2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[philly09]

Can anyone TLDR on how much is out in GA and when its expected?

Focus on the blue wall

Georgia is a pipe dream

Isn't all of the vote out in ATL?

Yep, and not insurmountable.

[DaleCooper]

Will Biden break 50% in Wisconsin? NYT is saying that there is still 8% of the vote left to report.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Can anyone TLDR on how much is out in GA and when its expected?

Focus on the blue wall

Georgia is a pipe dream

Except it isn’t. Trump could still win it but the math is favorable to Biden right now

[DaleCooper]

The New York Times hilariously has Peters winning Genesee County while Biden loses it. I'm assuming that's an error.

[philly09]

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1323963582850207745

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

>mfw Trump voters are sent to re-education camps in January

The Senate Majority Leader won't allow it. Because GOP will probably hold Senate, no?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Good morning, everyone.  Just took a quick review of the data and feeling pretty good about Biden's chances right now.  Anything unusual I might have missed?

[Podgy the Bear]

Can anyone TLDR on how much is out in GA and when its expected?

Focus on the blue wall

Georgia is a pipe dream

Except it isn’t. Trump could still win it but the math is favorable to Biden right now

And it's looking quite probable that there could be two Senate runoffs in January.  Perdue is at 50 and is likely to fall below it with the Atlanta vote out and a Libertarian candidate getting over 2% .

[lfromnj]

The New York Times hilariously has Peters winning Genesee County while Biden loses it. I'm assuming that's an error.

Nope James is doing better in woke areas like Leelanau while Trump does better in working class areas. However Flint AV isn't in yet for that county.

[wbrocks67]

Can we talk about New Jersey for a second? A nearly *10%* shift since 2016. Biden +23 right now. Wow.

[Mr. Smith]

Looks like California is actually going to be the strongest Biden state once this is all done.

[Alben Barkley]

For the second time in a row, Georgia is like the only state that actually is turning out about how the polls showed.

Why is this???

[n1240]

The New York Times hilariously has Peters winning Genesee County while Biden loses it. I'm assuming that's an error.

It would be an error on part of Genessee County then, because the results were from the county site, which were just recently updated. Peters is doing better than Biden here.

https://www.gc4me.com/departments/county_clerks1/docs/Elections/202011/Cumulative%20Results-11-4-2020%2007-04-43%20AM.pdf

[Crumpets]

I went to bed at 9 pm eastern feeling pretty pessimistic. I woke up at about midnight eastern, checked the map, and felt a lot better. Checked again at 3 am eastern, and continued to feel better.

Now I'm just thoroughly confused. I'm liking everything I'm hearing and yet it makes no sense to me in the context of where things were when I went to bed. You guys aren't just optimistically speculating "here's how Biden can still win"-style are you?

[Scottholes 2.0]

AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!  https://twitter.com/benwikler/status/1323963606992605184?s=20

[hyouzel the predictor]

AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!  https://twitter.com/benwikler/status/1323963606992605184?s=20

NUT NUT NUT NUT BIDEN WIN IMMINENT POG NUT NUT NUT

[BlueSwan]

Can anyone TLDR on how much is out in GA and when its expected?

Focus on the blue wall

Georgia is a pipe dream

Except it isn’t. Trump could still win it but the math is favorable to Biden right now

And it's looking quite probable that there could be two Senate runoffs in January.  Perdue is at 50 and is likely to fall below it with the Atlanta vote out and a Libertarian candidate getting over 2% .

If Uncle Joe gets this we have to go ALL OUT for those runoff elections. I'm talking Mike Bloomberg dropping a billion on those races and a get out the vote effort to end all get out the vote efforts. We need to hit the republicans while they are still licking their wounds.

[wbrocks67]

For the second time in a row, Georgia is like the only state that actually is turning out about how the polls showed.

Why is this???

Maine and New Hampshire actually seem pretty close. Minnesota too. Interesting how polling errors affect IA/OH so much but not Minnesota.

Also, was anyone expecting Biden to win CO by nearly 15? That seems rather surprising too.

[Podgy the Bear]

I went to bed at 9 pm eastern feeling pretty pessimistic. I woke up at about midnight eastern, checked the map, and felt a lot better. Checked again at 3 am eastern, and continued to feel better.

Now I'm just thoroughly confused. I'm liking everything I'm hearing and yet it makes no sense to me in the context of where things were when I went to bed. You guys aren't just optimistically speculating "here's how Biden can still win"-style are you?

Biden is likely going to hold WI and will pull ahead in MI.  With AZ, NV (Clark County mail in ballots outstanding), and NE-02, it gives him an exact 270.  

[BlueSwan]

I went to bed at 9 pm eastern feeling pretty pessimistic. I woke up at about midnight eastern, checked the map, and felt a lot better. Checked again at 3 am eastern, and continued to feel better.

Now I'm just thoroughly confused. I'm liking everything I'm hearing and yet it makes no sense to me in the context of where things were when I went to bed. You guys aren't just optimistically speculating "here's how Biden can still win"-style are you?

We are not, but bear in mind that absolutely nothing is certain at this point!

[wbrocks67]

Anyone know what the deal with AZ is too? How much is out and why are people questioning the call even though Fox and AP already did?

[Alben Barkley]

Where is Lurker? Is he... safe? Is he... all right?

[Dumbo]

Please an update for PA !

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Can anyone TLDR on how much is out in GA and when its expected?

Focus on the blue wall

Georgia is a pipe dream

Except it isn’t. Trump could still win it but the math is favorable to Biden right now

And it's looking quite probable that there could be two Senate runoffs in January.  Perdue is at 50 and is likely to fall below it with the Atlanta vote out and a Libertarian candidate getting over 2% .

If Uncle Joe gets this we have to go ALL OUT for those runoff elections. I'm talking Mike Bloomberg dropping a billion on those races and a get out the vote effort to end all get out the vote efforts. We need to hit the republicans while they are still licking their wounds.

What wounds? They will keep the Senate comfortably. Bloomberg didn't help by blowing money on Florida and the Democrats already tried everything you mentioned. Republicans will almost certainly win both runoffs.

The Democratic Party once again proved itself one of the least competent opposition parties in history. One of the least popular incumbent presidents of all time and they lost just about every competitive Senate race.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Wisconsin is firmly in Biden territory now! Wis Dems agree with me!

https://twitter.com/WBAY/status/1323965680413249536?s=20

Biden will definitely take Michigan and Pennsylvania if he can carry Wisconsin. I'm proud to be a cheesehead right now! Now I'm going to work with a smile on my face!