2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

https://twitter.com/RightWingWatch/status/1324175651515949056
I'm curious. Do Republicans think that she's demonstrating that her religion is a complete sham, or is she committing a federal felony?

She sounds like frickin Foghorn Leghorn.

I think you mean, she sounds like the (fictional) Senator Claghorn, of whom Foghorn Leghorn is a pastiche. (If there's any place for such trivia as this, Atlas is surely it!)

[emailking]

I'm not sure Nate Silver has any credibility left.

Don't see why. It's looking like he called this election right.

When it is a 2 horse race, it is not difficult to be right at least some of the time.

People listen to pollsters for specific info, and when it comes to the specifics his polls and commentary favoured an enormous win for Biden and the house. Neither have happened.

Shifting the goalposts. If he was "wrong" for saying Trump would lose in 2016 despite giving him a 30% chance to win, then he was certainly right to give Biden a 90% chance of victory if he does in fact win.

[Ferguson97]

Wait, it went back up?

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1324214930816540673

[rhg2052]

Anyone have a read on when the next significant batch of votes comes in?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Wait, it went back up?

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1324214930816540673

It... shouldn’t have.

[Catholics vs. Convicts]

Anyone have a read on when the next significant batch of votes comes in?

Next AZ batch might be here in 30 min.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/USPoliticsPoll/status/1324215424138043393?s=19

[philly09]

We are approaching an interesting situation here.  Fox News and AP have called AZ for Biden, giving him 264 votes. If GA goes for Biden in the next hour, they will be the first networks/news orgs to declare Biden the next President. All the other networks will be running with the 269 narrative.

[gf20202]

Wait, it went back up?

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1324214930816540673

It... shouldn’t have.

This is just a not credible poster. They've been wrong a lot and never list sourcing.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Wait, it went back up?

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1324214930816540673

That account never cites its data and as a result has made botches before so I wouldn’t read into it

[Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror]

I need at least one of Georgia or Arizona or Pennsylvania to be called tonight. I'm hardly getting any work done because I keep stopping to check the state of the race.

[politics_king]

We are approaching an interesting situation here.  Fox News and AP have called AZ for Biden, giving him 264 votes. If GA goes for Biden in the next hour, they will be the first networks/news orgs to declare Biden the next President. All the other networks will be running with the 269 narrative.

Honestly, I could see AP & Fox waiting on the PA & GA results, that would be a tell that AZ is closer than one thought or after the next AZ drop, the networks finally call it for Biden.

[BaldEagle1991]

So any chance that Arizona will stay for Biden?

I'm getting worried about that.

[BigSerg]

So any chance that Arizona will stay for Biden?

I'm getting worried about that.

80%

[AndyHogan14]

There hasn't been an update on the Georgia SOS site in over an hour—anyone know how reliable that one source was that gave the 12k update is?

[musicblind]

So to sum this up:

- Biden wins NV (by an underwhelming margin, to the right of the nation)
- Biden wins AZ
- Biden wins GA very narrowly
- Trump probably wins NC very narrowly
- PA will go down to the wire, with Biden very slightly favored?
- Trump will win AK

Trump is pretty much toast.

Senate:

- Sullivan will win AK
- Tillis will win by a point or a little less in NC, outperforming Trump
- Collins has won in ME
- McSally is toast in AZ

Meaning the Senate will be 50R/48D when all is said and done, with the GA runoffs deciding Senate control.

Is this accurate? Curious about PA in particular.

From what I can gather, Biden is heavily favored in PA at this rate. At least, that's according to the Nates and other analysts.

I'm not sure Nate Silver has any credibility left. There are probably better people you could turn to for an understanding of the remaining vote.

Nate isn't a pollster, but from what information he had, he seems to have called this right, for the most part. Certainly well enough if it were a medical trial or something.

[BaldEagle1991]

So any chance that Arizona will stay for Biden?

I'm getting worried about that.

80%

80% of what?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Wait, it went back up?

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1324214930816540673

That account never cites its data and as a result has made botches before so I wouldn’t read into it

I’m not seeing anything on Twitter about a sudden boost to Trump.

[MaxQue]

There hasn't been an update on the Georgia SOS site in over an hour—anyone know how reliable that one source was that gave the 12k update is?

I would assume he is, he is the journalist covering the race for NBC Atlanta.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/RightWingWatch/status/1324175651515949056

I'm curious. Do Republicans think that she's demonstrating that her religion is a complete sham, or is she committing a federal felony?

Two questions.
1. Why would this be a federal felony?
2. Doesn't she reside in Cloudcuckooland?

[2952-0-0]

Wait, it went back up?

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1324214930816540673

It... shouldn’t have.

https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/105369/web.264614/#/summary

The last official update from GA SOS was at 10:54 PM, before the "26K" tweet was posted. The current total is consistent with the most recent tweet.

[politics_king]

What's wrong with these Trump Supporters. "Count the Votes!" "Stop the Count!" "We're Idiots!"

[Bojack Horseman]

https://twitter.com/RightWingWatch/status/1324175651515949056

I'm curious. Do Republicans think that she's demonstrating that her religion is a complete sham, or is she committing a federal felony?

Two questions.
1. Why would this be a federal felony?
2. Doesn't she reside in Cloudcuckooland?

Definitely a member of the Fruit Loop Brigade.

[gf20202]

There hasn't been an update on the Georgia SOS site in over an hour—anyone know how reliable that one source was that gave the 12k update is?

I would assume he is, he is the journalist covering the race for NBC Atlanta.

Can you link to where he said that and not just a link to the one report of votes being added, which might show a 12k margin but one that might have already been included in the count?

[BaldEagle1991]

I'm not too confident in Georgia.

After last night I learned not to trust Bible Belt states for a chance of a Biden flip.

What's wrong with these Trump Supporters. "Count the Votes!" "Stop the Count!" "We're Idiots!"

They're morons who want everything done in their way.