2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Non Swing Voter]

It is fairly obvious that Biden is going to win PA guys...

look at all the counties at 100% reporting.  With the exception of some rural counties where Trump has marginally improved, Biden has improved on Hillary's numbers, sometimes as much as 10%.  

[Hindsight was 2020]

It is fairly obvious that Biden is going to win PA guys...

look at all the counties at 100% reporting.  With the exception of some rural counties where Trump has marginally improved, Biden has improved on Hillary's numbers, sometimes as much as 10%.  

Agreed and Georgia is looking better and better. A good note to go to bed on. See y’all tomorrow 👋

[n1240]

It is fairly obvious that Biden is going to win PA guys...

look at all the counties at 100% reporting.  With the exception of some rural counties where Trump has marginally improved, Biden has improved on Hillary's numbers, sometimes as much as 10%.  

I think Biden wins PA very easily (and have said implied so multiple times in this thread) but Philly doesn't have as many ballots as media projections are suggesting, still good for a Biden+2-3% lead overall though.

[Non Swing Voter]

These protestors are being very terrible right now. Being a poll worker is stressful enough. Having to worry about protestors outside is just undesirable.
Why can't these people get a life and go home. Stop harassing hard-working men and women critical to our elections going smoothly.

If this is your reaction to 'peaceful protests' by perhaps 100 people who don't seem to be doing much other than standing their and yelling slogans, can I ask what your reaction has been to 4-5 months of rioting, looting and anarchy, murders of countless citizens and police, $2 billion estimated damage and countless public property destroyed and defaced.

All done by a group of people who pretend they care about black people, otherwise known as 'BLM'?

Nice try.  Those Trump enthusiasts are there for one reason only, to intimidate people counting votes.  They are trying to quickly count ballots in a pandemic and these thugs are shouting at the top of their lungs while they're trying to do their jobs.  

Then you guys wonder why Trumpers are considered deplorables by mainstream society.

[2952-0-0]

These protestors are being very terrible right now. Being a poll worker is stressful enough. Having to worry about protestors outside is just undesirable.
Why can't these people get a life and go home. Stop harassing hard-working men and women critical to our elections going smoothly.

They're still in denial about what is going on. Let's see what happens tomorrow once the networks call this thing.

[lfromnj]

The most hillarious part is Trump is trailing in AZ and these idiots want the count to stop.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

These protestors are being very terrible right now. Being a poll worker is stressful enough. Having to worry about protestors outside is just undesirable.
Why can't these people get a life and go home. Stop harassing hard-working men and women critical to our elections going smoothly.

If this is your reaction to 'peaceful protests' by perhaps 100 people who don't seem to be doing much other than standing their and yelling slogans, can I ask what your reaction has been to 4-5 months of rioting, looting and anarchy, murders of countless citizens and police, $2 billion estimated damage and countless public property destroyed and defaced.

All done by a group of people who pretend they care about black people, otherwise known as 'BLM'?

Regardless of one's feelings about BLM (and rational people can disagree on that issue), I'd hope we all agree that the electoral process is sacred. For one to stoop to harassing poll workers and create the impression of a threat of force leaves someone in a position to be fairly described as a, yes, degenerate (until proven otherwise, or having apologized wholeheartedly for such).

[7,052,770]

CNN just announced that the Georgia SOS said there is 90k ballots left to count!

wait, so does this mean Biden only needs to win 33% of remaining ballots since his margin is -29k?

29,000/90,000 = .32222222

No, he needs to win them 59,500 - 30,500 (~66%) if he's making up a 29,000 margin.

[Bojack Horseman]

Come on Georgia! Come on Pennsylvania! Come on Arizona! I’ve got the champagne in the fridge!

[Non Swing Voter]

It is fairly obvious that Biden is going to win PA guys...

look at all the counties at 100% reporting.  With the exception of some rural counties where Trump has marginally improved, Biden has improved on Hillary's numbers, sometimes as much as 10%.  

I think Biden wins PA very easily (and have said implied so multiple times in this thread) but Philly doesn't have as many ballots as media projections are suggesting, still good for a Biden+2-3% lead overall though.

I'm not all that concerned about where the ballots are coming from because the bottom line is that they are mostly coming from Democrats.  Biden's getting the same mail in ballot margins throughout the state with the exception of maybe Philly where he's getting a better ballot margin.

Republicans simply didn't request mail in ballots.  So even when they come from red counties they're for Biden mostly.  Bottom line is if there are really 750k mail in ballots left then Trump has no chance to even keep it close enough for a recount.

[emailking]

It makes no sense what they're doing. Shutting down the count that could put their candidate ahead?

[Hammy]

CNN just announced that the Georgia SOS said there is 90k ballots left to count!

wait, so does this mean Biden only needs to win 33% of remaining ballots since his margin is -29k?

29,000/90,000 = .32222222

Biden needs 2/3. If he only gets 1/3 the final margin wouldn't change because those remaining ballots have to go somewhere.

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/Jamal___James/status/1324217105433030656

Should expect the later batches to be worse for Trump than the last update in Maricopa County.

[musicblind]

CNN just announced that the Georgia SOS said there is 90k ballots left to count!

wait, so does this mean Biden only needs to win 33% of remaining ballots since his margin is -29k?

29,000/90,000 = .32222222

No, he needs to win them 59,500 - 30,500 (~66%) if he's making up a 29,000 margin.

What are the odds of that happening? Be brutally honest — no BS. Is it going to happen?

[Hope For A New Era]

I can't do anything. I'm sitting at the computer watching YouTube videos and checking this thread after each one. I have so much work to do, but I can't focus on anything else.

Come through, Georgia!

[2952-0-0]

https://twitter.com/LaurenLeatherby/status/1324144924728664069

It's worms all the way down.

Yeah that's not creepy at all. Targeting an ethnic minority by highlighting where they live and then trying to work out why they 'voted for the wrong guy'.

I can't believe I have to state this, but nobody should be compared to a slimy animal because of their ethnicity or how they voted!

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Even if Philly has "only" 170k votes left, that's probably enough for at least a 140k lead for Biden which would reduce Trump's margin to about 26k. Plenty left elsewhere to erase that. Biden probably does better in Pennsylvania than Wisconsin and Michigan.

[Ferguson97]

CNN just announced that the Georgia SOS said there is 90k ballots left to count!

wait, so does this mean Biden only needs to win 33% of remaining ballots since his margin is -29k?

29,000/90,000 = .32222222

No, he needs to win them 59,500 - 30,500 (~66%) if he's making up a 29,000 margin.

What are the odds of that happening? Be brutally honest — no BS. Is it going to happen?

I think current mail-in ballots have been coming in for him somewhere north of that margin... so it's definitely possible if that holds.

It would absolutely be a narrow margin though. Recount territory.

[gf20202]

I was guilty of it earlier but the 26k to 28k to 30k ranges we've seen in Georgia margin are what is online but not the most up to date info. That's because the people who input the info on the website have gone home for the night.

Fulton is the one county that's still counting and then giving the info to a reporter on site. Again this info apparently isn't on NYT or AP or DDHQ. Biden netted 16k there, so Trump's lead is like 12k. Again, As far as we understand, the 26k/28k/30k numbers don't include this 16k so the Trump lead is like 12k.

Fulton is counting for 2 more hours. They are counting the remaining approx 17k they have. If Biden would have to win those like 14.5 to 2.5 to take the lead tonight. Unlikely, but it should be very close so that the remaining approx 70k elsewhere in the state should give him a lead.

Source: https://twitter.com/BrendanKeefe

EDIT TO ADD: https://twitter.com/BrendanKeefe/status/1324228594751688706

So it appears, the lead might actually be as low as 7 or 8k. An official/online lead of 25,600 but one that doesn't have the latest from Fulton which is 33k minus 16k for Biden net of approx 17k with 17k more to count.

[Ferguson97]

Biden probably does better in Pennsylvania than Wisconsin and Michigan.

Every instinct everyone had about this election was wrong, wow.

[philly09]

Ed Rendell has been claiming that Biden will win PA narrowly by 100k, give or take.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Biden probably does better in Pennsylvania than Wisconsin and Michigan.

Every instinct everyone had about this election was wrong, wow.

Hot take: in the end, COVID changed next to nothing.

[WD]

Biden probably does better in Pennsylvania than Wisconsin and Michigan.

Every instinct everyone had about this election was wrong, wow.

Looks like the “WI will be the furthest right Rust Belt state” take was 100% right.

[Bootes Void]

Ed Rendell has been claiming that Biden will win PA narrowly by 100k, give or take.

Bob Casey said the same as well

[philly09]

Hearing a rumor that NV is holding off on releasing the vote count until later today because the GOP SOS didn't want to be responsible giving the 270 votes to Biden.