2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[͘]

I'm starting to feel Doom.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Do we know who is up in ME-02 for president? I want as much insurance as possible in case PA doesn't flip and in case Nebraska decides to change its EV split system after the fact.

The Republicans don't have a filibuster-proof majority in the legislature so they can't change the EV split. They've tried and failed.

Is that filibuster constitutionally entrenched?

[DaleCooper]

What's the holdup with NYT and Arizona? It's very obviously a Biden win. I don't know why they're not calling it at 98%

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324007806694023169?s=19

[DaleCooper]

Do we know who is up in ME-02 for president? I want as much insurance as possible in case PA doesn't flip and in case Nebraska decides to change its EV split system after the fact.

The Republicans don't have a filibuster-proof majority in the legislature so they can't change the EV split. They've tried and failed.

Is that filibuster constitutionally entrenched?

I'm not sure but the Republicans haven't been able to get by it in the past. I know it's very ingrained into our legislature.

[BudgieForce]

is nv over?

Probably. Theres late mail in votes and provisionals left to count. Mail in should benefit Joe, god knows about provisionals.

[wbrocks67]

Just out of curiosity...why are Dems still high on Georgia?  Trump has a 100k lead with >90% of the vote reporting, and NYT has Fulton and Gwinnett as nearly fully-in.  The only outstanding vote for Dems seem to spread out between DeKalb, Muscogee, Chatham, Richmond and Bibb, but these are all north of 80% reported already.

Biden probably closes the margin some, but him flipping it this late in the count seems very unlikely to me.   

There is like ~127K out just from Fulton and DeKalb. I don't think the % are taking into account that its all VBM.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

What are our expectations for the popular vote #? Can Biden win it by more than 5?

FWIW, the vote in Peoria County, Illinois, generally is very close to the national popular vote. Hillary won it by 2 last time. Biden won it by 6.

[Hnv1]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324004491612618752?s=19

That's outright lying. he may be the biggest piece of sh**t to be POTUS, and that says something

[emailking]

What's the holdup with NYT and Arizona? It's very obviously a Biden win. I don't know why they're not calling it at 98%

CNN says 86% in. Could be a precincts vs. total vote thing.

[wbrocks67]

What's the holdup with NYT and Arizona? It's very obviously a Biden win. I don't know why they're not calling it at 98%

NYT now saying that just ~28K votes estimated left

[Sir Mohamed]

is nv over?

Likely yes. Most votes still outstanding are from Clark. Biden will win NV by an underwhelming margin.

[DrScholl]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324007806694023169?s=19

Stop posting his trash.

[Hindsight was 2020]

https://mobile.twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324007806694023169
Lol this is awesome

[emailking]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324007806694023169?s=19

WTF lol

[n1240]

Philadelphia new mail-in batch

Biden 40984
Trump 3329

Biden wins these by 85%, approximately 160k uncounted mail in the county.

[Da2017]

What a crazy election.

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

I really hope Gary Peters pulls through also.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324007806694023169?s=19

"so devastating in their percentage and power of destruction"

It sounds weirdly poetic to me.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1324009129451511808?s=19

[Del Tachi]

Just out of curiosity...why are Dems still high on Georgia?  Trump has a 100k lead with >90% of the vote reporting, and NYT has Fulton and Gwinnett as nearly fully-in.  The only outstanding vote for Dems seem to spread out between DeKalb, Muscogee, Chatham, Richmond and Bibb, but these are all north of 80% reported already.

Biden probably closes the margin some, but him flipping it this late in the count seems very unlikely to me.   

There is like ~127K out just from Fulton and DeKalb. I don't think the % are taking into account that its all VBM.

Where are you seeing the 127k number, though?  Biden is already ahead of Clinton's  2016 totals in Fulton by ~10k votes

[n1240]

What's the holdup with NYT and Arizona? It's very obviously a Biden win. I don't know why they're not calling it at 98%

NYT now saying that just ~28K votes estimated left

Pretty sure Maricopa has around 250k votes left so these NYTimes estimates might be incorrect

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1323775218758737920
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1323817136192589825

[Calthrina950]

I really hope Gary Peters pulls through also.

It's astonishing that Democrats must now be concerned about Peters. I'm also still shocked by how every competitive Senate race-aside from Arizona and Colorado, where Republicans were DOA-broke in favor of the Republicans. This very much resembles what happened in 2018, when Arizona and Nevada broke for the Democrats but they lost Florida, Indiana, Missouri, and North Dakota.

[Dr. Frankenstein]

What is up in the Senate race in MI?

Not worried about Peters.  Running somewhat behind Biden, but he will make it.

Regarding ME, major ticket splitting appears to be in play in favor of Collins.  But she is running below 50 right now.

What would the next step be if Collins ends up with say 49%?

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Is it too late to release another trafalger poll?