CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD (user search)
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April 29, 2024, 08:28:50 AM
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  CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD (search mode)
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Author Topic: CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD  (Read 66972 times)
lfromnj
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« on: November 03, 2020, 07:21:45 PM »

Here we go,

Looks like the cubans seats will be close
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2020, 12:28:04 AM »

Ronchetti is doing really good, running 5 points ahead of Trump.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2020, 12:50:07 AM »

Counting bias seems reversed in California this year,

Kings and Tulare are both farming central valley counties Trump won by low double digits. Biden is leading in Tulare by 3 with 50% of the vote in but in Kings with 85% of the vote he is keeping his 2016 margin of Trump +12.



Warning for California house elections, I feel like its reversed this year.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2020, 02:15:24 AM »

TX 23 is going R btw,
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lfromnj
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2020, 02:19:25 AM »

At this rate, the NC seats could be the only Democrats flips tonight.

GA-07 is looking increasingly like a flip.

Just those three?

IL 13th is still out there as the college towns didn't come in yet, Garcia is also trailing which sounds bad California has a reverse counting bias rn.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2020, 02:39:24 AM »



GOP gaining back in California.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2020, 02:44:21 AM »


GOP gaining back in California.

They also gained in Westchester. For all the talk of #realignment, they aren't doing uniformly worse in richer suburban areas.

Biden did get 60% in Darien CT though Tongue
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lfromnj
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2020, 02:45:18 AM »



GOP gaining back in California.

In 2018 Reps leaded in all those seats early on and lost them all later.

Oh yes, however earlier in the night Ds were actually leading in these seats a lot, by gaining back I mean they were gaining back in the margin.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2020, 03:59:35 AM »

Spanberger is down by 48k votes with 235k votes counted. I don't know how much is left though.
She probably should be good considering va Beach voted for biden by 9.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2020, 04:39:24 AM »


It would be great if Tom Massie could get some backup after Amash dropped out. No idea how the outstanding vote looks though.

Also, Jeff Van Drew leading 51% to 47.5% with 75% of the vote counted. Turns out he might have made the right call in the long run after all.


Freitas isn't winning on a night where Biden is winning Stafford county and VA beach by 9 points.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2020, 11:45:05 AM »

Prob not but was very narrow, hes a goner in 2022.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2020, 12:20:46 PM »

AP calls WI-03 for Ron Kind. He’s leading by 3%.
Bye bye in 2022.

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lfromnj
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2020, 02:13:00 PM »

Sullivan is actually overperforming Trump.

DO NOT SLEEEP ON ALASKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
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lfromnj
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2020, 08:27:16 PM »


Pretty sure she already had the lead. This race shifted to the Democrats with late ballots in 2018 so it might happen again.

She trailed early on, counting is weird this time .
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lfromnj
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2020, 09:04:35 PM »


Gaetz and his fellow congresswoman are a great adventure                                                                                           
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lfromnj
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« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2020, 11:55:55 AM »

The AP calls it for Haley Stevens. That's late, though, and it should be clear that gun control rhetoric should be silenced, yesterday.
If the dems stopped with Gun Control they would've flipped TX-23 and more. What're you doing attacking guns in a rural area

Tx 23 is way more urban/suburban than one thinks, more than half the vote is in Bexar+El paso.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2020, 12:48:33 PM »

The AP calls it for Haley Stevens. That's late, though, and it should be clear that gun control rhetoric should be silenced, yesterday.
If the dems stopped with Gun Control they would've flipped TX-23 and more. What're you doing attacking guns in a rural area

Tx 23 is way more urban/suburban than one thinks, more than half the vote is in Bexar+El paso.
Oh I'm aware, but there's many rural Hispanic gun owners there. My family is from the District, Pecos in Reeves county, it swung hard R, even though that's a mostly "urban" area. It's a small dem town. Trump got 44.5% last time and now 66.1%

Btw whats up with Brewster?
its only 44% hispanic yet its a swing county.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2020, 01:50:12 PM »


YEEES! She's one of the best!

However, she's probably not hanging on in a 2022 Biden midterm, even if the president isn't that unpopular.

She probably might not even hang on in a(slim chance) Trump midterm depending on how redistricting goes.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2020, 02:33:01 PM »

Infact a dead locked commision goes to the VA supreme court



Very easy to cleanly and relatively easily take out Spanberger with a gentle courtmap. District is like Trump +15 and not really trending D anymore.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2020, 03:21:12 PM »
« Edited: November 05, 2020, 03:27:06 PM by #proudtikitorchmarcher »



lol









Gonna be interesting.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #20 on: November 05, 2020, 03:31:46 PM »

Oh hey, Christy Smith might actually win.

California ballots so far have had a R trendline btw. Not sure how it ends up at the very end
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lfromnj
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« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2020, 03:49:47 PM »

Interesting I wonder how Valadao will turn out, he's up by 3 now and it seems in the central valley D votes came first looking at Kings and Tulare county, Kings is much more R than Tulare because its almost fully in while Tulare is only like 70% in. Kern is only 50% in and its a tie. I doubt Biden wins Kern so Valadao might do good.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2020, 05:22:57 PM »



Mcadams has this, According to the presidential race 97% of Utah County is in while only 70% of SLC. Unless if Late ballots skew Republican?
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lfromnj
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« Reply #23 on: November 06, 2020, 12:04:13 AM »

Michelle steel came back and is now leading by 5k! with 98% in according to the NYT.

Young Kim  is leading by 2.5k at 93% in

Garcia is leading by 200 with 92%

Valadao is leading by 4k which is a good margin in a low turnout district with 74% in.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #24 on: November 06, 2020, 12:20:26 AM »

Rouda probably lost if its actually 98% in, looks like that ballot harvesting worked Tongue
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