2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[MT Treasurer]

So to sum this up:

- Biden wins NV (by an underwhelming margin, to the right of the nation)
- Biden wins AZ
- Biden wins GA very narrowly
- Trump probably wins NC very narrowly
- PA will go down to the wire, with Biden very slightly favored?
- Trump will win AK

Trump is pretty much toast.

Senate:

- Sullivan will win AK
- Tillis will win by a point or a little less in NC, outperforming Trump
- Collins has won in ME
- McSally is toast in AZ

Meaning the Senate will be 50R/48D when all is said and done, with the GA runoffs deciding Senate control.

Is this accurate? Curious about PA in particular.

[forsythvoter]

NBC reporting Trump campaign just filed a lawsuit to stop the vote counting in Chatham County, GA (Savannah)

[Bootes Void]

the madman gonna pull off Georgia

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

From the perspective of a supporter of Trump, the past 24 hours could not have been more horrifying.

Most of them were expecting a quick victory, allowing them to get ample and sound sleep. Many of them did.

Then they woke to the news that Wisconsin flipped due to black people in Milwaukee voting fraud, and then the news that 1.5 million almost entirely Democratic mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania seemingly came from thin air. Then came the flip in Michigan, caused by black people in Detroit more fraud. News from Georgia and Arizona depressed their spirits further.

If Biden won a 413 landslide on election night, it would have been the equivalent of a shot to the head. But this drawn-out turn of events was death by a thousand cuts. It was definitely much worse than how Democrats felt in 2016.

Are you sure they even know he's losing? Given their propensity for misinformation, I figure they think he won and it's over — maybe even off celebrating somewhere

Nope. Go to Twitter. Don himself has been circulating rumours of votes being made up overnight, and vowing to defend himself. In Detroit, they were gathered outside the convention center chanting "stop the count". In Phoenix, they're chanting "count the votes".

You can't make this stuff up. I remember someone said here it's like a plotline from Veep.

There’s a plotline in Veep where there’s a recount in Nevada that would decide the election. The two sides are outside the Supreme Court chanting to continue the count vs stop it, then suddenly word gets out that there are a bunch of ballots that will change the trajectory of the state and both camps switch sides instantly.

[It’s so Joever]

It’s close, but where are you getting 12k from?

[Rand]

NBC reporting Trump campaign just filed a lawsuit to stop the vote counting in GA

When you’re drowning you don’t kick and thrash in the water. You just close your eyes and let go.

[7,052,770]

So to sum this up:

- Biden wins NV (by an underwhelming margin, to the right of the nation)
- Biden wins AZ
- Biden wins GA very narrowly
- Trump probably wins NC very narrowly
- PA will go down to the wire, with Biden very slightly favored?
- Trump will win AK

Trump is pretty much toast.

Senate:

- Sullivan will win AK
- Tillis will win by a point or a little less in NC, outperforming Trump
- Collins has won in ME
- McSally is toast in AZ

Meaning the Senate will be 50R/48D when all is said and done, with the GA runoffs deciding Senate control.

Is this accurate? Curious about PA in particular.

Yes, other than Stats Twitter is much more confident than you than Biden wins PA.

[forsythvoter]

The latest Fulton batch was Biden +18K but isn't in the NYT map yet

It’s close, but where are you getting 12k from?

[politics_king]

From the perspective of a supporter of Trump, the past 24 hours could not have been more horrifying.

Most of them were expecting a quick victory, allowing them to get ample and sound sleep. Many of them did.

Then they woke to the news that Wisconsin flipped due to black people in Milwaukee voting fraud, and then the news that 1.5 million almost entirely Democratic mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania seemingly came from thin air. Then came the flip in Michigan, caused by black people in Detroit more fraud. News from Georgia and Arizona depressed their spirits further.

If Biden won a 413 landslide on election night, it would have been the equivalent of a shot to the head. But this drawn-out turn of events was death by a thousand cuts. It was definitely much worse than how Democrats felt in 2016.

Are you sure they even know he's losing? Given their propensity for misinformation, I figure they think he won and it's over — maybe even off celebrating somewhere

Nope. Go to Twitter. Don himself has been circulating rumours of votes being made up overnight, and vowing to defend himself. In Detroit, they were gathered outside the convention center chanting "stop the count". In Phoenix, they're chanting "count the votes".

You can't make this stuff up. I remember someone said here it's like a plotline from Veep.

There’s a plotline in Veep where there’s a recount in Nevada that would decide the election. The two sides are outside the Supreme Court chanting to continue the count vs stop it, then suddenly word gets out that there are a bunch of ballots that will change the trajectory of the state and both camps switch sides instantly.

That's brilliant. Life imitating art.

[psychprofessor]

It’s close, but where are you getting 12k from?

He's up officially by 28-29, new drop from the election site nets Biden 16k, puts T up around 12k.

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

https://twitter.com/RightWingWatch/status/1324175651515949056

I'm curious. Do Republicans think that she's demonstrating that her religion is a complete sham, or is she committing a federal felony?

[RI]

Kalawao County, HI results:

Biden 23
Trump 1

The island of Niihau gave Trump 43 votes and none to anyone else.

[gf20202]

AP count has slightly more than DDHQ:
https://elections.ap.org/dailykos/results/2020-11-03/state/GA/race/P/raceid/0

And it's about 28.5k. No clue where someone is seeing 12k.

[DaleCooper]

So to sum this up:

- Biden wins NV (by an underwhelming margin, to the right of the nation)
- Biden wins AZ
- Biden wins GA very narrowly
- Trump probably wins NC very narrowly
- PA will go down to the wire, with Biden very slightly favored?
- Trump will win AK

Trump is pretty much toast.

Senate:

- Sullivan will win AK
- Tillis will win by a point or a little less in NC, outperforming Trump
- Collins has won in ME
- McSally is toast in AZ

Meaning the Senate will be 50R/48D when all is said and done, with the GA runoffs deciding Senate control.

Is this accurate? Curious about PA in particular.

From what I can gather, Biden is heavily favored in PA at this rate. At least, that's according to the Nates and other analysts.

[MT Treasurer]

Yes, other than Stats Twitter is much more confident than you than Biden wins PA.

I’m not at all ‘confident’ about PA, but it does look like it will be fairly close? So Biden +1-1.5 in the end? Could be wrong.

[AndyHogan14]

Kalawao County, HI results:

Biden 23
Trump 1

County sweep for Biden! Lol.

[forsythvoter]

Fulton just released another batch of absentees. It will go down to 12K once the latest Fulton absentees are included.

Every election site I have open shows Trump ahead in Georgia with 29-30k ahead.

Where does the 12k number come from?

[OBD]

Fulton just released another batch of absentees. It will go down to 12K once the latest Fulton absentees are included.

Every election site I have open shows Trump ahead in Georgia with 29-30k ahead.

Where does the 12k number come from?

If true, that's pretty much the ball game. ATLANTA JOE!

[Never Made it to Graceland]

https://twitter.com/RightWingWatch/status/1324175651515949056
I'm curious. Do Republicans think that she's demonstrating that her religion is a complete sham, or is she committing a federal felony?

She sounds like frickin Foghorn Leghorn.

[philly09]

Conor Lamb has declared victory.

[forsythvoter]

It's almost over in GA. Looks like Clayton still has about 20K votes and it's a Biden 85% county. Rest of the votes are almost all in Democratic counties - Dekalb, Cobb, Gwinnett, Chatham, Muscogee, Bibb and Richmond

[MaxQue]

Every election site I have open shows Trump ahead in Georgia with 29-30k ahead.

Where does the 12k number come from?

From the NBC Atlanta journalist covering the count twitter feed.

[Kuumo]

Kalawao County, HI results:

Biden 23
Trump 1

County sweep for Biden! Lol.

I bet that one Trump voter is really shy. Lmao.

[gf20202]

Fulton just released another batch of absentees. It will go down to 12K once the latest Fulton absentees are included.

Every election site I have open shows Trump ahead in Georgia with 29-30k ahead.

Where does the 12k number come from?

Are you sure that hasn't already been included quickly by some vote counters like the AP?

[Storr]

https://twitter.com/RightWingWatch/status/1324175651515949056

I'm curious. Do Republicans think that she's demonstrating that her religion is a complete sham, or is she committing a federal felony?

Is this real life? Holy cow she comes off as completely insane.