loses, blame will rest firmly on the squad and their more nuanced view on HAMAS.

My election night guide for surviving election night.

If you are Democrat, remove all shape knifes, guns, and razor blades. Make sure your
Prozac prescription is not empty.

If you are a Republican, call a cab after your victory party!

lol

[MT Treasurer]

The KY posters may be able to confirm this, but my impression is that this race is slipping away from Beshear at the last minute.

Cameron has been far more on message in recent days, relentlessly nationalizing the race and painting Beshear as a national Democrat on two of the most unpopular political stances in the state: his support for Joe Biden and his support for draconian COVID lockdowns.

Previously, Beshear had managed to put Cameron on the defensive on abortion, his ties to Bevin, etc. while Cameron's own attacks were comparatively weak (e.g. on trans rights), but that seems to have changed, and it’s not good for Beshear.

Might turn into another example of "incumbent wishing the election had been held one week earlier."

[Tekken_Guy]

The KY posters may be able to confirm this, but my impression is that this race is slipping away from Beshear at the last minute.

Cameron has been far more on message in recent days, relentlessly nationalizing the race and painting Beshear as a national Democrat on two of the most unpopular political stances in the state: his support for Joe Biden and his support for draconian COVID lockdowns.

Previously, Beshear had managed to put Cameron on the defensive on abortion, his ties to Bevin, etc. while Cameron's own attacks were comparatively weak (e.g. on trans rights), but that seems to have changed, and it’s not good for Beshear.

Might turn into another example of "incumbent wishing the election had been held one week earlier."

I doubt Cameron is able to turn the race around in one week though.

[Roll Roons]

The KY posters may be able to confirm this, but my impression is that this race is slipping away from Beshear at the last minute.

Cameron has been far more on message in recent days, relentlessly nationalizing the race and painting Beshear as a national Democrat on two of the most unpopular political stances in the state: his support for Joe Biden and his support for draconian COVID lockdowns.

Previously, Beshear had managed to put Cameron on the defensive on abortion, his ties to Bevin, etc. while Cameron's own attacks were comparatively weak (e.g. on trans rights), but that seems to have changed, and it’s not good for Beshear.

Might turn into another example of "incumbent wishing the election had been held one week earlier."

Or it could be that Cameron would have been able to win if the election was held a week later, but whatever momentum he might have now still isn't enough.

[wbrocks67]

The KY posters may be able to confirm this, but my impression is that this race is slipping away from Beshear at the last minute.

Cameron has been far more on message in recent days, relentlessly nationalizing the race and painting Beshear as a national Democrat on two of the most unpopular political stances in the state: his support for Joe Biden and his support for draconian COVID lockdowns.

Previously, Beshear had managed to put Cameron on the defensive on abortion, his ties to Bevin, etc. while Cameron's own attacks were comparatively weak (e.g. on trans rights), but that seems to have changed, and it’s not good for Beshear.

Might turn into another example of "incumbent wishing the election had been held one week earlier."

This seems like real copium. I only have an outsider perspective, but literally nothing about this race has seemed to change in the last month. Democrats have been outspending Republicans, Camerons attacks have been weak week after week - why would his attacks - the same "BESHEAR = TRANS BATHROOMS!!" work now when it hasn't been working this entire campaign? Same with COVID stuff. That is over and done with, there's no reason why it would suddenly click now when it didn't a month ago.

Like, literally nothing Cameron is/has been doing is any different than what he's been doing the entire campaign. It's amazing what Emerson (of all places) poll will do to some peoples brains.

[MT Treasurer]

I doubt Cameron is able to turn the race around in one week though.

That’s the question, but I wonder just how soft a lot of the support for Beshear is.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/davecatanese/status/1720492918950006969?t=0FXKNDucgBRta-osuh...

[Tekken_Guy]

I doubt Cameron is able to turn the race around in one week though.

That’s the question, but I wonder just how soft a lot of the support for Beshear is.

A lot of it could be undecideds just coming home, rather than actual Beshear support shifting to Cameron.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

The KY posters may be able to confirm this, but my impression is that this race is slipping away from Beshear at the last minute.

Cameron has been far more on message in recent days, relentlessly nationalizing the race and painting Beshear as a national Democrat on two of the most unpopular political stances in the state: his support for Joe Biden and his support for draconian COVID lockdowns.

Previously, Beshear had managed to put Cameron on the defensive on abortion, his ties to Bevin, etc. while Cameron's own attacks were comparatively weak (e.g. on trans rights), but that seems to have changed, and it’s not good for Beshear.

Might turn into another example of "incumbent wishing the election had been held one week earlier."

Inb4 someone says "MUH WHITMER" "MUH GRISHAM"

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/davecatanese/status/1720492918950006969?t=0FXKNDucgBRta-osuh...

Wondering if RGA will leak a poll. They've been pretty quiet; just releasing that Beshear +2 poll weeks ago.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

The KY posters may be able to confirm this, but my impression is that this race is slipping away from Beshear at the last minute.

Cameron has been far more on message in recent days, relentlessly nationalizing the race and painting Beshear as a national Democrat on two of the most unpopular political stances in the state: his support for Joe Biden and his support for draconian COVID lockdowns.

Previously, Beshear had managed to put Cameron on the defensive on abortion, his ties to Bevin, etc. while Cameron's own attacks were comparatively weak (e.g. on trans rights), but that seems to have changed, and it’s not good for Beshear.

Might turn into another example of "incumbent wishing the election had been held one week earlier."

Inb4 someone says "MUH WHITMER" "MUH GRISHAM"

It still, even years later, baffles me just how reckless and nonchalant republicans demanded the government be during covid.

[Birdish]

Its interesting how one Emerson poll has changed the vibes of this race, ar least on the forum.

[Tekken_Guy]

Its interesting how one Emerson poll has changed the vibes of this race, ar least on the forum.

It hasn’t really. Most people still expect Beshear to win.

[Birdish]

Its interesting how one Emerson poll has changed the vibes of this race, ar least on the forum.

It hasn’t really. Most people still expect Beshear to win.

It seems to me that both here and on other websites, we are now discussing Cameron having momentum.

[Tekken_Guy]

Its interesting how one Emerson poll has changed the vibes of this race, ar least on the forum.

It hasn’t really. Most people still expect Beshear to win.

It seems to me that both here and on other websites, we are now discussing Cameron having momentum.

I think most expect the race will be close. Few expect it to actually go Cameron’s way.

[SnowLabrador]

If Cameron wins, how much momentum do you think that gives the GOP heading into 2024?

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Its interesting how one Emerson poll has changed the vibes of this race, ar least on the forum.

Emerson is the only non partisan or PAC pollster so it's all wr have.

[Progressive Pessimist]

If Cameron wins, how much momentum do you think that gives the GOP heading into 2024?

Apparently more than if Beshear wins for Democrats.

It's pretty rich, isn't it? How Republucans doing well in next week's elections signal doom for the Democratic Party, but if Democrats have a good night next week...well, it doesn't mean anything, because the Trump voters will make up for that when he's on the ballot, or whatever.

[Holmes]

Its interesting how one Emerson poll has changed the vibes of this race, ar least on the forum.

Same thing happened to the forum after one tweet with a news clip of a woman in Mississippi saying she's flipping to Presley. This site is too reactionary.