CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD
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  CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD
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Author Topic: CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD  (Read 69617 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1400 on: November 18, 2020, 09:55:18 PM »

AP calls Rep. Anthony Delgado the Winner in New Yorks 19th Congressional District bringing the Democrats Total to 221 House Seats



Why haven't they called for Katko or Maloney? Hard to see how either loses at this point
I have no idea why?
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Storr
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« Reply #1401 on: November 18, 2020, 10:40:06 PM »
« Edited: November 18, 2020, 10:43:23 PM by Storr »

lol Kern will drag this one out:

It seems counting votes at a glacial pace is something all California counties have bipartisan consensus on, regardless of which major party they favor.
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Torie
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« Reply #1402 on: November 19, 2020, 08:21:26 AM »
« Edited: November 19, 2020, 08:28:33 AM by Torie »

You can plug in your own guesses in a spreadsheet for what allegedly remains (some 6,000 votes), in the three slots (Chenango, Oneida provisionals, and 500 odd challenged ballots with the county not identified), and end up with any result your heart desires by tweaking a tiny bit here and there if you are an obsessive mashochist. Still a flip a coin race in my view (Rosenblatt’s numbers for starters of what remains where might be off a bit), but if I had to bet the farm, I would guess Tenney loses.



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iceman
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« Reply #1403 on: November 19, 2020, 09:08:36 AM »

how is the house popular vote standing? who is winning?
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1404 on: November 19, 2020, 09:10:56 AM »

how is the house popular vote standing? who is winning?

https://cookpolitical.com/2020-house-vote-tracker

Cook has Dems winning it 50.4-48.1, with four races (CA-21, CA-25, IA-02, NY-22) TBD.
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iceman
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« Reply #1405 on: November 19, 2020, 09:14:52 AM »

how is the house popular vote standing? who is winning?

https://cookpolitical.com/2020-house-vote-tracker

Cook has Dems winning it 50.4-48.1, with four races (CA-21, CA-25, IA-02, NY-22) TBD.

very close indeed. Considering some DEMS have no opposition on titanium blue districts, this could have been an essential tie in the popular vote.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1406 on: November 19, 2020, 09:16:35 AM »

how is the house popular vote standing? who is winning?

https://cookpolitical.com/2020-house-vote-tracker

Cook has Dems winning it 50.4-48.1, with four races (CA-21, CA-25, IA-02, NY-22) TBD.

very close indeed. Considering some DEMS have no opposition on titanium blue districts, this could have been an essential tie in the popular vote.

Yeah. Though there's still a decent amount of uncounted vote in NY, which should boost Democrats' House PV margin a bit.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #1407 on: November 19, 2020, 09:44:12 AM »



The virus is spreading like wildfire through the halls of Congress. At this point, it would be a miracle if Pelosi, McConnell, and the other party leaders didn't get it.
In 1789, it took some time before there was a quorum in Congress so the electoral votes could be counted and Washington became president.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1408 on: November 19, 2020, 11:34:57 AM »

AP calls Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney the Winner in New York's 18th Congressional District



This brings the Democratic House Tally to 222 Seats.

NYT calls it as well. In the remaining 8 outstanding House Races according to the NYT Republicans are leading.
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ChiefFireWaterMike
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« Reply #1409 on: November 19, 2020, 11:47:21 AM »

AP calls Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney the Winner in New York's 18th Congressional District


This brings the Democratic House Tally to 222 Seats.

NYT calls it as well. In the remaining 8 outstanding House Races according to the NYT Republicans are leading.
So was this endless wait what it was like for y'all in 2018 with those races not called for weeks? After election day I stopped following indy races back then, wasn't as interested.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1410 on: November 19, 2020, 12:08:13 PM »

AP calls Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney the Winner in New York's 18th Congressional District


This brings the Democratic House Tally to 222 Seats.

NYT calls it as well. In the remaining 8 outstanding House Races according to the NYT Republicans are leading.
So was this endless wait what it was like for y'all in 2018 with those races not called for weeks? After election day I stopped following indy races back then, wasn't as interested.
@LordDrachir,
I think the reason people are more interested because the House Margin is so close. The more Seats Republicans get the tougher it gets for Pelosi to enact any meaningful Legislation like for example repealing the Tax Cuts which would be disastrous for the Economy.
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ChiefFireWaterMike
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« Reply #1411 on: November 19, 2020, 12:11:12 PM »

AP calls Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney the Winner in New York's 18th Congressional District


This brings the Democratic House Tally to 222 Seats.

NYT calls it as well. In the remaining 8 outstanding House Races according to the NYT Republicans are leading.
So was this endless wait what it was like for y'all in 2018 with those races not called for weeks? After election day I stopped following indy races back then, wasn't as interested.
@LordDrachir,
I think the reason people are more interested because the House Margin is so close. The more Seats Republicans get the tougher it gets for Pelosi to enact any meaningful Legislation like for example repealing the Tax Cuts which would be disastrous for the Economy.
Ah, less interest then, I get the reasoning, just wondering.
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StateBoiler
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« Reply #1412 on: November 19, 2020, 01:09:54 PM »

how is the house popular vote standing? who is winning?

https://cookpolitical.com/2020-house-vote-tracker

Cook has Dems winning it 50.4-48.1, with four races (CA-21, CA-25, IA-02, NY-22) TBD.

You have to have popular vote ex-California since they have D vs. D and R vs. R races.
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ChiefFireWaterMike
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« Reply #1413 on: November 19, 2020, 01:10:47 PM »

how is the house popular vote standing? who is winning?

https://cookpolitical.com/2020-house-vote-tracker

Cook has Dems winning it 50.4-48.1, with four races (CA-21, CA-25, IA-02, NY-22) TBD.

You have to have popular vote ex-California since they have D vs. D and R vs. R races.
California has no R vs R races.
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StateBoiler
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« Reply #1414 on: November 19, 2020, 01:13:52 PM »

how is the house popular vote standing? who is winning?

https://cookpolitical.com/2020-house-vote-tracker

Cook has Dems winning it 50.4-48.1, with four races (CA-21, CA-25, IA-02, NY-22) TBD.

You have to have popular vote ex-California since they have D vs. D and R vs. R races.
California has no R vs R races.

Thank you. Point stands still it's not an apples to apples comparison when 100% of votes cast in some districts voters could only pick 1 party.

You could do house popular vote ex-all those intra-party 2-person race seats, with the understanding that if the party not on the ballot was there, they'd still get a minority of votes.
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ChiefFireWaterMike
LordRichard
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« Reply #1415 on: November 19, 2020, 01:27:47 PM »

how is the house popular vote standing? who is winning?

https://cookpolitical.com/2020-house-vote-tracker

Cook has Dems winning it 50.4-48.1, with four races (CA-21, CA-25, IA-02, NY-22) TBD.

You have to have popular vote ex-California since they have D vs. D and R vs. R races.
California has no R vs R races.

Thank you. Point stands still it's not an apples to apples comparison when 100% of votes cast in some districts voters could only pick 1 party.

You could do house popular vote ex-all those intra-party 2-person race seats, with the understanding that if the party not on the ballot was there, they'd still get a minority of votes.
If you remove those races to my understanding Republicans are winning right now.
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Xing
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« Reply #1416 on: November 19, 2020, 01:30:40 PM »



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HuABhumm6fY
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SevenEleven
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« Reply #1417 on: November 19, 2020, 01:32:43 PM »

how is the house popular vote standing? who is winning?

https://cookpolitical.com/2020-house-vote-tracker

Cook has Dems winning it 50.4-48.1, with four races (CA-21, CA-25, IA-02, NY-22) TBD.

You have to have popular vote ex-California since they have D vs. D and R vs. R races.
California has no R vs R races.

Thank you. Point stands still it's not an apples to apples comparison when 100% of votes cast in some districts voters could only pick 1 party.

You could do house popular vote ex-all those intra-party 2-person race seats, with the understanding that if the party not on the ballot was there, they'd still get a minority of votes.

How many votes do you think Republicans are getting when they can't even make the general election lol. There's never an election where parties contest 100% of seats, that doesn't mean you just ignore the votes cast.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1418 on: November 19, 2020, 01:35:32 PM »

Uh around the votes Trump got in that district +- candidate quality of the incumbent and a few thousand dropoff?
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ChiefFireWaterMike
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« Reply #1419 on: November 19, 2020, 01:36:07 PM »

Uh around the votes Trump got in that district +- candidate quality of the incumbent?
Or Primary percentage and just take that percent of the votes?
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SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1420 on: November 19, 2020, 01:42:35 PM »

Uh around the votes Trump got in that district +- candidate quality of the incumbent?
Or Primary percentage and just take that percent of the votes?
You can't do that because so many of the Republicans will leave their ballots blank in a D vs D. There's always a huge underscore if there's 15-25% Republicans. Still, this is a stupid thing to hand wrong over. We're not going to go around suggesting to add the Libertarian vote to the Dems in a R v L race, now are we?
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ChiefFireWaterMike
LordRichard
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« Reply #1421 on: November 19, 2020, 01:48:16 PM »

Uh around the votes Trump got in that district +- candidate quality of the incumbent?
Or Primary percentage and just take that percent of the votes?
You can't do that because so many of the Republicans will leave their ballots blank in a D vs D. There's always a huge underscore if there's 15-25% Republicans. Still, this is a stupid thing to hand wrong over. We're not going to go around suggesting to add the Libertarian vote to the Dems in a R v L race, now are we?
I was just giving a way to do it, damn sev.
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SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1422 on: November 19, 2020, 02:11:24 PM »

Uh around the votes Trump got in that district +- candidate quality of the incumbent?
Or Primary percentage and just take that percent of the votes?
You can't do that because so many of the Republicans will leave their ballots blank in a D vs D. There's always a huge underscore if there's 15-25% Republicans. Still, this is a stupid thing to hand wrong over. We're not going to go around suggesting to add the Libertarian vote to the Dems in a R v L race, now are we?
I was just giving a way to do it, damn sev.
Lol, sorry dude, didn't mean to seem like I was going after you. 😁
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ChiefFireWaterMike
LordRichard
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« Reply #1423 on: November 19, 2020, 02:18:58 PM »

Uh around the votes Trump got in that district +- candidate quality of the incumbent?
Or Primary percentage and just take that percent of the votes?
You can't do that because so many of the Republicans will leave their ballots blank in a D vs D. There's always a huge underscore if there's 15-25% Republicans. Still, this is a stupid thing to hand wrong over. We're not going to go around suggesting to add the Libertarian vote to the Dems in a R v L race, now are we?
I was just giving a way to do it, damn sev.
Lol, sorry dude, didn't mean to seem like I was going after you. 😁
It's all good man.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1424 on: November 19, 2020, 02:32:24 PM »

It's looking more and more likely that my House Prediction of 223 Democrats vs 212 Republicans will come true in the end barring some Major unforseen favorable Ballot Drops in CA this weekend.

Kevin McCarthy needs to hold the GOP Caucus together and vote down "every single Democratic non-bipartisan Bill" the next two years just to piss off Biden, Harris and Pelosi.
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