CA GOV 2021 - 2022 megathread

[Utah Neolib]

Newsom has become the second governor in American history to win a recall election.

[Non Swing Voter]

How long til the GOP rants about voter fraud?

[Matty]

Most of you will disagree with this post, but just a reminder that there are a lot of moderate and reasonable independents and republicans who live here and are very concerned about the big issues facing this state: the absurd housing prices, the cost of living, gas prices, one party dominance in the statehouse that produces bad laws such as ones that ban independent contracting, etc. A census report came out today that California has the highest cost-of-living adjusted poverty rate of any state, behind only DC.

Nothing seems to get fixed or addressed to these citizens. They are frustrated that there is zero feasible 2nd party opposition that can at least bring some balance to Sacramento.

You don't have to be some trumpist idiot to have some worry about the issues in the state.

Just some perspective for the out-of-staters on here treating this like a team sport.

I personally know many people under 30 who grew up here and adore the state who unfortunately are essentially being forced out to other states because of the rent and their financial inability to afford any homes to start their american dream.

It's a sad situation that goes beyond any one party, but to at least some people thought the recall presented a chance to throw a wrench in the system.

[Greedo punched first]

Newsom has become the second governor in American history to win a recall election.

After Scott Walker?

[Alben Barkley]

STANISLAUS COUNTY 100% REPORTING!
ALL PRECINCTS

50.0% NO (49,604 votes)
50.0% YES (49,595 votes)

https://www.nbcsandiego.com/news/local/california-recall-election-results/2716598/


This county voted for Biden by 0.8%.

Looks like the result could well be almost indistinguishable from the presidential results.

I have to say, that surprises me. I thought Newsom would win by maybe 15 points, not 25 or so.

[Continential]

We learned something here.  Running against Trump is the way to go in the blue states.

Now time for McAuliffe to do the same in VA and tie Youngkin to Trump for an easy win.

Big difference: VA will not be mailing ballots

Ok, and?

It is easier to get people to vote when they get mailed a ballot.

[Alben Barkley]

How long til the GOP rants about voter fraud?

Yesterday.

[South Dakota Democrat]

CBS calls it.

[S019]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1437983041218093056
The all-important "who will win Orange County" question has apparently been answered.

[KaiserDave]

No fan of Newsom but it's funny to see the GOP, and a lunatic like Elder crash and burn. Is No going to do better than Biden? Possibly...

[Drew]

Newsom has become the second governor in American history to win a recall election.

The other being Scott Walker in 2012.

[Thunder98]

STANISLAUS COUNTY 100% REPORTING!
ALL PRECINCTS

50.0% NO (49,604 votes)
50.0% YES (49,595 votes)

https://www.nbcsandiego.com/news/local/california-recall-election-results/2716598/


This county voted for Biden by 0.8%.

Stanislaus is the ultimate Titanium Tilt Dem County!

[Alben Barkley]

Most of you will disagree with this post, but just a reminder that there are a lot of moderate and reasonable independents and republicans who live here and are very concerned about the big issues facing this state: the absurd housing prices, the cost of living, gas prices, one party dominance in the statehouse that produces bad laws such as ones that ban independent contracting, etc. A census report came out today that California has the highest cost-of-living adjusted poverty rate of any state, behind only DC.

Nothing seems to get fixed or addressed to these citizens. They are frustrated that there is zero feasible 2nd party opposition that can at least bring some balance to Sacramento.

You don't have to be some trumpist idiot to have some worry about the issues in the state.

Just some perspective for the out-of-staters on here treating this like a team sport.

I personally know many people under 30 who grew up here and adore the state who unfortunately are essentially being forced out to other states because of the rent and their financial inability to afford any homes to start their american dream.

It's a sad situation that goes beyond any one party, but to at least some people thought the recall presented a chance to throw a wrench in the system.

I agree that CA has a lot of problems but throwing out Newsom for some crazy unqualified radio host certainly is not the solution.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

STANISLAUS COUNTY 100% REPORTING!
ALL PRECINCTS

50.0% NO (49,604 votes)
50.0% YES (49,595 votes)

https://www.nbcsandiego.com/news/local/california-recall-election-results/2716598/


This county voted for Biden by 0.8%.

Ok but damn this is big news

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1437983041218093056
The all-important "who will win Orange County" question has apparently been answered.

So THG's prediction of Newsom's complete and utter collapse in Southern California isn't going to pan out?

[Utah Neolib]

Newsom has become the second governor in American history to win a recall election.

After Scott Walker?

Yes

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1437982179586363394

Jesus, I know this is California but Republicans are absolutely dead with college whites.

[South Dakota Democrat]

How long til the GOP rants about voter fraud?

Yesterday.

This is literally true, yes, Elder was already crying about voter fraud before today's vote.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1437983041218093056
The all-important "who will win Orange County" question has apparently been answered.

RIP "Orange County is snapping back to its pre-2016 conservative roots"

[Non Swing Voter]

OK can the biggest Dem Doomer on Atlas please give me their best possible doomer argument regarding this result?  Millennial Moderate you're up!

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1437985419354800128?s=20

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1437982179586363394

Jesus, I know this is California but Republicans are absolutely dead with college whites.

Well looks like the TRENDS very much are real on both sides.

Sadly for the GOP, white educated voters are probably the single most reliable demographic in terms of turnout.

[Devils30]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1437983041218093056
The all-important "who will win Orange County" question has apparently been answered.

RIP "Orange County is snapping back to its pre-2016 conservative roots"

These numbers should really scare the GOP in CA 25, 39, 48. As is they could flip back in 2022 and if they get bluer in redistricting, forget it.

[Continential]

Kevin Faulconer is below 10% for the recall replacement.

[ملكة كرينجيتوك]

Most of you will disagree with this post, but just a reminder that there are a lot of moderate and reasonable independents and republicans who live here and are very concerned about the big issues facing this state: the absurd housing prices, the cost of living, gas prices, one party dominance in the statehouse that produces bad laws such as ones that ban independent contracting, etc. A census report came out today that California has the highest cost-of-living adjusted poverty rate of any state, behind only DC.

Nothing seems to get fixed or addressed to these citizens. They are frustrated that there is zero feasible 2nd party opposition that can at least bring some balance to Sacramento.

You don't have to be some trumpist idiot to have some worry about the issues in the state.

Just some perspective for the out-of-staters on here treating this like a team sport.

I personally know many people under 30 who grew up here and adore the state who unfortunately are essentially being forced out to other states because of the rent and their financial inability to afford any homes to start their american dream.

It's a sad situation that goes beyond any one party, but to at least some people thought the recall presented a chance to throw a wrench in the system.

It still might tbh.

Who are the Trump voters who voted against the recall?

I don't know if there even are many so much as Trump voters who just stayed home this time. If so, that would fit with the theory that Republicans need Trump on the ballot to really boost turnout among low propensity voters.

The D hack in me wants to chalk it up to marginal Latino and Asian Trump voters who hate wasteful spending of taxpayer money more than they hate Newsom. But we won’t know for sure until precinct level results are available. And the exit poll crosstabs suggest to me that there are a lot of nonwhite Dems/D-leaners who hate Newsom/the status quo.

edit: Orange County specific analysis

Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.

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Lol

https://twitter.com/AstorAaron/status/1437978736876470275?s=20

Based low-income Korean and Vietnamese seniors voting for rental aid and Covid restrictions.

(To their credit, most Asian Trump supporters have been largely supportive of Covid regulations such as masking and have been vaccinated at overwhelmingly high rates)