2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[wbrocks67]

If you want to see real carnage, look at Lackawanna.

.... its only Election Day

[sguberman]

The Hispanic swings don't seem to be extending into NM and CO. Biden may keep NV after all.

Is anyone doubting that?

There were several posters in here earlier - - all now curiously silent - - crowing that Biden was doomed in Nevada based on his collapse of Hispanic support in the Rio Grande Valley.

Does anyone have a reason for why this may be the case? Are Hispanics in Nevada/New Mexico more likely to be of a certain ethnicity?

[Hollywood]

A 3.5% lead is not a tight race in Florida.  Just call it already. 

[MillennialModerate]

You know, if this is truly a repeat of 2018, I'd like to draw your attention to Montana...

My favorite canidate of the cycle (other than JK3) but he’s not winning tonight lol. No chance

[Kuumo]

Senate looking surprisingly good considering Biden is not on course for a landslide.

NC?

That’s the exception, but early signs in IA and MT encouraging.

I'm cautiously optimistic about MT, but you know my feelings about IA.

[Catalyst138]

The Hispanic swings don't seem to be extending into NM and CO. Biden may keep NV after all.

Is anyone doubting that?

There were several posters in here earlier - - all now curiously silent - - crowing that Biden was doomed in Nevada based on his collapse of Hispanic support in the Rio Grande Valley.

Nevada is the Republicans' Florida: they always think they can win it but it ends up going D every time.

[wbrocks67]

I think Biden can still pull it out in North Carolina.

he's down 40k but the outstanding vote appears to be basically ONLY in Dem counties at this point.

and they are accepting votes until 11/12...

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/ErinMcPike/status/1323829281663930368

[Nyvin]

 Dang Hennepin MN counts votes fast

[Del Tachi]

A 3.5% lead is not a tight race in Florida.  Just call it already. 

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Yikes at the Ben Ray Lujan underperformance manifesting before us!

[wbrocks67]

A 3.5% lead is not a tight race in Florida.  Just call it already. 

I think there's still a lot of absentees out? I mean I don't think there's enough to overcome obviously, but I would assume they skew Dem

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/ErinMcPike/status/1323829281663930368

HUGE! 

[Pericles]

https://twitter.com/ErinMcPike/status/1323829281663930368

Oh my god, this is amazing!

[Alcibiades]

The ‘Republican MN’ meme didn’t transpire, it seems.

[gerritcole]

what was obama able to do in fl that biden and clinton weren't?

[Kuumo]

Trump won Delaware County Ohio by about 5 points. Does anyone have any insight on whether that's a good or bad sign for Biden in Michigan and Pennsylvania?

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

118-102 Biden.

[Hope For A New Era]

Majority of rural Ohio is >90% reporting. Urban counties all around 70%.

what was obama able to do in fl that biden and clinton weren't?

Win WWC and also Cubans.

Clinton and Biden each got one but not the other.

[Storr]

what was obama able to do in fl that biden and clinton weren't?

Well, for one dominate Miami-Dade.

[vitoNova]

what was obama able to do in fl that biden and clinton weren't?

Open relations with Coobah.

[ProudModerate2]

1976 redux?

Actually I was thinking something similar. Definitely not the 413 landslide, RIP to that dream. But a win is a win.

Yeah. Back to the 290 map.

AZ will be a good win, just in case Biden loses WI or MI.
But if he just loses PA, then we have a tie (with NE-02 and ME-02 counted for trump).
Uggggg.

[Gracile]

georgia is more disappointing than fl for dems

I'm somewhat more bullish on Georgia purely because half or nearly half of Fulton, DeKalb, Cobb, and Gwinnett is not in yet. Biden should gain like 200K when DeKalb finally drops alone.

[LabourJersey]

I think GA is likely Trump, but the votes are still there for a Biden win. If you look at the metro ATL swings in Cherokee and Fayette, they are enough to give him the state if replicated in the partially reporting counties.

georgia is more disappointing than fl for dems

Again, a lot of Fulton County ballot haven't been counted!

[Catalyst138]

The dooming went so far in this thread that some people started overcorrecting and predicting outrageous things like Trump winning Nevada and Minnesota....