Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[LostInOhio]

Pew:

His net favorability now is  9% less than it was on July 2022

60% unfavorable?! Yikes. That is getting close to Bush 08 territory.

(And yes I know Trump’s are roughly the same - which is still very worrying seeing as how he is under indictment for multiple felonies)

[Sir Mohamed]

Just out of curiosity, I wonder where Biden's approvals would be today if back in April he announced not to seek reelection? I assume higher, though lower than immediately after the announcement.

[LostInOhio]

Just out of curiosity, I wonder where Biden's approvals would be today if back in April he announced not to seek reelection? I assume higher, though lower than immediately after the announcement.

I used to disagree with the idea of Biden not running again due to his age, but now I'm starting to wonder whether that wouldn't have been better for the party overall. I understand the incumbency brings a great advantage but I don't know how useful it is now given the fact that Biden is so wildly unpopular. Maybe someone fresh like Gretchen Whitmer or Raphael Warnock would've been better for the Democrats next year with Biden supporting them in the background.

Perception is everything in politics and Biden just comes off as so old. It's the first thing most people picture when they think of him, regardless of what he's accomplished or how awful Trump is.

[Sir Mohamed]

Just out of curiosity, I wonder where Biden's approvals would be today if back in April he announced not to seek reelection? I assume higher, though lower than immediately after the announcement.

I used to disagree with the idea of Biden not running again due to his age, but now I'm starting to wonder whether that wouldn't have been better for the party overall. I understand the incumbency brings a great advantage but I don't know how useful it is now given the fact that Biden is so wildly unpopular. Maybe someone fresh like Gretchen Whitmer or Raphael Warnock would've been better for the Democrats next year with Biden supporting them in the background.

Perception is everything in politics and Biden just comes off as so old. It's the first thing most people picture when they think of him, regardless of what he's accomplished or how awful Trump is.

I'm 100% behind Biden's reelection campaign now that it's launched, but I sadly agree with your post. Whitmer would for sure have been an outstanding candidate. I know some Dems and leaners disagree with me on Newsom, but watching him over last 1-2 years or even how he ran circles with Hannity in that Fox interview makes me believe he also would have been a formidable nominee. Maybe indeed it would have been better for Biden not to run again. But only if Harris isn't his replacement (saying this as someone who initially backed her 2020 campaign before she dropped out).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

DeSantis isn't all that he cut taxes for the rich and Newsom said when he ran for reelection as Gov he was gonna fill out his whole term that's why Newsom isn't running

DeSantis popularity went down after IAN because poor people don't own Yachts the rich people that already voted R for Prez, the bump with poor or middle class voters is over they don't own Yachts


We don't need FL but Scott isn't 20 pts ahead he is 4 pts ahead

[wbrocks67]

Pew is once again an outlier. I don't believe Biden is at 39/60, nor do I believe that McCarthy is at 25/50.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He's not a 39/60 Approvals, it's a 303 map anyways, they keep polling Biden low Approvals and Trump are much worse, he's at 33% Approvals in the POS Arizona poll

DG in blue states have 50% or better Approvals just like Rs in red states that's why it's a blue and red divide

[Jerseyan]

Pew's -21% net negative favorables is consistent with ...

CNN's 35-56%  (-21%)
ABC News' 31-52% (-21%)
Marquette's 37-60% (-23%)

3 similar results. Pew's results are not an outlier

Those are all pretty old though. Would be nice if those pollsters could provide us with something more up to date.

In terms of recently released polling, Pew is certainly on the more negative side.

[wbrocks67]

Meanwhile, YouGov/Economist has 46/52 this week for fav and 45/52 for approval (RV)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Pew's -21% net negative favorables is consistent with ...

CNN's 35-56%  (-21%)
ABC News' 31-52% (-21%)
Marquette's 37-60% (-23%)

3 similar results. Pew's results are not an outlier


Biden isn't at 33

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The problem for Rs is that it's 4% unemployment they won't win a single blue state with that type of unemployment

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Brown is leading by 13 in OH then PA, MI and WI are D leaning meaning Eday is over as I have been saying all along

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I told Redban this already Polls lie not all of them but putting Trump at 50/50 v Biden byMQK and Harris X has him at 35% and MQK said Biden is 10 pts ahead WI some of these low Approval are LIED TO US

[Redban]

https://www.scribd.com/document/661896377/cbsnews-20230730-1#

CBS
40% approve / 60% disapprove  (-20%)

https://news.gallup.com/poll/329384/presidential-approval-ratings-joe-biden.aspx

Gallup

40% approval / 55% disapproval (-15%)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Here we go again with Redban approval eiating that don't matter because it's a 3o3 Map

It doesn't matter what Biden Approvals are because Trump is a convict and he has a 35 percentage pts Approval

That's why Biden has the same Approvals as 22 and we still won

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The problem with Trump is he offers nothing but his silly tax cuts he passed in 2017 deficit ditch and he just critiques Biden like all Rs do on the forum you canr become Prez if you have zero offense

[Redban]

Echelon

41% approve / 57% disapprove  (-16%)

https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/July-2023-Omnibus-Topline-EXTERNAL.pdf

Sienna

39% approve / 54% disapprove (-15%)

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/08/01/us/elections/times-siena-poll-registered-voters-crosstabs.html

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rassy 47/51, Biden for the last time isn't at 40% Approvals

[Redban]

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/nrdcezwpcn/econTabReport.pdf

Yougov

41% approve / 56% disapprove (-15%)

[Jerseyan]

Obama "bottomed out" at the end of August 2011 during his first term. Let's see if history repeats.

[Redban]

Obama "bottomed out" at the end of August 2011 during his first term. Let's see if history repeats.

The difference is that Biden's low approvals have been stable. Biden has not had a positive average-approval since September 2021, nearly two years ago. Obama at least went back and forth

The other difference is that Obama, even when his job approval was low, still had very high favorables, indicating that most people still liked him. Biden's favorables, in contrast, are as low as his approvals

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/obama_favorableunfavorable-643.html

[Jerseyan]

Obama "bottomed out" at the end of August 2011 during his first term. Let's see if history repeats.

The difference is that Biden's low approvals have been consistent. Biden has not had a positive average-approval since September 2021, nearly two years ago. Obama at least went back and forth

The other difference is that Obama, even when his job approval was low, still had very high favorables, indicating that most people still liked him. Biden's favorables, in contrast, are as low as his approvals

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/obama_favorableunfavorable-643.html

There's a lot of differences which I'm very well aware of having been politically active during the 2011-2012 campaign. But like I said, let's see.

I personally think Biden's numbers are bound to improve at some point. A gut feeling backed by life experience. Probably worth as much as some of these online polls getting released constantly.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Obama "bottomed out" at the end of August 2011 during his first term. Let's see if history repeats.

The difference is that Biden's low approvals have been stable. Biden has not had a positive average-approval since September 2021, nearly two years ago. Obama at least went back and forth

The other difference is that Obama, even when his job approval was low, still had very high favorables, indicating that most people still liked him. Biden's favorables, in contrast, are as low as his approvals

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/obama_favorableunfavorable-643.html

You know we won WI by 11 and PA special and Deegan won Jax FL race all with Biden low Approval and Rassy has Biden not at 40% he has it at 47/51

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Obama and Bush W were all 47/51 prior to Eday and got reelected like Rassy has Biden, Trump lost reelection because unemployment was 9%

This is exactly where Biden needs to be a yr prior there is none at this yr and Rs are about to lose KY and LA G Wilson isn't doomed he is headed for a Runoff if this was Eday yr the polls would be castrophic for Biden because he would have no time to recover

Plse stop saying the Debt downgrade is Biden fault we have a War in Ukraine and two stimulus checks1.9T that weren't paid for because Rs refuses to raise taxes

[wbrocks67]

Marist - 43/52 among RV

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_Trust_Climate_202307281317.pdf