2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Sbane]

Hope the margin for Biden starts creeping up again.

[GP270watch]

If the Maricopa drop isn't enough, will Az be called?

 Called by who?

 It was called very early by Fox/AP already.

[Alben Barkley]

If the Maricopa drop isn't enough, will Az be called?

 Called by who?

 It was called very early by Fox/AP already.

The other networks I guess.

[GP270watch]

Does anyone have a handle on how many votes there are left to count in Pennsylvania and where they're from?

 It's mostly all VBM(56K) which has benefitted Biden by big margins even in deep red counties but most of it is from Philly and Allegheny. PA is done and Bob Casey is probably right and we're heading close to 100K victory for Biden there.

 https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx

[Alben Barkley]

So... Utah. Biden’s now up to nearly 38% with 93% reporting, and seems like almost all that’s left is Salt Lake City. Still a chance he gets to 40, I’d think.

[Hammy]

Does anyone have a handle on how many votes there are left to count in Pennsylvania and where they're from?

 It's mostly all VBM(56K) which has benefitted Biden by big margins even in deep red counties but most of it is from Philly and Allegheny. PA is done and Bob Casey is probably right and we're heading close to 100K victory for Biden there.

 https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx

Wasn't Biden up 200k in PA yesterday or did I misread the map somewhere?

[lfromnj]

So... Utah. Biden’s now up to nearly 38% with 93% reporting, and seems like almost all that’s left is Salt Lake City. Still a chance he gets to 40, I’d think.

Late ballots have been trending R in Utah. Probably around the same.

[GP270watch]

Does anyone have a handle on how many votes there are left to count in Pennsylvania and where they're from?

 It's mostly all VBM(56K) which has benefitted Biden by big margins even in deep red counties but most of it is from Philly and Allegheny. PA is done and Bob Casey is probably right and we're heading close to 100K victory for Biden there.

 https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx

Wasn't Biden up 200k in PA yesterday or did I misread the map somewhere?

 Misread, Biden was never up 200k in PA, close to 150k in Michigan.

[HillGoose]

I am so glad the American people decided Trump needed the full covid experience of losing his job and getting evicted. If we have all had to suffer I’m glad the guy who took the role of President has to as well. What a failure he was.

[HillGoose]

https://twitter.com/khamenei_ir/status/1325138042047377408

the ayatollah should stfu

If Trump had any balls at all back in January this mf would be dead right now 😂

[GeorgiaModerate]

With the latest Apache County drop, Arizona now has the following estimated ballots left per https://arizona.vote/ballot-progress.html:

Ballots needing signature verification by 5pm MST Tuesday: 7553
Provisional ballots: 44668
Ballots ready for tabulation: 47178

Total: 99399

Using the same Trump-friendly assumptions as before:

50% of the ballots needing signature cures will be accepted.
80% of the provisionals will be accepted.
Trump will do 10% better (and Biden 10% worse) than the current margins in each county.

With these assumptions, an estimated 86689 ballots will be accepted, and Trump will gain a net 17231 of them.  He currently trails by 19348, so he would lose by 2117, compared to a projected loss by 1817 in the last update.

[Roll Roons]

Is O'Halleran likely to hang on in AZ-01?

[DrScholl]

Is O'Halleran likely to hang on in AZ-01?

Seems like his lead has a good enough amount of space to hold.

[riceowl]

Where's Michael?!

[Asta]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1325524794570313730?s=20

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1325524794570313730?s=20

Good to see Fayette County dark blue there. Looks like it will actually be slightly more D than Jefferson in the end!

[Alben Barkley]

No one is asking the real question though:

When will Biden replace Trump in Disney’s “Hall of Presidents?”

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1325524794570313730?s=20

He's not gonna point out New England and Colorado for Biden?

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1325524794570313730?s=20

He's not gonna point out New England and Colorado for Biden?

Or the Texas metros

[brucejoel99]

Murtaugh deleted the tweet but not before even the Fox News of newspapers smacked him for being a lying dipsh*t:

https://twitter.com/ddale8/status/1325528640046632960

[Sir Tiki]

No one is asking the real question though:

When will Biden replace Trump in Disney’s “Hall of Presidents?”

Probably by next summer, that's usually the turnaround with making a new president, writing a new script, updating the effects, etc. Trump was an outlier, his version of the show wasn't done until almost a year into his presidency for whatever reason.

[Zache]

When is Alaska going to finish tallying its votes?

[Alben Barkley]

No one is asking the real question though:

When will Biden replace Trump in Disney’s “Hall of Presidents?”

Probably by next summer, that's usually the turnaround with making a new president, writing a new script, updating the effects, etc. Trump was an outlier, his version of the show wasn't done until almost a year into his presidency for whatever reason.

I heard it was because they had already been working on a Hillary robot and had to scrap it.

[brucejoel99]

No one is asking the real question though:

When will Biden replace Trump in Disney’s “Hall of Presidents?”

Probably by next summer, that's usually the turnaround with making a new president, writing a new script, updating the effects, etc. Trump was an outlier, his version of the show wasn't done until almost a year into his presidency for whatever reason.

I heard it was because they had already been working on a Hillary robot and had to scrap it.

If you look at his animatronic, it was clearly originally built to be Hillary before the upset forced them to start converting it into the monstrosity that it ended up being.

[Sir Tiki]

No one is asking the real question though:

When will Biden replace Trump in Disney’s “Hall of Presidents?”

Probably by next summer, that's usually the turnaround with making a new president, writing a new script, updating the effects, etc. Trump was an outlier, his version of the show wasn't done until almost a year into his presidency for whatever reason.

I heard it was because they had already been working on a Hillary robot and had to scrap it.

I heard that too, and I also heard another reason for the delay into December was because Trump kept rejecting the speeches that Disney was choosing for him, to the point where they were debating whether to have him speak at all. Just weird all around.

You know, I've never seen the Trump version of the Hall of Presidents. I probably should before they shut it down lol.