2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[wbrocks67]

It seems likely Biden will go above 51.1 and Trump below 47.2 with NY especially still to count.

[wbrocks67]

Looks like Montgomery County finally got around to the rest of their mail-ins and some of their provisionals

~6.3K counted, 4.5K went to Biden and 1.8K to Trump, 71.5-28.5 split. (county at large is 62-36)

Biden lead in PA now up to +63,421.

[Malarkey Decider]

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1327338786469146625

[Tender Branson]

Posted this in another thread, but here's the schedule for official certification dates:

Unknown dates

Hawaii
New Hampshire
Rhode Island
Tennessee

TN:

Counties must submit certified election results to the Division of Elections by Monday, Nov. 23.

[Horus]

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1327338786469146625

Connecticut is possible since Blumenthal isn't really that stellar. Still, it's a long shot and I'm not sure who they'd pick.

Duckworth isn't going anywhere.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1327338786469146625

Connecticut is possible since Blumenthal isn't really that stellar. Still, it's a long shot and I'm not sure who they'd pick.

Duckworth isn't going anywhere.

I won't say that CT isn't happening because a lot can change in two years.  Obviously, figures such as Phil Scott and Scott Brown have shown that Republicans can still win in New England outside of Maine. 

But the Republicans would need to find a Hogan-type if they want to have a chance here; we saw what happened when they try to cram a cube through a round hole (DE-SEN 2010).  And even then, they would need to ride on a massive wave + decreased Democratic turnout.  

[Non Swing Voter]

There is zero chance Republicans win Illinois or Connecticut.  These states are diverse and full of white liberals who will not vote for Republicans in a Federal election.  Connecticut doesn't even have a single GOP congressman.  It's more of a pipe dream for Republicans than South Carolina was for Democrats this year.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1327338786469146625

Connecticut is possible since Blumenthal isn't really that stellar. Still, it's a long shot and I'm not sure who they'd pick.

Duckworth isn't going anywhere.

I strongly disagree. Blumenthal over performed Hillary in 2016 and won 63% of the vote (Margin of +28.6), and Biden won the state by 20 points.

Besides, who does the GOP have for a candidate? Erin Stewart? She's probably too liberal to win a GOP primary.

[President Johnson]

Wikipedia page updated:

[Alben Barkley]

Now that the 306 map is official...

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/stevennelson10/status/1327339133623296001

[Pro-Israel, anti-Bibi]

Wikipedia page updated:

That's MANDATE.

[DrScholl]

Linda McMahon sunk a ton of money into Connecticut when the state was slightly better for Republicans and both times in open seats, but lost by double digits. Connecticut is not on the board and Illinois certainly is not. Pritzker winning all of the color counties (albeit by a plurality) tells you how Democratic Illinois has become.

[n1240]

Summary of 83k votes counted in NY since election day:

Biden 61107
Trump 19980

Margin: Biden+49.5
Weighted margin of votes by election night final vote: Trump+7.1

Indicates a swing of 56.6% in these votes compared to election night final result.

[President Johnson]

https://twitter.com/stevennelson10/status/1327339133623296001

I feel like the final two months of the Trump administration regime could make the 1973 Saturday Night Massacre look like peanuts.

[Middle-aged Europe]

https://twitter.com/stevennelson10/status/1327339133623296001

Wolf knows it's over and he doesn't take orders from crazy lame duck presidents?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Summary of 83k votes counted in NY since election day:

Biden 61107
Trump 19980

Margin: Biden+49.5
Weighted margin of votes by election night final vote: Trump+7.1

Indicates a swing of 56.6% in these votes compared to election night final result.

So I'm guessing Biden is going to blow past 60% there.

[Horus]

https://twitter.com/stevennelson10/status/1327339133623296001

A true Chad.

[Mike88]

https://twitter.com/stevennelson10/status/1327339133623296001

I feel like the final two months of the Trump administration regime could make the 1973 Saturday Night Massacre look like peanuts.

I think it will more be like a lame Celebrity Apprentice episode where no one sells enough cookies and all are fired.

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/alexanderao/status/1327051626872500224

[n1240]

Summary of 83k votes counted in NY since election day:

Biden 61107
Trump 19980

Margin: Biden+49.5
Weighted margin of votes by election night final vote: Trump+7.1

Indicates a swing of 56.6% in these votes compared to election night final result.

So I'm guessing Biden is going to blow past 60% there.

This morning I predicted he would do at least 2% better than Clinton overall in the state which definitely translates to over 60%.

[GeorgiaModerate]

From a local Atlanta reporter:

https://twitter.com/BrendanKeefe/status/1327340578946904066

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/stevennelson10/status/1327339133623296001

Even the bootlickers are moving beyond Trump...

[MATTROSE94]

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1327338786469146625

I don’t think Connecticut will be in play in 2022. Illinois could be if the Republicans nominate Bob Dold or Adam Kinzinger, but even then it would be a stretch for them to win. At least Rick Scott seems to recognize that Donald Trump can’t manipulate the electors.

[WD]