Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I mean, just take a look at "able to get things done." it's 38/61, despite the fact that objectively speaking, he HAS gotten a lot of stuff done. So there is more to these numbers clearly.

It's the War and Ukraine and Russia haven't left yet and it's causing Deficit ditch that's what's wrong

[MR DARK BRANDON]

I mean, just take a look at "able to get things done." it's 38/61, despite the fact that objectively speaking, he HAS gotten a lot of stuff done. So there is more to these numbers clearly.

Ppl are so cartoonishly uniformed on Biden’s presidency is ridiculous.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I mean, just take a look at "able to get things done." it's 38/61, despite the fact that objectively speaking, he HAS gotten a lot of stuff done. So there is more to these numbers clearly.

Ppl are so cartoonishly uniformed on Biden’s presidency is ridiculous.

Redban comes on here and quotes Biden Approvals, Trump Approvals are 31 percent, it doesn't matter until we get into the Voting booth, the 303 states voted for Hillary but Gary Johnson spoiled it you never know what Joe Manchin a 3rd party candidacy will bring, but its very hard to see Biden losing WI, PA and MI because this isnt 2016 Rs had R Govs Walker, Synder and had R state legislatures, PA and MI state legislatures flipped in 22

As I Said all we need it 303 5 seats in the H CA-27, CO-3, NY 17, Santos seat,NJ -7 and MT and OH S to secure the Filibuster proof Trifecta we aren't winning 415 EC votes anyways

Thats in line with a 51/47 Obama PVI that he gotten in 2012 Gary Johnson ran in that EDay too and did very well in NM

The reason why its a blue wall map Biden has 50 percent Approvals in CA but in TX and FL they are 28, the border wall has been sold to Greg Abbott during Trump Prez he will campaign with Trump thats why Beto lost by 11

Biden has a 28 in TX, Trump is at 28 in IL and CA

The issue is WI, PA and MI Biden polls aren't exactly at 50 thats why they are swing states and 3 rd Party can give it Trump but we have D inc running in those states Baldwin, Slotkin and Casey are the Favs

[It’s so Joever]

I mean, just take a look at "able to get things done." it's 38/61, despite the fact that objectively speaking, he HAS gotten a lot of stuff done. So there is more to these numbers clearly.

Ppl are so cartoonishly uniformed on Biden’s presidency is ridiculous.

And these are the ppl who will decide the future of America!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Its not over either way Redban thinks its a Popular vote contests quoting Trump 6 and its an EC College Eday and POS has Biden ahead, its not over either way because Manchin is more likely to run No Party than lose by 30 to Justice, but Biden with 4 percent unemployment is still the fav until we vote, we won WI, PA in Apr and May and last yr in 22

i like No Party ideas it reminds me of RFK Jr Ds don't have a real primary, but Manchin is too right wing and Lieberman to win the Prez, if RFK ran it would be totally different maybe he might run in 28 for No Party I would support RFK in a No Party Label bid not Manchin

[Sir Mohamed]

I mean, just take a look at "able to get things done." it's 38/61, despite the fact that objectively speaking, he HAS gotten a lot of stuff done. So there is more to these numbers clearly.

My explanation is that Biden isn't present in the public enough. And when he is, the media takes pleasure in showing his gaffes. As a result, there's a general perception that he's old and tired and no longer up to the job.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I mean, just take a look at "able to get things done." it's 38/61, despite the fact that objectively speaking, he HAS gotten a lot of stuff done. So there is more to these numbers clearly.

My explanation is that Biden isn't present in the public enough. And when he is, the media takes pleasure in showing his gaffes. As a result, there's a general perception that he's old and tired and no longer up to the job.

its not that he isn't in public enough what is the next step outside of the Stimulus and infrastruction and jobs Act to get rents and inflation down and there is an infinate war in Ukraine, but Rs control the H and they aren't interested in more programs

We need more Section 8 vouchers because migrants Asians, Arabs and Latinos especially in CA are on Section 8 there aren't any Section 8 vouchers in any major city

Rs think they can keep taxes low on the wealthy they cant we need more stimulus programs not just stimulus checks and states are still handed out stimulus just not rental assistance anymore

[wbrocks67]

Marist out with 47/49 among RV lol - that's why we might as well just keep following the average at this point.

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_202306160834.pdf

[wbrocks67]

Data for Progress: Biden 42% favorable / 56% unfavorable (-14%)
McLaughlin: Biden 41% job approval / 56% disapproval (-15%)

Given both's GOP bent (especially the latter, the former moreso last year), adjusted would probably be closer to 45% in both.

Either way, Pew is also out today with their own poll that has approval at 35/62, which is an extreme outlier. YouGov/Economist meanwhile at 47/50, similar to Marist.

This again is of course why we always look at averages, but honestly we've seen the wildest divergence since the election in November so I think approval (and general 2024 polling) right now is just going to be a mess.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not even time to vote yet the future Eday is in LA, KY and MS G and it's the same 393 map as in 22 8 MNTHS ago when they had Biden at 41

It's Ukraine War fatigue because Gas prices aren't 3 they are 5 they aren't 6.50, just like it was War fatigue in 22 due to inflate gas prices

[wbrocks67]

Yahoo/YouGov: 44/53

https://www.scribd.com/document/654559950/20230620-Trumppol-Tabs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 303 map

[Ferguson97]

NBC has Biden at 43% approval/53% disapproval

Interestingly enough, the "right track/wrong track" question was 20/74... which means there's about 23% of the population who thinks that the country is on the wrong track, but still approve of Biden.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

NBC has Biden at 43% approval/53% disapproval

Interestingly enough, the "right track/wrong track" question was 20/74... which means there's about 23% of the population who thinks that the country is on the wrong track, but still approve of Biden.

A lot of those are ppl who think the country is going down the wrong track due to factors such as the overturning of Roe, the rise of right wing populism, division etc. that group is likely to approve of Biden himself. I for one love Biden yet still think society is on the wrong path.

[wbrocks67]

NBC has Biden at 43% approval/53% disapproval

Interestingly enough, the "right track/wrong track" question was 20/74... which means there's about 23% of the population who thinks that the country is on the wrong track, but still approve of Biden.

This is why you shouldn't use that question as a proxy for anything, because there's definitely a big enough group of people who are saying 'wrong track' because of how badly Republicans are handling everything.

[wbrocks67]

Gallup - 43/54 (was 39/57 in May)

https://twitter.com/iapolls2022/status/1673402981658533915?s=46&t=nqSV11RbCF5uPVGwzcOMtg

[Ferguson97]

NBC has Biden at 43% approval/53% disapproval

Interestingly enough, the "right track/wrong track" question was 20/74... which means there's about 23% of the population who thinks that the country is on the wrong track, but still approve of Biden.

This is why you shouldn't use that question as a proxy for anything, because there's definitely a big enough group of people who are saying 'wrong track' because of how badly Republicans are handling everything.

That’s sorta my point. I think approval is more useful than right track/wrong track.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These Big Village and especially You Gov surveys get the state by state numbers they ask for you zip code that's why Biden is leading 52)42 v Trump and Brown 40/38 on Dolan

They don't ask directly on the survey but they ask indirectly on you zip code if you want a stimulus check that's your stimulus, 330 Swagbucks is 3.30right there until they pass reparations and they will Kruger, Childs, DC statehood are gonna pass with Voting Rights with Gallego not Sinema in S which should of been passed last yr when Barnes and Ryan should of won they lost by 5

I said Biden isn't losing WI, MI or PA unless a Marist poll comes out and MQK just polled WI Rs are underpoll as usual without Ron Johnson on the ballot and Mike DeWine in OH that's why Brown is ahead 2012

[Torie]

Survey Center:

43% approval / 57% disapproval (-14%)

38% strongly disapprove / 12% strongly approve

https://www.americansurveycenter.org/research/the-2024-presidential-election-evolving-political-coalitions-and-familiar-partisan-divisions/

The 38% strongly disapprove percentage is about the same as the MAGA percentage. The dots connect.

[pbrower2a]

I expect the Biden campaign to accentuate the positives of an administration with legitimate achievements and to come up with some clever negative ads about the opponent.

I expect a style that looks more like Reagan in 1984. Granted, President Biden is not Ronald Reagan, but there could hardly be a better model. 

[pbrower2a]

I expect the Biden campaign to accentuate the positives of an administration with legitimate achievements and to come up with some clever negative ads about the opponent.

I expect a style that looks more like Reagan in 1984. Granted, President Biden is not Ronald Reagan, but there could hardly be a better model.  

A blue wave isn't 60% it's 52/46 and we won WI , PA and FL in April and May 52/48 case closed Approvals don't matter, we outnumbered Rs 65/60M in every Edays since 2006 because 65M are impoverished that's 50/47 Romney and McCain and Trump got 47%

Because Trump is at 31/65% Approvals

Reagan 1984 was a freakish situation in which the Reagan coalition had both the old-style "Rockefeller Republicans" and the ill-educated, often racist, Southern agrarian types in a Big tent. Such people are cultural and ideological antitheses, and a coalition that consists of antitheses having interests opposite each other inevitably breaks. The Obama coalition took over most of the "Rockefeller Republicans" who  despise the superstition, bigotry, and amenability to demagoguery that has marked Southern white agrarians since the time of William Jennings Bryan.

Union members broke with the Southern agrarian types long ago on racism, which may explain why Ike did so well in the North and West. Ike never challenged New Deal reforms that gave unionized workers a stake in the economic system. That includes lots of white "ethnics" recently hostile to a WASP-dominated GOP whose economic potential improved greatly after WWII due in part to the GI Bill. Ike did extremely well among college-educated people, which may in part reflect that in the 1950's, white "ethnics" were starting to get college degrees, and that in general a college education was a marker of class privilege just for having the financial means for attending college when college was largely a WASP preserve. 

The New Deal coalition was one between blue-collar, non-WASP industrial workers and southern (often racist) agrarian types who met only during Democratic conventions. In the 1960's that coalition broke. Such people shared a disdain for Corporate America, but by the 1960's they came to blows on "race". Northern industrial workers started to show solidarity with Southern blacks as the reality of Jim Crow practice was made clear.

The Obama coalition looks much like the Eisenhower coalition on the electoral map except for farm-and-ranch country and Mormons. In 2012 Obama won 332 electoral votes; except for Hawaii and the District of Columbia which were not voting in the 1950's, Obama (D) did not win any state or district that Ike (R) did not win... twice. In 2008 inverted the usual connection between partisanship and income, doing better as SES (social-economic status, including income, vocational attainment, and the level of formal education) increased as was the norm for Republicans until then. Look at the Obama coalition and you see plenty of people who would have voted for Ike in the 1950s. It's telling that Rachel Maddow, supposedly on the decided Left on everything but law and order and totalitarian Leftist regimes, calls herself an "Eisenhower Republican"... and that most Democratic voters think well of Ike. Obama's coalition also has fast-growing numbers of Model Minorities who do well in economics and education, disdain violent crime, and are starting to own lots of small business who have no use for crony capitalism.

The Trump coalition is now farm-and-ranch interests, crony capitalists, Protestant fundamentalists, and (to put it bluntly) bigots. I look at MAGA and I see authoritarian politics that took over what used to be the Bryan coalition that in Bryan's time was patriotic and kept bigotry sotto voce if it held bigotry. Trump endorses authoritarian regimes hostile to liberal democracy and shows contempt for formal learning. He has cultivated the abyss of mass ignorance among certain demographics and an attitude that everyone is out for himself and his immediate family and perhaps the bosses and shareholders who determine whether people like them have jobs, tearing off a scab that was best left alone.                   

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Brown is leading Dolan in swing state OH and all the Rs keep saying that since Ryan Lost OH is Safe R no it's not Rs won last time because of IAN, DeSantis is failing because there is no IAN

It's VBM anyways since 20 Ds have overpolled VBM Rs haven't won a single VBM Eday as I said we outvoted Rs 65/60M anyways because 65M are impoverished

FL isn't safe R Scott has a net Disapprove rating like Cruz they haven't even polled FLORIDA and Deegan won

I already know Ds are gonna win there is no IAN Johnson and Vance had 40 percent Approvals were losing before IAN and Johnson win by a 1 pt after IAN Barnes has nothing to be ashamed about Trump is down 10

Biden being impeached even Lindsey Grahams said it will boost his Approvals Redban posting Biden low Approvals is TIRESOME ALREADY

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

40% approval / 55% disapproval

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/kpnwbn3sup/econTabReport.pdf

Lol Biden is up by 10 in WII and 5 in PA due to Trump Approvals not just Biden

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Blue avatars still underestimated Biden they lost to him as Veep 2008/12, and 20/22/23

It's Trump too he raised 35M but Biden is raising that much and more from Union dues that we pay out of our checks

303 map anyways as I keep saying wave insurance is at the end but Brown is leading Dolan because DeWine isn't on the ballot

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Alot of the low Biden Approvals are due to Inflation but Ds lead on the GCB 46/44;like last time except there is no IAN and Rs underperforming in WI, NV and OH without Laxalt, , John'son and DeWine

A blue wave as I said isn't 60/40 but Obama got 52/46 with Biden 2008/12 won OH, FL and AZ and GA are gone already and we already won FL, WI and PA 52/48 which there can be a 52/46 result Romney and MxVain and Trump got 47

Pbower said with 4 Percentage pts unemployment add 7 to Biden Approvals you couldn't do that for Trump we had 9 percentage pts unemployment not 4

Laxalt overpolled in 2018 for Gov and he still lost in 22


There is no way Biden wins NV 45/42 but 51/49 like 2020 he will

NV is always close Trump Casino in IN and Vegas and he has playboy in Los Angeles

But NV isn't R like 2004 is solid D