2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[lfromnj]

So Far MA was a Bidenslide even in the rural parts. Not sure how late ballots trend. However most actual Urban areas in MA swung towards Trump, we could see a closer PV than expected if this holds true.



https://twitter.com/richparr79/status/1324362497164496899

https://twitter.com/skoczela/status/1324364398975176705

This could also mean there was depolarization lol.

Lawrence is heavily Hispanic.

Yup I know that, its hilarious to see Wellesley MA being more D than Lawrence, hopefully it holds. Those NIMBY's there would never even want anyone from Lawrence living in their town.

Wellesley was only 56% obama in 2012

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/RAGordon8/status/1324492076839567363?s=20

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Why didn’t SN’s ban extend until the end of the year? Of course he was going to come back here and go the exact same things that got him banned.

[Inmate Trump]

Hmmm could be trouble in Arizona?

What is with Dem bedwetters on this site?

We were scarred by 2016.

[Alben Barkley]

[Figueira]

So Far MA was a Bidenslide even in the rural parts. Not sure how late ballots trend. However most actual Urban areas in MA swung towards Trump, we could see a closer PV than expected if this holds true.



https://twitter.com/richparr79/status/1324362497164496899

https://twitter.com/skoczela/status/1324364398975176705

This could also mean there was depolarization lol.

Those places have large Hispanic populations.

I'm less sure what's going on with those random R-swinging towns in the Berkshires, but they're very WWC.

Overall I'm happy that the Massachusetts realignment of 2016 did not continue.

[Pericles]

Think about it this way, as an incumbent Obama won the popular vote by a 4% margin. Now as an incumbent Trump is on track to lose the popular vote by at least 4%.

[Andy Hine]

Hmmm could be trouble in Arizona?

What is with Dem bedwetters on this site?

We were scarred by 2016.

It's time to get over it.

[Crumpets]

Think about it this way, as an incumbent Obama won the popular vote by a 4% margin. Now as an incumbent Trump is on track to lose the popular vote by at least 4%.

Trump always just has to do the opposite of whatever Obama did. And look where it's got him.

[gf20202]

People need to chill re: AZ. Biden is going to win it by 30 or 40k. None of these vote drops indicate anything otherwise. If there was a hint in change of the trajectory, Fox and AP would retract their call.

[pppolitics]

Biden won a new batch of votes from Cumberland County, Pa., by a margin of nearly 70 percent to 30 percent, narrowing Trump’s lead in the state to less than 80,000

[Angasboy15]

Hmmm could be trouble in Arizona?

What is with Dem bedwetters on this site?

I think I've been highly optimistic basically everywhere since the polls closed but the figures in Arizona surely mean Biden taking the state is no certainty.

[GP270watch]

So Far MA was a Bidenslide even in the rural parts. Not sure how late ballots trend. However most actual Urban areas in MA swung towards Trump, we could see a closer PV than expected if this holds true.



https://twitter.com/richparr79/status/1324362497164496899

https://twitter.com/skoczela/status/1324364398975176705

This could also mean there was depolarization lol.

Those places have large Hispanic populations.

I'm less sure what's going on with those random R-swinging towns in the Berkshires, but they're very WWC.

Overall I'm happy that the Massachusetts realignment of 2016 did not continue.

 Dominicans who are the best Latino voters for The Democratic Party. They vote for Democrats 75%-80%

[BudgieForce]

People need to chill re: AZ. Biden is going to win it by 30 or 40k. None of these vote drops indicate anything otherwise. If there was a hint in change of the trajectory, Fox and AP would retract their call.

They have to have some deep Maricopa data that points to favorable votes left for Biden. That's the only reason why I think Fox and AP are sticking with their calls.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

GEOFFREY SKELLEY
NOV. 5, 6:13 PM
A new update of around 37,000 ballots just came in from Pennsylvania, of which Biden won about two-thirds. This reduced Trump’s raw vote margin to about 78,000 votes, or 1.2 percentage points (50.0 percent to 48.8 percent). Most of that was 30,000 votes from Cumberland County just west of Harrisburg, the state capital. While Cumberland is Republican-leaning — Trump leads there 55 percent to 44 percent now — Biden won nearly 70 percent of this tranche of ballots, which look to have made up most of the county’s remaining mail votes. Heavily Republican Blair County (home to Altoona) also reported more than 5,000 votes, but Trump only won a narrow majority of those.

[gf20202]

https://twitter.com/RAGordon8/status/1324492076839567363?s=20

Can we stop with the random twitter observers? Trump is going to go +15 in Pima? Good luck with that.

And on top of that, it's not 41k anymore. It's 33k because of the vote drop.

[Crumpets]

Biden won a new batch of votes from Cumberland County, Pa., by a margin of nearly 70 percent to 30 percent, narrowing Trump’s lead in the state to less than 80,000

78,314 is the exact number. 1.2% Trump lead now - he'll probably fall under 50% with the next update.

[lfromnj]

Seems interesting, I do wonder if the future Latino vote might eventually trend towards similarly like the Portugese vote in Fall River/New Bedford.

[Asta]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1324491444992634881?s=20

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Imagine thinking Western Civilization is about anything but liberalism lmao.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

People need to chill re: AZ. Biden is going to win it by 30 or 40k. None of these vote drops indicate anything otherwise. If there was a hint in change of the trajectory, Fox and AP would retract their call.

Who cares anyway when it’s pretty clear Biden is going to take Pennsylvania and that alone would put him over the top?

[Stockdale for Veep]

How did the Teamsters get the Philly ballot counting bid?

[Andy Hine]

Hmmm could be trouble in Arizona?

What is with Dem bedwetters on this site?

I think I've been highly optimistic basically everywhere since the polls closed but the figures in Arizona surely mean Biden taking the state is no certainty.

Biden will win Arizona.

[ottermax]

In 2018 in Arizona I remember in the weeks after the election the counting favored Democrats quite a lot. Enough to push Katie Hobbs over the edge for SOS. Will we not see similar patterns this year? Why not?

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1324490164400521216