2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[politics_king]

Anyways, I am still skeptical about a Biden win in Georgia, but it’s not impossible with what we have left. Still a lot of votes left in Albany and some in the Atlanta suburbs, it’s feasible.

My thoughts exactly.  I still have GA as a Trump state, but wouldn't be shocked if it swung in Biden's favor with this last push.  

'

Even if Biden doesn't take Georgia which I hope he does, I just want Ossoff to keep Perdue under 50%. That'll be big and works in the Dems favor for the two Special Elections because Trump will not do the GOP any favors in those two elections.

[Admiral Kizaru]

https://twitter.com/mersenneary/status/1324102582646788099?s=20

Interesting reading for those in understanding the AP/Fox early call of Arizona.

[Kuumo]

I was just thinking GA is going to look quite out of place for 4 years if Biden pulls it off but falls short in NC

Kind of beautiful being able to look at blue Wisconsin and Michigan again. The 2016 map is so ugly.

Yup, blue in a sea of red. Just like NM in 2000.

Or Illinois in 2016.

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

With 70% of the vote in so far. Philly has swung R interestingly.

[ultraviolet]

Just thought this was interesting, me and my brother did a fantasy 2024 election a few months back. The map was the 306-232 map (with floating georgia), although that changed to 302-236 after redistricting. I thought it was unlikely for GA to vote left of FL (even in 2024), but it seems I underestimated #trends.

Interesting that we could see that exact map become a reality tonight

[Alben Barkley]

The Simpsons predicted this election too, summarized it all up in 6 seconds:

[Roronoa D. Law]

Georgia down to 1.2% with around 200k votes to go.

[forsythvoter]

Red mirage, the remaining 30% will go 95-5 Biden if they are anything like the last few batches.

With 70% of the vote in so far. Philly has swung R interestingly.

[Horus]

Kind of beautiful being able to look at blue Wisconsin and Michigan again. The 2016 map is so ugly.

Wisconsin is by no means definitely blue. A win by only 21,000 with many questions around absentee and mail in votes leaves plenty of room during the recount for this to swing back to Trump.

Given the corruption that has occurred down at the Detroit vote counting centre, this race will be going on for a while to come.

Never seen a Texan spell center that way before. Interesting.

[It’s so Joever]

2022 as the backup option is not very reassuring because Democrats not only need to get lucky and have a net gain of seats but they also need to hold the House, so they can actually pass legislation. Supreme Court vacancies and stuff of course only need the Senate though. Let's first hope they can cobble together a majority in this election.

It's delusional to expect Democrats to gain Senate seats during a midterm. They didn't even manage that in 1998. Sure, Republicans managed in 2002 and 2018, but Democrats haven't since 1962, and before that 1934, both of which were 6 years after a landslide defeat.

I mean, the argument for gains is that the 2016 Senate results were so bad that there is hardly any room for Democrats to fall farther. But yeah I'm not remotely optimistic about that.

I think we would have several issues, the first would be Arizona, if we win the GA seat we have to deal with that, and then Nevada. Luckily, Colorado is not remotely competitive anymore and hopefully we can hold on in NH.

Those are the holds. If we want to try to expand, I think having someone like Lamb run in PA and fighting tooth and nail for NC could work on a good night.

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

We have now gone over page 300 in less than forty-eight hours... keep it going guys!

[roxas11]

I hate to say this but I feel like how close this election ended up being plus how things went downballot probably ensures Biden doesn’t run for re-election if he comes out on top.

That and the fact he'll be 82.

After what happened, does anyone on here think Kamala Harris would win if she ran in 2024 to succeed Biden?

That depends on how things are going in 2024 and who she chooses as her VP will make a huge difference

It would not suprise me at all if her pick is either someone of Cuban ethnicity from Florida or Someone from the Midwest who can balance to ticket like Biden did for Obama in 2008

plus If Biden ends up being popular that will definitely benefit Haris but a lot will depend on what she does over the next 4 years.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Abigail Spanberger wins reelection!

[President Johnson]

Biden being at almost 67% in MA is a pretty amazing result.

Over 65% in California, over 60% in Washington state and Maryland 63%.

[It’s so Joever]

Kind of beautiful being able to look at blue Wisconsin and Michigan again. The 2016 map is so ugly.

Wisconsin is by no means definitely blue. A win by only 21,000 with many questions around absentee and mail in votes leaves plenty of room during the recount for this to swing back to Trump.

Given the corruption that has occurred down at the Detroit vote counting centre, this race will be going on for a while to come.

You know what’s really unfair?
The establishment GOP is letting the guy who saved them lose due to this corruption. The swamp hasn’t been drained, and both parties have made it worse. I don’t know whether the evil Demonrats or the Deep-State GOP is worse right now.

[TopShelfGoal]

I would love to know which animal Ann Selzer sacrifices to the gods each election cycle in exchange for accurate polls.

[Bootes Void]

Is there anything in from Nevada?

[politics_king]

We have now gone over page 300 in less than forty-eight hours... keep it going guys!

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

AP STILL hasn't called Michigan!

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Abigail Spanberger wins reelection!

Good! Freitas is a piece of sh**t.

[DaleCooper]

Fox News says they're still confident in their Arizona projection. AP also hasn't retracted it.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

I would love to know which animal Ann Selzer sacrifices to the gods each election cycle in exchange for accurate polls.

Hey, has anybody seen Fivey Fox recently?

[Roll Roons]

Biden being at almost 67% in MA is a pretty amazing result.

Over 65% in California, over 60% in Washington state and Maryland 63%.

Also 65% in Vermont. I really want to know what kind of electoral magic Phil Scott and Kim Wyman have.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Kind of beautiful being able to look at blue Wisconsin and Michigan again. The 2016 map is so ugly.

Wisconsin is by no means definitely blue. A win by only 21,000 with many questions around absentee and mail in votes leaves plenty of room during the recount for this to swing back to Trump.

Given the corruption that has occurred down at the Detroit vote counting centre, this race will be going on for a while to come.

Not even scott walker is buying this argument.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/524464-scott-walker-suggests-bidens-wisconsin-lead-too-big-for-recount

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I would love to know which animal Ann Selzer sacrifices to the gods each election cycle in exchange for accurate polls.

equivalent exchange. Sacrifice Fivey Fox for sake of a high quality poll a week prior to election day.